PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Wagner vs Merrimack Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 44-60
24-21 20-39
Position#193
Record9-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game62.5
vs
Position#91
Record10-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wagner v Merrimack Warriors
25 Jan 2024
WAGN44
MERR60
31 Dec 2022
WAGN48
MERR58
12 Feb 2022
WAGN65
MERR80
03 Mar 2021
WAGN64
MERR59
02 Mar 2021
WAGN74
MERR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wagner winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Merrimack Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#368
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
59-73
59
73
-14
H10/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#85
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A17/12
NCAA
Gwynedd-Mercy
#624
W
98-49
98
49
+49
H22/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A31/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A05/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H15/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
W
71-65
71
65
+6
A20/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
L
61-66
61
66
-5
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-31
39-28
28-30
–
22-31
29-32
47-19
51-30
25-27
43-29
28-45
39-24
37-23
34-33
32-19
32-35
31-38
40-27
28-21
33-45
128.2Avg total
67.2Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)64.662.5127.2+2.153%
Season at home (6)73.255.2128.3+18.083%
Season away (11)60.066.5126.5-6.536%
Last 10 (10)67.261.0128.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)66.862.0128.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)51.063.0114.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)61.367.1128.4-5.843%
vs Weaker (14)64.756.4121.1+8.364%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Felician Golden
#381
W
89-85
89
85
+4
H10/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A20/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H22/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H05/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H06/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Wagner
#193
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H20/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-35
46-50
17-27
32-38
34-16
34-36
22-38
41-36
30-24
30-32
41-26
41-32
34-19
32-43
28-36
42-39
38-31
27-40
28-28
35-19
132.0Avg total
67.5Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.567.8136.4+0.750%
Season at home (9)72.763.9136.6+8.878%
Season away (11)65.271.1136.3-5.927%
Last 10 (10)67.564.5132.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)69.262.6131.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.771.3138.0-4.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)65.065.4130.4-0.457%
vs Weaker (12)73.563.4136.9+10.183%
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.7+1.71st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -0.5-0.5
WagnerMerrimack Warriors
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coppin State
#368
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H10/12
NCAA
Fairfield
#85
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A17/12
NCAA
Gwynedd-Mercy
#624
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H22/12
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A31/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A05/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H06/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H15/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A21/01
NCAA
58.5Avg total
30.1Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.227.957.2+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.823.357.2+10.583%-
Last 30 away (18)26.231.057.2-4.822%-
Last 10 (10)30.128.458.5+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)31.229.260.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.031.053.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)28.730.459.1-1.736%-
vs Weaker (14)29.225.454.6+3.857%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Felician Golden
#381
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
17-27
17
27
-10
A20/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
34-16
34
16
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Boston University
#221
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A30/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#242
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A13/01
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A15/01
NCAA
Wagner
#193
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H21/01
NCAA
59.5Avg total
31.5Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.328.360.6+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.426.560.9+7.987%-
Last 30 away (15)30.330.160.3+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)31.528.059.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)33.828.061.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.332.359.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.529.159.6+1.464%-
vs Weaker (12)35.126.261.2+8.975%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Wagner wins
3
Merrimack Warriors wins
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ASacred Heart61-66
20/01/24AMerrimack Warriors71-65
15/01/24HStonehill64-54
06/01/24HSt. Francis (PA)71-56
05/01/24ALIU Sharks67-69
31/12/23AManhattan68-56
22/12/23HGwynedd-Mercy98-49
17/12/23AFairfield51-63
10/12/23HBoston University59-73
07/12/23ACoppin State62-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HStonehill63-47
20/01/24HWagner65-71
15/01/24ACentral Connecticut State70-75
13/01/24ALe Moyne66-62
06/01/24HSacred Heart82-58
05/01/24HFairleigh Dickinson60-56
30/12/23ABoston University63-74
22/12/23HBucknell68-52
20/12/23ACincinnati49-65
10/12/23HFelician Golden89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wagner
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %53%83%36%
Points / game64.673.260.0
Allowed / game62.555.266.5
Point differential+2.1+18.0-6.5
Avg total127.2128.3126.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%83%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)-40% (5)
Overtime %6%0%9%
Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %50%78%27%
Points / game68.572.765.2
Allowed / game67.863.971.1
Point differential+0.7+8.8-5.9
Avg total136.4136.6136.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State1911858%73.766.4+7.3
2 Wagner179853%64.662.5+2.1
3 Fairleigh Dickinson2191243%77.278.9-1.6
4 Chicago State26111542%68.969.5-0.6
5 Le Moyne1981142%74.372.1+2.2
6 St. Francis (PA)2061430%65.073.3-8.3
7 LIU Sharks1731418%63.578.7-15.2
8 Stonehill2121910%63.078.0-14.9
9 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.079.0-32.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac1814478%78.872.2+6.6
2 Fairfield1912763%76.671.3+5.3
3 St. Peters1610662%65.864.2+1.6
4 Marist169756%64.261.9+2.3
5 Sacred Heart20101050%73.271.6+1.6
6 Niagara189950%76.475.1+1.3
7 Merrimack Warriors20101050%68.567.8+0.7
8 Iona1881044%72.471.4+1.1
9 Mount St. Mary's1771041%71.870.2+1.6
10 Canisius1871139%73.173.8-0.7
11 Rider1851328%71.876.9-5.1
12 Manhattan1641225%65.376.7-11.4
13 Siena1831517%62.176.8-14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wagner242044
Merrimack Warriors213960
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.