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Benfica vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 May 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 99-87
25-20 31-25 20-25 23-17
Position#1
Record21-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game76.7
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#9
Record9-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game84.0
PortugalLPBLPB - Quarter-finals· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2024-25
Meetings · Benfica v Vitoria
12 Dec 2026
BEN v VITO
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
BEN111
VITO79
09 May 2025
BEN99
VITO87
26 Apr 2025
BEN91
VITO81
01 Mar 2025
BEN85
VITO68
11 May 2024
BEN81
VITO53
04 Oct 2023
BEN107
VITO66
14 Feb 2023
BEN100
VITO80
07 May 2022
BEN89
VITO70
05 Oct 2021
BEN96
VITO57
06 Jan 2021
BEN102
VITO60
05 Oct 2019
BEN78
VITO76
19 Jan 2019
BEN83
VITO81
27 Apr 2018
BEN98
VITO86
08 Oct 2017
BEN106
VITO82
21 Apr 2017
BEN80
VITO76
12 Oct 2016
BEN85
VITO64
06 Dec 2015
BEN75
VITO56
24 May 2015
BEN77
VITO69
23 May 2015
BEN75
VITO67
23 Nov 2014
BEN80
VITO58
18 May 2014
BEN90
VITO74
17 May 2014
BEN88
VITO64
08 Feb 2014
BEN70
VITO61
24 Mar 2013
BEN75
VITO63
12 Feb 2012
BEN84
VITO78
29 Jan 2011
BEN79
VITO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
100-65
100
65
+35
106avg 83
H07/03
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 83
A15/03
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 83
A22/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
W
93-59
93
59
+34
89avg 83
H29/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
92avg 83
A05/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
106-85
106
85
+21
100avg 83
H09/04
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
93avg 83
H12/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
70avg 83
A19/04
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 83
H26/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
95-104 OT
95
104
-9
85avg 83
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-16
15-21
25-16
28-12
14-12
27-21
26-26
28-27
24-19
18-35
19-20
23-20
18-16
19-21
26-13
30-9
21-26
27-21
28-21
19-22
25-27
22-15
28-18
31-25
21-13
22-18
22-21
29-25
21-17
16-18
18-25
21-16
32-15
19-24
21-22
19-20
21-24
19-27
21-23
23-10
176.6Avg total
94.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)91.076.7167.7+14.395%
Season at home (11)90.871.8162.6+19.0100%
Season away (11)91.281.5172.7+9.691%
Last 10 (10)94.082.6176.6+11.480%
Last 5 (5)94.686.4181.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.584.0159.5-8.50%
vs Similar (4)88.289.0177.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)91.677.7169.2+13.996%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Benfica
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
64avg 75
A01/03
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
104-77
104
77
+27
108avg 75
H08/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 75
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 75
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
103-93
103
93
+10
113avg 75
H29/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 75
A05/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
74avg 75
A08/04
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
76avg 75
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
85-74
85
74
+11
76avg 75
H19/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 75
A26/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
16-28
22-18
15-17
25-11
22-19
33-25
24-22
23-15
13-20
17-25
23-21
23-16
15-31
22-11
22-17
30-17
23-28
24-13
26-35
15-17
21-21
27-19
8-24
24-24
21-17
21-31
18-30
13-31
32-19
16-26
28-21
22-26
21-17
17-13
25-18
15-32
24-19
22-21
20-19
169.9Avg total
84.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.184.0166.1-1.841%
Season at home (11)84.283.5167.7+0.645%
Season away (11)80.184.4164.5-4.336%
Last 10 (10)84.385.6169.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)82.089.0171.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.490.7168.1-13.49%
vs Similar (13)81.883.4165.2-1.646%
vs Weaker (5)86.077.4163.4+8.660%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
BenficaVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H07/03
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/03
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A22/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H29/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H09/04
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H12/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A19/04
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H26/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/05
Taca da Liga
83.9Avg total
43.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.137.582.6+7.677%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.135.280.2+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)45.240.185.4+5.171%-
Last 10 (10)43.340.683.9+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.683.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.534.078.5+10.5100%-
vs Similar (4)43.246.089.2-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.336.782.0+8.783%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A01/03
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H08/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H29/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/04
LPB
84.3Avg total
41.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.382.7-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.941.981.9-2.040%-
Last 30 away (15)40.942.783.6-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.084.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.644.686.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.245.682.8-8.59%-
vs Similar (13)41.241.482.5-0.262%-
vs Weaker (5)40.437.878.2+2.660%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.6
54.0%
51.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.6
32.1%
32.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws25.818.6
72.1%
69.2%18.6
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.2
53.5%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
32.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.517.5
71.4%
69.2%17.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
LWWWWWWLWW
Vitoria
LWLLLWWLWL
#1
League position
#9
+14.4
Net rating
-1.9
115.2
Offensive rating
106.8
100.8
Defensive rating
108.7
51.4%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
40.0%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.1%
3-point %
32.0%
68.3%
Assist %
62.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 106.8Defence100.8 · 108.7Shooting51.4% · 50.9%3-point %32.1% · 32.0%Ball care16.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds40.0% · 33.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Benfica   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Benfica wins
1
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
26/04/25Benfica v Vitoria91-81
01/03/25Benfica v Vitoria85-68
08/02/25Vitoria v Benfica90-95
04/01/25Vitoria v Benfica69-89
14/05/24Vitoria v Benfica71-93
11/05/24Benfica v Vitoria81-53
20/01/24Vitoria v Benfica91-71
04/10/23Benfica v Vitoria107-66
14/02/23Benfica v Vitoria100-80
25/11/22Vitoria v Benfica79-106
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HFC Porto95-104 OT
26/04/25HVitoria91-81
19/04/25ASporting CP87-85 OT
12/04/25HCD Povoa94-77
09/04/25HCD Povoa106-85
05/04/25AGalitos Barreiro95-90
29/03/25HOvarense93-59
22/03/25AFC Porto84-94
15/03/25ACA Queluz95-86
07/03/25HEsgueira100-65
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ABenfica81-91
19/04/25HGalomar85-74
12/04/25HSporting CP89-97
08/04/25AGalitos Barreiro84-102
05/04/25ACD Povoa71-81
29/03/25HGalitos Barreiro103-93
22/03/25AGalomar82-75
15/03/25AOvarense76-81
08/03/25HCA Queluz104-77
01/03/25ABenfica68-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %95%100%91%
Points / game91.090.891.2
Allowed / game76.771.881.5
Point differential+14.3+19.0+9.6
Avg total167.7162.6172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%91%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeWWWLW45%
AwayWLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%45%36%
Points / game82.184.280.1
Allowed / game84.083.584.4
Point differential-1.8+0.6-4.3
Avg total166.1167.7164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2221195%91.076.7+14.3
2 FC Porto2219386%88.578.1+10.3
3 Sporting CP2215768%86.078.5+7.5
4 Oliveirense2213959%84.379.1+5.2
5 Ovarense2213959%79.380.3-1.0
6 Galitos Barreiro22101245%80.081.1-1.1
7 Imortal22101245%79.685.1-5.5
8 Vitoria2291341%82.184.0-1.8
9 Esgueira2291341%82.086.6-4.6
10 CD Povoa2251723%73.381.0-7.6
11 CA Queluz2251723%81.189.7-8.6
12 Galomar2231914%75.982.8-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica2531202399
Vitoria2025251787
← all games of the day
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