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Virtus Bologna vs Casale Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 02 May 2017
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 73-78 (OT)
21-11 14-15 14-20 10-13 14-19
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#14
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyA2 - Play Offs
Other2016-17
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Casale Monferrato
02 May 2017
VIR73
KMO78
30 Apr 2017
VIR74
KMO67
03 Jan 2012
VIR70
KMO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casale Monferrato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A06/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H13/03
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A20/03
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H26/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H03/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A10/04
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A17/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
W
73-54
73
54
+19
H24/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A04/05
Lega A
Casale Monferrato
#14
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H30/04
A2 - Play Offs
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
16-19
27-20
24-20
18-19
19-10
20-22
19-16
19-23
16-22
15-16
24-21
16-13
22-16
17-19
18-18
15-24
21-19
23-19
9-13
26-21
14-25
17-26
19-16
10-18
11-25
18-11
34-35
24-6
14-15
22-13
13-20
15-20
23-18
22-18
18-26
26-16
20-16
8-19
20-16
151.1Avg total
75.6Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.675.5151.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.876.0150.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.280.4157.5-3.238%
vs Similar (16)72.978.1151.1-5.231%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#2
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H16/05
A2 - Play Offs
Agrigento
#2
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H18/05
A2 - Play Offs
Agrigento
#2
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A21/05
A2 - Play Offs
Agrigento
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A23/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A01/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A04/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H07/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H09/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A11/05
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A30/04
A2 - Play Offs
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
11-14
16-9
9-20
4-18
17-18
18-13
27-23
19-11
16-11
15-22
21-25
16-19
20-23
15-10
21-28
12-17
15-16
20-10
20-18
17-21
12-23
10-18
15-21
13-20
26-20
12-19
21-6
18-17
7-7
14-15
17-20
15-23
12-25
18-20
20-13
16-26
16-20
19-8
16-20
134.7Avg total
64.3Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.074.0141.0-7.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.074.0141.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)64.370.4134.7-6.130%
Last 5 (5)62.872.4135.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)63.673.1136.7-9.622%
vs Similar (21)74.374.4148.7-0.138%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Virtus BolognaCasale Monferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A06/03
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/03
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A20/03
Lega A
Cremona
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/03
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A10/04
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A17/04
Lega A
Torino
#15
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H24/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/05
Lega A
Casale Monferrato
#14
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H30/04
A2 - Play Offs
74.0Avg total
36.9Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.638.574.1-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.736.373.9+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)33.640.774.3-7.113%-
Last 10 (10)36.937.174.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.072.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.340.575.8-5.215%-
vs Similar (16)35.237.272.5-2.038%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Casale Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casale MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#2
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H16/05
A2 - Play Offs
Agrigento
#2
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H18/05
A2 - Play Offs
Agrigento
#2
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A21/05
A2 - Play Offs
Agrigento
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A23/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A01/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A04/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H07/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H09/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A11/05
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A30/04
A2 - Play Offs
66.5Avg total
29.9Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.770.8-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.635.870.4-1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)33.837.471.2-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)29.936.666.5-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)30.440.470.8-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.138.169.2-7.022%-
vs Similar (21)35.536.071.5-0.652%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Casale Monferrato wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/17HCasale Monferrato74-67
04/05/16AReggiana78-82
24/04/16HTorino73-54
17/04/16ACantu73-89
10/04/16APistoia76-88
03/04/16HTrento68-75
26/03/16HCremona73-66
20/03/16AAvellino74-82
13/03/16HVarese76-67
06/03/16ASassari91-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/17AVirtus Bologna67-74
11/05/16ATreviso65-81
09/05/16HTreviso56-59
07/05/16HTreviso72-65
04/05/16ATreviso54-83
01/05/16ATreviso67-61
23/05/15AAgrigento72-80
21/05/15AAgrigento71-69
18/05/15HAgrigento66-72
16/05/15HAgrigento53-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
A2 - Play Offs 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game67.067.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total141.0141.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Casale Monferrato
A2 - Play Offs 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential-7.0--7.0
Avg total141.0-141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Agrigento110100%100.077.0+23.0
2 Treviso110100%86.074.0+12.0
3 Tortona110100%76.067.0+9.0
4 Biella110100%83.076.0+7.0
5 Virtus Bologna110100%74.067.0+7.0
6 Ravenna110100%93.087.0+6.0
7 Trieste110100%88.083.0+5.0
8 Legnano21150%63.561.0+2.5
9 Roseto21150%61.063.5-2.5
10 Treviglio1010%83.088.0-5.0
11 Virtus Roma1010%87.093.0-6.0
12 Casale Monferrato1010%67.074.0-7.0
13 Verona1010%76.083.0-7.0
14 Mantova1010%67.076.0-9.0
15 Trapani1010%74.086.0-12.0
16 Fortitudo Bologna1010%77.0100.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Virtus Bologna211414101473
Casale Monferrato111520131978
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