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Virginia vs Maryland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 80-72
24-19 56-53
Position#19
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#305
Record6-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game80.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maryland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H12/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
54-106
54
106
-52
A12/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
104-78
104
78
+26
H15/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H21/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
42-25
39-37
47-19
44-34
35-40
19-66
61-33
43-45
40-36
43-42
42-44
31-36
46-29
48-40
46-27
42-42
37-33
49-40
46-32
38-28
156.6Avg total
83.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.171.0155.1+13.182%
Season at home (9)87.067.3154.3+19.789%
Season away (2)71.087.5158.5-16.550%
Last 10 (10)83.872.8156.6+11.080%
Last 5 (5)85.070.2155.2+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.073.0137.0-9.022%
vs Similar (10)69.468.7138.1+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.571.2154.7+12.482%
This opponent (Maryland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H07/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H12/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
89-82
89
82
+7
A15/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
H20/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H25/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
61-100
61
100
-39
A26/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
72-105
72
105
-33
A27/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A06/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
83-101
83
101
-18
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
33-38
33-27
51-37
42-42
47-40
40-32
37-45
27-30
47-37
32-47
29-53
29-49
43-56
33-26
56-37
30-44
34-39
50-45
33-56
159.6Avg total
77.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.680.5158.2-2.955%
Season at home (7)81.173.7154.9+7.471%
Season away (4)71.592.5164.0-21.025%
Last 10 (10)77.182.5159.6-5.450%
Last 5 (5)73.890.4164.2-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.384.6160.9-8.244%
vs Similar (2)63.072.5135.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (19)80.169.2149.3+10.984%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.4+12.41st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.4+12.41st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -2.8-2.8
VirginiaMaryland
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H08/11
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H12/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/12
NCAA
76.0Avg total
44.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.632.869.4+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.932.069.9+5.961%-
Last 30 away (12)34.534.168.6+0.442%-
Last 10 (10)44.231.876.0+12.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.076.4+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.434.065.4-2.633%-
vs Similar (10)33.632.766.3+0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.532.075.5+11.582%-
This opponent (Maryland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarylandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Marquette
#290
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H20/11
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H25/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A27/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H14/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
34.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.971.8+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.632.870.4+4.872%-
Last 30 away (12)35.838.173.9-2.242%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.471.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.277.0-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.438.673.0-4.133%-
vs Similar (2)30.530.561.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (19)38.733.672.4+5.174%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virginia wins
0
Maryland wins
No previous meetings.
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25HMd.-East. Shore84-60
06/12/25HDayton86-73
04/12/25ATexas88-69
28/11/25HQueens Royals94-69
23/11/25HButler73-80
21/11/25HNorthwestern83-78
15/11/25HMarshall104-78
12/11/25AVMI54-106
12/11/25HHampton91-53
08/11/25HN. Carolina Central81-62
Marylandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HMichigan83-101
06/12/25AIowa64-83
03/12/25HWagner89-63
27/11/25AAlabama72-105
26/11/25AGonzaga61-100
25/11/25HUNLV74-67
20/11/25HMount St. Mary's95-90 OT
15/11/25AMarquette89-82
12/11/25HAlcorn State84-64
07/11/25HGeorgetown60-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %82%89%50%
Points / game84.187.071.0
Allowed / game71.067.387.5
Point differential+13.1+19.7-16.5
Avg total155.1154.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%78%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maryland
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL55%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %55%71%25%
Points / game77.681.171.5
Allowed / game80.573.792.5
Point differential-2.9+7.4-21.0
Avg total158.2154.9164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke11110100%87.760.8+26.9
2 California1211192%83.867.6+16.2
3 North Carolina1211192%79.964.6+15.3
4 Virginia Tech1311285%83.172.6+10.5
5 Louisville1210283%91.668.2+23.4
6 Miami (FL)1210283%88.267.8+20.4
7 Virginia119282%84.171.0+13.1
8 SMU Mustangs119282%88.677.2+11.5
9 Stanford119282%81.772.0+9.7
10 Clemson129375%80.765.9+14.8
11 Wake Forest129375%85.372.3+13.0
12 Notre Dame129375%77.368.1+9.2
13 NC State128467%89.373.0+16.3
14 Syracuse128467%74.466.2+8.2
15 Georgia Tech128467%75.570.8+4.8
16 Florida State126650%84.879.6+5.2
17 Pittsburgh126650%73.569.6+3.9
18 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan10100100%94.767.7+27.0
2 Nebraska11110100%83.868.3+15.5
3 Michigan State1211192%78.063.3+14.7
4 USC1211192%88.376.3+12.0
5 Purdue1110191%84.667.1+17.5
6 Iowa119282%79.361.8+17.5
7 Indiana129375%85.066.6+18.4
8 UCLA129375%80.469.2+11.2
9 Illinois118373%87.871.5+16.3
10 Ohio State118373%86.072.7+13.3
11 Penn State118373%81.174.5+6.6
12 Washington117464%83.073.1+9.9
13 Wisconsin117464%83.475.5+7.9
14 Northwestern127558%80.670.2+10.4
15 Minnesota116555%73.468.1+5.3
16 Oregon116555%77.673.6+4.0
17 Maryland116555%77.680.5-2.9
18 Rutgers115645%68.973.1-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia245680
Maryland195372
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