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Pesaro vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 104-60
23-7 28-20 25-13 28-20
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.5
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record0-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game102.0
ItalyLega A - Super CupRound 3
Other2020
Meetings · Pesaro v Virtus Roma
28 Feb 2021
PES v VRO
upcoming
07 Sep 2020
PES104
VRO60
15 Mar 2020
PES v VRO
upcoming
08 Nov 2014
PES89
VRO87
08 Dec 2013
PES77
VRO82
30 Sep 2012
PES71
VRO75
02 May 2012
PES83
VRO75
24 Oct 2010
PES76
VRO69
15 Nov 2009
PES73
VRO84
23 Nov 2008
PES106
VRO93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
92-98
92
98
-6
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
82-107
82
107
-25
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
89-106
89
106
-17
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
77-103
77
103
-26
H09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#4
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
20-14
20-27
13-23
17-21
18-27
13-17
24-22
28-28
21-26
18-20
25-24
27-25
20-23
17-16
12-18
22-18
19-16
21-17
18-26
19-25
25-28
19-36
19-18
25-25
22-27
11-29
31-25
18-16
17-29
28-33
14-25
18-21
19-17
20-15
26-18
23-26
19-27
17-9
12-24
170.9Avg total
80.1Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.078.5155.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)71.086.0157.0-15.00%
Season away (1)83.071.0154.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.190.8170.9-10.720%
Last 5 (5)80.494.6175.0-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)78.091.3169.3-13.37%
vs Similar (2)77.078.5155.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
H07/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
71-114
71
114
-43
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
19-31
22-27
25-16
22-22
14-22
15-28
21-21
18-26
15-20
20-12
23-23
18-21
22-32
29-26
24-22
17-23
21-21
27-15
14-25
18-20
18-22
23-19
16-28
35-26
19-24
16-30
27-19
26-20
21-29
17-39
18-30
15-16
15-30
26-19
12-18
16-23
174.2Avg total
80.6Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.0102.0172.0-32.00%
Season at home (1)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
Season away (1)71.0114.0185.0-43.00%
Last 10 (10)80.693.6174.2-13.00%
Last 5 (5)80.094.6174.6-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.789.1166.8-11.518%
vs Similar (4)77.876.2154.0+1.550%
vs Weaker (4)90.577.8168.2+12.8100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -6.0-6.0Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.0-2.0
PesaroVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A22/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H26/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A11/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H19/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A01/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H09/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
88.9Avg total
42.3Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.546.084.5-7.513%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.145.681.7-9.47%-
Last 30 away (16)40.646.487.0-5.919%-
Last 10 (10)42.346.688.9-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.289.2-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)38.446.184.5-7.614%-
vs Similar (2)39.545.585.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H12/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A08/02
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H07/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
38-68
38
68
-30
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brindisi
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
88.8Avg total
40.2Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.245.185.3-4.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.742.883.5-2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.747.387.1-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)40.248.688.8-8.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.649.690.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.647.285.8-8.627%-
vs Similar (4)42.536.879.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker (4)47.041.888.8+5.275%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.9
46.3%
55.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
77.6%13.8
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.3
54.6%
55.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.7
32.1%
33.6%20.1
🏀 Free throws16.511.3
68.5%
77.6%11.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWLLLWLLLL
Virtus Roma
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#16
-16.6
Net rating
-9.5
103.9
Offensive rating
107.4
120.5
Defensive rating
116.9
47.0%
Effective FG%
52.5%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.9%
3-point %
32.1%
51.4%
Assist %
51.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 107.4Defence120.5 · 116.9Shooting47.0% · 52.5%3-point %31.9% · 32.1%Ball care15.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Pesaro   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pesaro wins
6
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
17/11/19Virtus Roma v Pesaro92-83
28/02/15Virtus Roma v Pesaro76-80
08/11/14Pesaro v Virtus Roma89-87
22/03/14Virtus Roma v Pesaro96-85
08/12/13Pesaro v Virtus Roma77-82
20/01/13Virtus Roma v Pesaro65-64
30/09/12Pesaro v Virtus Roma71-75
02/05/12Pesaro v Virtus Roma83-75
11/01/12Virtus Roma v Pesaro73-77 OT
30/01/11Virtus Roma v Pesaro85-53
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/09/20HSassari71-86
03/09/20ABrindisi83-71
09/02/20HBrindisi77-103
01/02/20AVirtus Bologna89-106
19/01/20HSassari82-107
11/01/20AFortitudo Bologna80-77
05/01/20HTrieste76-82
29/12/19AVenezia92-98
26/12/19HCantu72-87
22/12/19APistoia79-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/09/20HBrindisi69-90
03/09/20ASassari71-114
07/03/20HSassari88-93
08/02/20AFortitudo Bologna92-95
02/02/20HPistoia80-81
26/01/20ACremona92-103
19/01/20ABrindisi81-88 OT
12/01/20HVirtus Bologna68-97
29/12/19AReggiana88-96
26/12/19AVenezia77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game77.071.083.0
Allowed / game78.586.071.0
Point differential-1.5-15.0+12.0
Avg total155.5157.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Roma
Lega A - Super Cup 2020
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.069.071.0
Allowed / game102.090.0114.0
Point differential-32.0-21.0-43.0
Avg total172.0159.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano440100%98.569.2+29.2
2 Sassari220100%100.071.0+29.0
3 Virtus Bologna330100%84.371.3+13.0
4 Trieste330100%81.076.3+4.7
5 Venezia32167%78.374.7+3.7
6 Brescia32167%77.381.3-4.0
7 Brindisi21150%80.576.0+4.5
8 Pesaro21150%77.078.5-1.5
9 Trento31233%82.080.7+1.3
10 Fortitudo Bologna31233%84.784.7+0.0
11 Reggiana31233%78.079.7-1.7
12 Varese31233%83.092.0-9.0
13 Cremona31233%72.784.0-11.3
14 Treviso3030%77.086.7-9.7
15 Cantu4040%71.290.8-19.5
16 Virtus Roma2020%70.0102.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro23282528104
Virtus Roma720132060
← all games of the day
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