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Virtus Roma vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 81-76
20-20 24-12 20-28 17-16
Position#16
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Virtus Roma 🏆
Italy
vs
Fortitudo Bologna
Italy
Position#14
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Fortitudo Bologna
27 Sep 2020
VRO81
FBO76
20 Oct 2019
VRO79
FBO65
28 Apr 2019
VRO77
FBO77
01 Feb 2009
VRO87
FBO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H07/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
71-114
71
114
-43
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
60-104
60
104
-44
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
56-89
56
89
-33
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
76-99
76
99
-23
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
29-26
24-22
17-23
21-21
27-15
14-25
18-20
18-22
23-19
16-28
35-26
19-24
16-30
27-19
26-20
21-29
17-39
18-30
15-16
15-30
26-19
12-18
16-23
7-23
20-28
13-25
20-28
16-24
9-20
19-23
12-22
22-35
15-26
13-21
26-17
13-19
20-20
12-32
17-27
171.2Avg total
74.6Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.696.6171.2-22.00%
Last 5 (5)64.696.0160.6-31.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.590.4165.9-14.915%
vs Similar (3)81.073.3154.3+7.767%
vs Weaker (1)92.083.0175.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A18/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H26/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
H08/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#9
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
20-15
14-20
19-24
24-20
20-28
20-13
15-15
15-18
14-21
22-21
15-18
22-18
19-23
28-16
26-35
23-16
22-29
24-21
16-24
25-23
25-22
23-22
23-10
24-18
22-17
11-31
16-21
14-11
22-15
27-34
23-24
22-20
23-20
25-23
16-23
11-14
23-23
25-12
14-14
163.8Avg total
81.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.682.2163.8-0.650%
Last 5 (5)84.281.2165.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.082.9158.9-6.945%
vs Similar (9)80.780.0160.7+0.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.079.2163.2+4.870%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -8.5-8.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
Virtus RomaFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H07/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-68
38
68
-30
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Pesaro
#3
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
37-61
37
61
-24
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
87.7Avg total
37.6Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.346.084.3-7.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.144.182.2-6.147%-
Last 30 away (15)38.547.886.3-9.320%-
Last 10 (10)37.650.187.7-12.510%-
Last 5 (5)32.648.881.4-16.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.347.484.8-10.123%-
vs Similar (3)44.735.380.0+9.3100%-
vs Weaker (1)44.040.084.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A18/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H26/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A02/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H08/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
79.9Avg total
40.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.279.7-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.739.682.3+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)35.940.876.7-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.279.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.678.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.538.978.4+0.564%-
vs Similar (9)38.940.979.8-2.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.240.981.1-0.730%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.3
54.6%
51.2%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.7
32.1%
35.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.511.3
68.5%
75.8%11.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.8
51.6%
51.2%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.5
34.4%
35.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
75.8%15.1
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLLLLLLLL
Fortitudo Bologna
WLWLWLWLWL
#16
League position
#14
-9.5
Net rating
-7.7
107.4
Offensive rating
107.0
116.9
Defensive rating
114.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.9%
Turnover %
21.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.1%
3-point %
34.4%
51.6%
Assist %
60.5%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 107.0Defence116.9 · 114.7Shooting52.5% · 51.6%3-point %32.1% · 34.4%Ball care16.9% · 21.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Roma wins
3
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateGameScore
08/02/20Fortitudo Bologna v Virtus Roma95-92
20/10/19Virtus Roma v Fortitudo Bologna79-65
01/05/19Fortitudo Bologna v Virtus Roma103-100 OT
28/04/19Virtus Roma v Fortitudo Bologna77-77
01/02/09Virtus Roma v Fortitudo Bologna87-71
18/10/08Fortitudo Bologna v Virtus Roma58-82
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/20ABrindisi62-98
12/09/20HSassari76-99
10/09/20HPesaro56-89
07/09/20APesaro60-104
05/09/20HBrindisi69-90
03/09/20ASassari71-114
07/03/20HSassari88-93
08/02/20AFortitudo Bologna92-95
02/02/20HPistoia80-81
26/01/20ACremona92-103
Fortitudo Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/20ACremona73-63
10/09/20HReggiana93-95 OT
07/09/20AVirtus Bologna86-84
04/09/20HVirtus Bologna73-87
01/09/20HCremona96-77
29/08/20AReggiana85-90
08/02/20HVirtus Roma95-92
02/02/20ATreviso66-78
26/01/20HVarese79-76
18/01/20AVenezia70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Treviso110100%84.080.0+4.0
2 Trento1010%80.084.0-4.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Roma2024201781
Fortitudo Bologna2012281676
← all games of the day
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