PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virtus Roma vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 88-93
19-24 16-30 27-19 26-20
Position#15
Record7-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game85.1
Virtus Roma
Italy
vs
Sassari 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record15-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game75.3
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Sassari
11 Oct 2020
VRO72
SAS92
12 Sep 2020
VRO76
SAS99
07 Mar 2020
VRO88
SAS93
02 Nov 2014
VRO75
SAS84
26 Dec 2013
VRO72
SAS68
23 Dec 2012
VRO81
SAS83
07 Mar 2012
VRO68
SAS72
28 Dec 2010
VRO92
SAS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
18-13
20-19
17-18
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
19-31
22-27
25-16
22-22
14-22
15-28
21-21
18-26
15-20
20-12
23-23
18-21
22-32
29-26
24-22
17-23
21-21
27-15
14-25
18-20
18-22
23-19
16-28
35-26
167.7Avg total
80.1Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.085.1163.1-7.033%
Season at home (10)75.682.2157.8-6.640%
Season away (11)80.387.7168.0-7.527%
Last 10 (10)80.187.6167.7-7.520%
Last 5 (5)82.692.8175.4-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.987.6165.5-9.621%
vs Similar (6)77.077.2154.2-0.233%
vs Weaker (5)88.275.4163.6+12.8100%
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A08/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
101-79
101
79
+22
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
107-82
107
82
+25
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A02/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
18-22
21-16
23-22
19-25
21-18
27-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
27-19
21-20
29-18
22-16
28-25
22-20
21-22
17-22
25-15
21-15
20-15
12-24
23-13
23-18
28-25
22-18
25-27
18-17
25-19
28-25
36-19
18-19
19-26
18-19
26-27
24-18
24-20
20-14
20-19
18-30
169.1Avg total
89.2Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.275.3160.4+9.975%
Season at home (10)88.377.5165.8+10.880%
Season away (10)82.073.1155.1+8.970%
Last 10 (10)89.279.9169.1+9.380%
Last 5 (5)89.482.4171.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)87.778.7166.3+9.083%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.876.7164.5+11.283%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Virtus RomaSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/02
Lega A
85.7Avg total
40.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.284.0-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.140.881.9+0.371%-
Last 30 away (16)40.445.485.8-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.985.7-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.484.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.745.684.3-6.932%-
vs Similar (6)43.238.581.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (5)45.639.885.4+5.880%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H22/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A27/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A04/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H12/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A19/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A02/02
Lega A
83.0Avg total
42.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.039.083.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.640.686.3+5.065%-
Last 30 away (13)41.836.878.7+5.062%-
Last 10 (10)42.740.383.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.084.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.541.383.8+1.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.438.482.8+6.062%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.6
53.2%
52.0%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.1
34.1%
35.1%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.4
67.5%
73.6%11.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.2
58.2%
52.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.110.4
47.1%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.018.8
78.3%
73.6%18.8
They take 55.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
LLLLLLLLWW
Sassari
LLWWWWWWWW
#15
League position
#2
-13.6
Net rating
+13.6
106.1
Offensive rating
128.8
119.7
Defensive rating
115.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
63.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
19.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.44
34.1%
3-point %
47.1%
54.2%
Assist %
54.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 128.8Defence119.7 · 115.3Shooting52.5% · 63.2%3-point %34.1% · 47.1%Ball care18.1% · 19.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 37.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Roma wins
9
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
02/11/19Sassari v Virtus Roma108-72
15/02/15Sassari v Virtus Roma72-61
02/11/14Virtus Roma v Sassari75-84
04/10/14Sassari v Virtus Roma89-73
19/04/14Sassari v Virtus Roma82-71
26/12/13Virtus Roma v Sassari72-68
14/04/13Sassari v Virtus Roma105-87
23/12/12Virtus Roma v Sassari81-83
07/03/12Virtus Roma v Sassari68-72
19/11/11Sassari v Virtus Roma80-68
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/20AFortitudo Bologna92-95
02/02/20HPistoia80-81
26/01/20ACremona92-103
19/01/20ABrindisi81-88 OT
12/01/20HVirtus Bologna68-97
29/12/19AReggiana88-96
26/12/19AVenezia77-79
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82
08/12/19HTrieste82-72
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/20ATrieste82-83
25/01/20HTrento87-90
19/01/20APesaro107-82
12/01/20HVarese93-87
04/01/20APistoia78-70
30/12/19HCremona84-74
27/12/19ATreviso101-79
22/12/19HVirtus Bologna91-77
15/12/19HFortitudo Bologna86-80
08/12/19ABrindisi83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%40%27%
Points / game78.075.680.3
Allowed / game85.182.287.7
Point differential-7.0-6.6-7.5
Avg total163.1157.8168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Sassari
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%80%70%
Points / game85.288.382.0
Allowed / game75.377.573.1
Point differential+9.8+10.8+8.9
Avg total160.4165.8155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2015575%85.275.3+9.8
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Virtus Roma2171433%78.085.1-7.0
15 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Roma1916272688
Sassari2430192093
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.