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Warwick Senators vs Willetton Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 128-99
40-19 32-25 29-25 27-30
Position#2
Record12-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Position#4
Record13-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game89.4
AustraliaNBL1 West
Other2025
Meetings · Warwick Senators v Willetton Tigers
05 Jul 2025
WARW128
WILL99
05 Jul 2024
WARW119
WILL82
07 May 2022
WARW97
WILL89
07 Aug 2021
WARW95
WILL100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Warwick Senators winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Willetton Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Warwick SenatorsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
104-87
104
87
+17
H03/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A09/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H16/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
101-69
101
69
+32
A17/05
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
87-100
87
100
-13
A24/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
114-113
114
113
+1
H31/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
106-122
106
122
-16
H07/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
107-75
107
75
+32
A14/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
112-94
112
94
+18
H20/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
106-108
106
108
-2
A28/06
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
33-16
23-24
17-28
19-24
26-23
18-15
18-15
21-19
23-16
31-25
23-16
31-11
31-22
16-19
23-17
24-27
20-28
24-29
19-16
28-24
28-30
32-28
26-31
21-33
25-25
33-29
27-35
25-24
33-15
29-21
20-15
30-25
30-20
23-19
29-30
31-35
23-20
16-22
36-31
193.7Avg total
101.6Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)107.191.5198.5+15.680%
Season at home (7)112.497.7210.1+14.786%
Season away (8)102.486.0188.4+16.475%
Last 10 (10)101.692.1193.7+9.570%
Last 5 (5)109.0102.4211.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.8103.8192.5-15.00%
vs Similar (6)95.596.3191.8-0.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)105.889.2194.9+16.680%
This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Willetton TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goldfields Giants
#6
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H17/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A24/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
99-98
99
98
+1
A31/05
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
103-99 OT
103
99
+4
H01/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
108-82
108
82
+26
A07/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H14/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A20/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H21/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
97-117
97
117
-20
A28/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H04/07
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
16-20
15-19
11-21
32-19
21-20
17-18
14-19
24-25
30-28
25-23
20-22
22-20
27-29
13-20
26-19
21-22
33-17
21-16
33-27
21-19
31-19
15-29
16-15
21-16
18-15
31-31
23-26
20-28
26-21
21-15
28-23
26-19
26-25
19-33
26-40
20-23
17-31
28-13
34-25
183.3Avg total
93.1Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)94.889.4184.2+5.476%
Season at home (9)92.487.7180.1+4.867%
Season away (8)97.591.4188.9+6.188%
Last 10 (10)93.190.2183.3+2.980%
Last 5 (5)93.493.2186.6+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)92.7100.0192.7-7.333%
vs Similar (11)93.594.0187.5-0.555%
vs Weaker (13)93.585.8179.2+7.785%
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Warwick SenatorsWilletton Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Warwick SenatorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
64-35
64
35
+29
H03/05
NBL1 West
Perry Lakes Hawks
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A09/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
62-33
62
33
+29
A17/05
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A24/05
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H31/05
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H07/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A14/06
NBL1 West
Kalamunda Eastern Suns
#9
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H20/06
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A28/06
NBL1 West
98.9Avg total
53.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.847.199.9+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.046.199.1+6.973%-
Last 30 away (15)52.548.1100.6+4.547%-
Last 10 (10)53.345.698.9+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)54.850.2105.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.255.098.2-11.80%-
vs Similar (6)48.850.098.8-1.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)55.944.6100.5+11.280%-
This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Willetton TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H17/05
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A24/05
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A31/05
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H01/06
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/06
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H14/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A20/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H21/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A28/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H04/07
NBL1 West
91.7Avg total
48.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.045.994.9+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.945.592.4+1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)51.146.397.4+4.773%-
Last 10 (10)48.043.791.7+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.243.288.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)50.247.898.0+2.350%-
vs Similar (11)48.348.296.5+0.155%-
vs Weaker (13)49.143.192.2+6.069%-
This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Warwick Senators wins
4
Willetton Tigers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25ARockingham Flames106-108
20/06/25HKalamunda Eastern Suns112-94
14/06/25AGoldfields Giants107-75
07/06/25HEast Perth Eagles106-122
31/05/25HGoldfields Giants114-113
24/05/25AGeraldton Buccaneers87-100
17/05/25APerth Redbacks101-69
16/05/25HBeeliar Boodjar98-76
09/05/25APerry Lakes Hawks81-77
03/05/25HMandurah Magic104-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/25HJoondalup Wolves99-92
28/06/25AGeraldton Buccaneers97-117
21/06/25HMandurah Magic95-87
20/06/25ALakeside Lightning93-88
14/06/25HEast Perth Eagles83-82
07/06/25AGoldfields Giants108-82
01/06/25HGeraldton Buccaneers103-99 OT
31/05/25ABeeliar Boodjar99-98
24/05/25APerth Redbacks84-76
17/05/25HGoldfields Giants70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Warwick Senators
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL80%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWLWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%86%75%
Points / game107.1112.4102.4
Allowed / game91.597.786.0
Point differential+15.6+14.7+16.4
Avg total198.5210.1188.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Willetton Tigers
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%67%88%
Points / game94.892.497.5
Allowed / game89.487.791.4
Point differential+5.4+4.8+6.1
Avg total184.2180.1188.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%11%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rockingham Flames1714382%106.194.6+11.5
2 Warwick Senators1512380%107.191.5+15.6
3 Willetton Tigers1713476%94.889.4+5.4
4 Geraldton Buccaneers1511473%102.784.9+17.8
5 Joondalup Wolves1711665%97.191.7+5.4
6 Mandurah Magic179853%93.996.9-2.9
7 Kalamunda Eastern Suns168850%86.984.9+2.0
8 Goldfields Giants168850%90.792.2-1.5
9 East Perth Eagles167944%93.293.8-0.6
10 Perry Lakes Hawks156940%84.891.1-6.3
11 Lakeside Lightning1651131%87.294.4-7.2
12 Perth Redbacks1751229%83.494.6-11.3
13 Beeliar Boodjar1631319%87.497.0-9.6
14 South West Slammers161156%81.298.2-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Warwick Senators40322927128
Willetton Tigers1925253099
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