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Waverley vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 May 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 87-79
22-17 21-19 20-26 24-17
Position#9
Record3-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#18
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game92.2
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Waverley v Dandenong
30 Apr 2024
WAVE90
DAND82
14 May 2023
WAVE87
DAND79
07 Jul 2019
WAVE82
DAND95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#19
W
115-71
115
71
+44
A13/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
93-86
93
86
+7
H14/08
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H02/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
91-88
91
88
+3
A13/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
82-104
82
104
-22
A15/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H25/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H30/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A12/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-27
28-16
41-14
22-14
24-14
21-29
28-19
20-24
18-18
21-20
18-15
14-28
22-30
25-25
26-17
18-16
–
–
–
–
12-26
26-23
24-29
20-19
25-18
15-20
20-20
13-21
23-23
14-19
16-13
20-23
21-18
23-29
25-17
22-25
19-17
17-22
25-18
16-14
169.2Avg total
84.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.085.9165.9-5.938%
Season at home (4)77.081.8158.8-4.825%
Season away (4)83.090.0173.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)84.884.4169.2+0.450%
Last 5 (5)79.282.8162.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.089.3168.3-10.329%
vs Similar (14)81.986.4168.3-4.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.275.6164.8+13.778%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H01/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
107-84
107
84
+23
H15/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H16/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H22/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A29/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
74-103
74
103
-29
H06/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
76-99
76
99
-23
A07/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A13/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
27-25
22-18
20-18
12-31
19-24
16-23
31-15
25-19
22-19
33-23
27-23
23-18
27-16
21-31
18-25
21-24
17-25
21-19
23-27
20-21
16-25
17-21
19-33
24-24
21-18
14-29
29-26
26-23
14-23
17-27
17-30
10-28
19-28
21-29
26-14
16-29
28-17
24-15
17-28
177.0Avg total
84.8Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.892.2177.0-7.420%
Season at home (5)89.888.8178.6+1.040%
Season away (5)79.895.6175.4-15.80%
Last 10 (10)84.892.2177.0-7.420%
Last 5 (5)79.097.6176.6-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)80.393.0173.2-12.719%
vs Similar (3)74.083.7157.7-9.70%
vs Weaker (1)97.072.0169.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Waverley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +6.8+6.8Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
WaverleyDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#19
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A13/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/08
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A13/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A22/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H30/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A12/05
NBL1 South
85.8Avg total
42.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.541.684.0+0.966%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.981.6+1.973%-
Last 30 away (14)43.343.486.6-0.157%-
Last 10 (9)42.043.885.8-1.844%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.082.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.041.781.7-1.750%-
vs Similar (14)43.143.686.7-0.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.138.381.4+4.867%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H01/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H15/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H16/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H22/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A29/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H06/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A07/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A13/05
NBL1 South
86.3Avg total
41.5Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.046.086.0-6.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.687.3-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)37.347.384.6-10.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.886.3-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.847.286.0-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)39.847.287.0-7.331%-
vs Similar (3)36.739.075.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Waverley wins
1
Dandenong wins
DateGameScore
13/08/22Dandenong v Waverley71-115
07/07/19Waverley v Dandenong82-95
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/23AMt Gambier77-71
07/05/23HNW Tasmania91-89
30/04/23HNunawading73-78
25/04/23HDiamond Valley73-79
22/04/23ASandringham Sabres82-97
15/04/23AFrankston82-104
13/04/23AMelbourne Tigers91-88
02/04/23HRingwood71-81
14/08/22HMt Gambier93-86
13/08/22ADandenong115-71
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23ABendigo Braves85-89
07/05/23AEltham76-99
06/05/23HSandringham Sabres74-103
29/04/23ABallarat88-97
24/04/23AFrankston72-100
22/04/23HMelbourne Tigers82-95
16/04/23HDiamond Valley89-90
15/04/23HHobart Chargers107-84
06/04/23AKilsyth78-93
01/04/23HCasey Cavaliers97-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game80.077.083.0
Allowed / game85.981.890.0
Point differential-5.9-4.8-7.0
Avg total165.9158.8173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game84.889.879.8
Allowed / game92.288.895.6
Point differential-7.4+1.0-15.8
Avg total177.0178.6175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston97278%95.883.0+12.8
2 Eltham97278%91.079.2+11.8
3 Knox96367%84.375.8+8.6
4 Mt Gambier96367%97.089.0+8.0
5 Nunawading96367%89.382.7+6.7
6 Sandringham Sabres106460%91.689.1+2.5
7 Geelong95456%87.285.7+1.6
8 Hobart Chargers95456%84.784.3+0.3
9 Diamond Valley95456%86.187.0-0.9
10 Ballarat105550%91.791.4+0.3
11 Keilor Thunder84450%85.094.9-9.9
12 Kilsyth94544%92.291.6+0.7
13 Melbourne Tigers94544%83.483.9-0.4
14 Waverley83538%80.085.9-5.9
15 Ringwood93633%87.689.7-2.1
16 NW Tasmania93633%82.089.9-7.9
17 Bendigo Braves93633%85.896.6-10.8
18 Casey Cavaliers92722%77.186.2-9.1
19 Dandenong102820%84.892.2-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley2221202487
Dandenong1719261779
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