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Vitoria vs Ovarense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-94
16-25 24-18 20-25 17-26
Position#10
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game76.2
PortugalLPBRound 6· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vitoria v Ovarense
10 Oct 2026
VITO71
OVAR87
15 Nov 2025
VITO77
OVAR94
16 Nov 2024
VITO62
OVAR67
23 Sep 2023
VITO79
OVAR76
22 Dec 2022
VITO97
OVAR76
02 Apr 2022
VITO95
OVAR91
24 Oct 2021
VITO81
OVAR82
09 Jan 2021
VITO71
OVAR70
14 Dec 2019
VITO75
OVAR71
17 Nov 2018
VITO67
OVAR77
15 Nov 2017
VITO113
OVAR101
03 Dec 2016
VITO97
OVAR103
04 Dec 2015
VITO75
OVAR87
02 Nov 2014
VITO71
OVAR65
19 Apr 2014
VITO89
OVAR84
18 Apr 2014
VITO86
OVAR72
08 Mar 2014
VITO84
OVAR71
28 Apr 2013
VITO79
OVAR67
27 Apr 2013
VITO83
OVAR84
25 Nov 2012
VITO85
OVAR93
11 Dec 2011
VITO69
OVAR75
27 Nov 2010
VITO81
OVAR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
76avg 75
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
85-74
85
74
+11
76avg 75
H19/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 75
A26/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
77avg 75
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
55avg 75
H14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
68-97
68
97
-29
58avg 75
H05/10
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 75
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
60avg 75
A18/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 75
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
85-105
85
105
-20
76avg 75
A08/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
32-19
16-26
28-21
22-26
21-17
17-13
25-18
15-32
24-19
22-21
20-19
20-25
25-31
25-20
17-23
22-19
10-12
19-33
17-24
8-20
27-21
14-27
19-29
23-28
21-16
22-21
15-19
22-25
13-18
16-20
21-13
27-18
12-22
21-23
16-24
26-29
16-27
16-14
27-35
169.0Avg total
79.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.489.8166.2-13.40%
Season at home (2)72.092.0164.0-20.00%
Season away (3)79.388.3167.7-9.00%
Last 10 (10)79.289.8169.0-10.610%
Last 5 (5)76.489.8166.2-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.792.5172.2-12.88%
vs Similar (12)81.682.0163.6-0.450%
vs Weaker (4)86.077.0163.0+9.050%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
87avg 71
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 71
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 71
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-103
71
103
-32
61avg 71
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 71
H29/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
81-75
81
75
+6
85avg 71
H04/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
57avg 71
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
83avg 71
H18/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
42avg 71
A01/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
72-71
72
71
+1
62avg 71
H08/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-12
14-18
23-26
21-21
17-18
21-20
25-25
20-19
25-15
10-20
9-24
22-26
21-28
17-25
21-35
12-15
8-22
20-25
35-14
17-28
21-19
24-20
18-25
18-11
16-21
21-18
23-11
23-25
20-19
27-23
25-20
15-20
13-28
21-15
14-18
16-17
21-25
12-20
21-13
18-13
159.6Avg total
77.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.476.2153.6+1.280%
Season at home (4)80.875.8156.5+5.0100%
Season away (1)64.078.0142.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)77.981.7159.6-3.860%
Last 5 (5)77.476.2153.6+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.987.9163.8-12.023%
vs Similar (8)80.679.0159.6+1.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.271.4152.6+9.9100%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.3-1.3
VitoriaOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/10
LPB
Imortal
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A08/11
LPB
85.4Avg total
39.9Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.283.4-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.539.980.3+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.586.5-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.585.4-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.883.8-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.245.284.5-6.015%-
vs Similar (12)42.041.083.0+1.067%-
vs Weaker (4)38.836.575.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A17/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A24/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H29/05
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/10
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H18/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/11
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H08/11
LPB
79.4Avg total
38.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.879.0-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.139.776.8-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)41.139.981.0+1.244%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.179.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.680.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.241.278.4-3.931%-
vs Similar (8)40.138.478.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.839.579.2+0.238%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.4
52.8%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.6
30.6%
32.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.0
72.1%
70.4%15.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.3
54.2%
52.7%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.0
32.8%
32.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.1
66.8%
70.4%14.1
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLLLLLLLWL
Ovarense
WLWWWLLLWW
#10
League position
#4
-13.2
Net rating
-3.8
99.6
Offensive rating
103.0
112.8
Defensive rating
106.9
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
22.5%
Turnover %
21.4%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.6%
3-point %
32.8%
47.1%
Assist %
65.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 103.0Defence112.8 · 106.9Shooting50.2% · 51.9%3-point %30.6% · 32.8%Ball care22.5% · 21.4%Off. rebounds30.7% · 31.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Vitoria   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vitoria wins
7
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Ovarense v Vitoria81-76
16/11/24Vitoria v Ovarense62-67
06/01/24Ovarense v Vitoria91-90
23/09/23Vitoria v Ovarense79-76
22/12/22Vitoria v Ovarense97-76
05/10/22Ovarense v Vitoria97-88
16/04/22Ovarense v Vitoria101-93
02/04/22Vitoria v Ovarense95-91
02/02/22Ovarense v Vitoria81-63
24/10/21Vitoria v Ovarense81-82
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25AFC Porto85-105
01/11/25HBenfica76-87
18/10/25ACA Queluz72-76
11/10/25AImortal81-84
05/10/25HSporting CP68-97
14/05/25HBenfica68-88
09/05/25ABenfica87-99
26/04/25ABenfica81-91
19/04/25HGalomar85-74
12/04/25HSporting CP89-97
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HImortal72-71
01/11/25ASporting CP64-78
18/10/25HOliveirense87-82
11/10/25HVasco Da Gama83-75
04/10/25HEsgueira81-75
29/05/25HBenfica80-89
24/05/25ABenfica71-103
22/05/25ABenfica66-85
17/05/25AOliveirense83-82
14/05/25HOliveirense92-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.472.079.3
Allowed / game89.892.088.3
Point differential-13.4-20.0-9.0
Avg total166.2164.0167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game77.480.864.0
Allowed / game76.275.878.0
Point differential+1.2+5.0-14.0
Avg total153.6156.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica660100%97.872.5+25.3
2 Sporting CP54180%90.079.4+10.6
3 Ovarense54180%77.476.2+1.2
4 Esgueira53260%93.691.2+2.4
5 CA Queluz53260%80.278.6+1.6
6 Braga53260%77.879.8-2.0
7 FC Porto63350%90.390.8-0.5
8 Oliveirense52340%83.681.6+2.0
9 Imortal52340%77.084.4-7.4
10 Vasco Da Gama51420%87.290.4-3.2
11 Vitoria5050%76.489.8-13.4
12 Galitos Barreiro5050%85.4107.0-21.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria1624201777
Ovarense2518252694
← all games of the day
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