PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virtus Roma vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-65
21-16 20-20 20-9 18-20
Position#15
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#9
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game76.5
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Roma v Fortitudo Bologna
27 Sep 2020
VRO81
FBO76
20 Oct 2019
VRO79
FBO65
28 Apr 2019
VRO77
FBO77
01 Feb 2009
VRO87
FBO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#11
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H31/03
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A07/04
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
91-64
91
64
+27
H14/04
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A20/04
A2 - West
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
77-77
77
77
+0
H28/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
A01/05
A2 East
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
63-87
63
87
-24
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A12/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
27-28
19-17
19-15
13-21
23-20
18-25
14-19
29-19
20-17
24-9
18-19
20-22
22-20
24-14
22-27
17-13
26-25
16-18
18-21
11-27
27-14
21-25
23-16
16-17
13-23
23-24
15-10
14-27
13-16
22-26
14-18
23-26
27-23
21-23
26-22
22-19
19-16
24-17
16-15
163.8Avg total
82.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.080.5157.5-3.550%
Season at home (2)80.090.5170.5-10.550%
Season away (2)74.070.5144.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)82.381.5163.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)81.685.0166.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.887.0167.8-6.220%
vs Similar (14)79.976.9156.9+3.064%
vs Weaker (11)87.679.5167.1+8.273%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferrara
#12
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H31/03
A2 East
Forli
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A07/04
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A13/04
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H20/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
L
77-77
77
77
+0
A28/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
H01/05
A2 East
Pesaro
#17
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A24/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H29/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A06/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H13/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
19-15
32-20
21-21
22-22
14-26
20-18
21-22
23-21
20-26
28-25
7-22
24-24
25-19
24-16
19-22
13-17
25-26
18-16
21-18
27-11
14-27
25-21
16-23
23-20
17-21
26-7
14-24
26-24
25-22
18-12
20-24
15-17
16-32
15-21
14-13
18-19
18-26
23-14
18-10
164.9Avg total
82.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.576.5153.0+0.075%
Season at home (2)83.075.5158.5+7.5100%
Season away (2)70.077.5147.5-7.550%
Last 10 (10)82.482.5164.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)81.881.2163.0+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.582.5157.0-8.050%
vs Similar (4)85.580.0165.5+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.277.6163.8+8.779%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
Virtus RomaFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#11
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H31/03
A2 - West
Treviglio
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/04
A2 - West
Scafati
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H14/04
A2 - West
Legnano
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
A2 - West
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/05
A2 East
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/09
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H29/09
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H06/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/10
Lega A
82.2Avg total
40.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.880.8+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.880.5+2.973%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.781.2-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.482.2-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.678.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.442.279.6-4.840%-
vs Similar (14)40.338.478.6+1.957%-
vs Weaker (11)43.740.584.2+3.364%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferrara
#12
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/03
A2 East
Forli
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/04
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A13/04
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
A2 East
Pesaro
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A24/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A06/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H13/10
Lega A
84.1Avg total
40.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.182.6+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.638.885.4+7.887%-
Last 30 away (15)40.339.479.7+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.884.1-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.883.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.047.588.5-6.550%-
vs Similar (4)41.538.880.2+2.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)44.038.582.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.2
50.7%
52.0%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.010.0
40.0%
35.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.210.0
70.2%
73.6%10.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.8
58.9%
52.0%41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.0
33.3%
35.1%21.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
73.6%13.0
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Roma
WWLLLLWWLW
Fortitudo Bologna
WLWWWLWLLW
#15
League position
#9
-4.0
Net rating
-0.7
101.6
Offensive rating
106.5
105.5
Defensive rating
107.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
55.6%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
20.8%
Turnover %
17.0%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.34
40.0%
3-point %
33.3%
52.2%
Assist %
49.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 106.5Defence105.5 · 107.2Shooting54.5% · 55.6%3-point %40.0% · 33.3%Ball care20.8% · 17.0%Off. rebounds26.6% · 20.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Virtus Roma   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virtus Roma wins
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/19APistoia81-67
06/10/19HCremona97-94
29/09/19HBrindisi63-87
25/09/19AVirtus Bologna67-74
01/05/19AFortitudo Bologna100-103 OT
28/04/19HFortitudo Bologna77-77
20/04/19ALegnano88-83
14/04/19HScafati91-64
07/04/19ATreviglio68-85
31/03/19HAgrigento91-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/19HTreviso77-69
06/10/19AVarese60-83
29/09/19HVenezia89-82
24/09/19APesaro80-72
01/05/19HVirtus Roma103-100 OT
28/04/19AVirtus Roma77-77
20/04/19HRoseto92-81
13/04/19ACagliari78-94
07/04/19AForli77-88
31/03/19HFerrara91-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.080.074.0
Allowed / game80.590.570.5
Point differential-3.5-10.5+3.5
Avg total157.5170.5144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game76.583.070.0
Allowed / game76.575.577.5
Point differential+0.0+7.5-7.5
Avg total153.0158.5147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%83.674.8+8.8
2 Sassari43175%77.067.2+9.8
3 Brindisi43175%82.874.8+8.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna43175%76.576.5+0.0
5 Brescia53260%81.475.4+6.0
6 Varese42250%76.870.8+6.0
7 Reggiana42250%83.880.0+3.8
8 Trento42250%77.879.8-2.0
9 Cremona42250%84.086.8-2.8
10 Virtus Roma42250%77.080.5-3.5
11 Olimpia Milano52340%79.074.6+4.4
12 Venezia52340%77.074.6+2.4
13 Treviso52340%77.278.4-1.2
14 Trieste52340%69.878.2-8.4
15 Cantu31233%63.377.3-14.0
16 Pistoia4040%73.086.0-13.0
17 Pesaro3030%76.791.0-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Roma2120201879
Fortitudo Bologna162092065
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.