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Vitoria vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 68-88
22-19 10-12 19-33 17-24
Position#9
Record9-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record22-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game77.1
PortugalLPBLPB - Quarter-finals· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vitoria v Benfica
17 Apr 2027
VITO v BEN
upcoming
01 Nov 2025
VITO76
BEN87
14 May 2025
VITO68
BEN88
08 Feb 2025
VITO90
BEN95
04 Jan 2025
VITO69
BEN89
14 May 2024
VITO71
BEN93
20 Jan 2024
VITO91
BEN71
25 Nov 2022
VITO79
BEN106
17 Dec 2021
VITO68
BEN108
31 Jan 2021
VITO66
BEN89
28 Dec 2019
VITO83
BEN90
27 Oct 2018
VITO71
BEN74
30 Mar 2018
VITO87
BEN77
16 Dec 2017
VITO100
BEN98
12 Mar 2017
VITO80
BEN85
17 Dec 2016
VITO68
BEN65
12 Dec 2015
VITO73
BEN79
30 May 2015
VITO63
BEN71
21 Feb 2015
VITO77
BEN69
23 May 2014
VITO72
BEN88
09 Nov 2013
VITO80
BEN70
09 Dec 2012
VITO74
BEN87
12 Nov 2011
VITO60
BEN93
24 Oct 2010
VITO76
BEN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
104-77
104
77
+27
108avg 76
H08/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 76
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 76
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
103-93
103
93
+10
113avg 76
H29/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 76
A05/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
74avg 76
A08/04
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
76avg 76
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
85-74
85
74
+11
76avg 76
H19/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 76
A26/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
77avg 76
A09/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
22-19
33-25
24-22
23-15
13-20
17-25
23-21
23-16
15-31
22-11
22-17
30-17
23-28
24-13
26-35
15-17
21-21
27-19
8-24
24-24
21-17
21-31
18-30
13-31
32-19
16-26
28-21
22-26
21-17
17-13
25-18
15-32
24-19
22-21
20-19
20-25
25-31
25-20
17-23
173.2Avg total
86.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.384.6167.0-2.339%
Season at home (11)84.283.5167.7+0.645%
Season away (12)80.785.6166.2-4.933%
Last 10 (10)86.287.0173.2-0.840%
Last 5 (5)85.292.6177.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.291.4169.6-13.28%
vs Similar (12)82.282.5164.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (5)86.077.4163.4+8.660%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
89avg 83
A15/03
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 83
A22/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
W
93-59
93
59
+34
89avg 83
H29/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
92avg 83
A05/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
106-85
106
85
+21
100avg 83
H09/04
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#10
W
94-77
94
77
+17
93avg 83
H12/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
70avg 83
A19/04
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 83
H26/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
95-104 OT
95
104
-9
85avg 83
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
99-87
99
87
+12
100avg 83
H09/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
27-21
26-26
28-27
24-19
18-35
19-20
23-20
18-16
19-21
26-13
30-9
21-26
27-21
28-21
19-22
25-27
22-15
28-18
31-25
21-13
22-18
22-21
29-25
21-17
16-18
18-25
21-16
32-15
19-24
21-22
19-20
21-24
19-27
21-23
23-10
25-20
31-25
20-25
23-17
178.7Avg total
93.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)91.377.1168.5+14.296%
Season at home (12)91.573.1164.6+18.4100%
Season away (11)91.281.5172.7+9.691%
Last 10 (10)93.984.8178.7+9.180%
Last 5 (5)93.286.8180.0+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.584.0159.5-8.50%
vs Similar (4)88.289.0177.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.378.1170.4+14.296%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +5.5+5.5
VitoriaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H08/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H29/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/05
LPB
86.3Avg total
42.7Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.583.4-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.641.381.9-0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)41.243.584.7-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)42.743.686.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.448.291.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.846.584.3-8.78%-
vs Similar (12)42.040.682.6+1.467%-
vs Weaker (5)40.437.878.2+2.660%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CA Queluz
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/03
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A22/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H29/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/04
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H09/04
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#10
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H12/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A19/04
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H26/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H03/05
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/05
LPB
85.6Avg total
44.2Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.937.883.7+8.180%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.535.882.2+10.888%-
Last 30 away (14)45.240.185.4+5.171%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.485.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.440.285.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)44.534.078.5+10.5100%-
vs Similar (4)43.246.089.2-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.337.083.4+9.387%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.5
55.1%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.3
33.6%
32.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.517.3
73.6%
69.2%17.3
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.4
53.2%
51.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.9
33.5%
32.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.818.0
72.6%
69.2%18.0
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLWLLLWWLW
Benfica
WLWWWWWWLW
#9
League position
#1
-1.3
Net rating
+11.6
109.6
Offensive rating
115.5
110.9
Defensive rating
103.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
40.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.6%
3-point %
33.5%
59.4%
Assist %
67.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.6 · 115.5Defence110.9 · 103.9Shooting52.8% · 51.9%3-point %33.6% · 33.5%Ball care19.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 40.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Vitoria   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vitoria wins
9
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
09/05/25Benfica v Vitoria99-87
26/04/25Benfica v Vitoria91-81
01/03/25Benfica v Vitoria85-68
08/02/25Vitoria v Benfica90-95
04/01/25Vitoria v Benfica69-89
14/05/24Vitoria v Benfica71-93
11/05/24Benfica v Vitoria81-53
20/01/24Vitoria v Benfica91-71
04/10/23Benfica v Vitoria107-66
14/02/23Benfica v Vitoria100-80
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25ABenfica87-99
26/04/25ABenfica81-91
19/04/25HGalomar85-74
12/04/25HSporting CP89-97
08/04/25AGalitos Barreiro84-102
05/04/25ACD Povoa71-81
29/03/25HGalitos Barreiro103-93
22/03/25AGalomar82-75
15/03/25AOvarense76-81
08/03/25HCA Queluz104-77
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/25HVitoria99-87
03/05/25HFC Porto95-104 OT
26/04/25HVitoria91-81
19/04/25ASporting CP87-85 OT
12/04/25HCD Povoa94-77
09/04/25HCD Povoa106-85
05/04/25AGalitos Barreiro95-90
29/03/25HOvarense93-59
22/03/25AFC Porto84-94
15/03/25ACA Queluz95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeWWWLW45%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%45%33%
Points / game82.384.280.7
Allowed / game84.683.585.6
Point differential-2.3+0.6-4.9
Avg total167.0167.7166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Benfica
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW96%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %96%100%91%
Points / game91.391.591.2
Allowed / game77.173.181.5
Point differential+14.2+18.4+9.6
Avg total168.5164.6172.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%92%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (1)100% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2322196%91.377.1+14.2
2 FC Porto2320387%88.478.0+10.5
3 Sporting CP2316770%86.278.6+7.6
4 Oliveirense2314961%84.478.9+5.5
5 Ovarense23131057%79.180.6-1.5
6 Galitos Barreiro23101343%80.081.5-1.5
7 Imortal23101343%79.385.2-5.9
8 Esgueira2291341%82.086.6-4.6
9 Vitoria2391439%82.384.6-2.3
10 CD Povoa2251723%73.381.0-7.6
11 CA Queluz2251723%81.189.7-8.6
12 Galomar2231914%75.982.8-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria2210191768
Benfica1912332488
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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