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Ballarat vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 97-88
24-24 18-21 29-14 26-29
Position#11
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#18
Record2-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game89.0
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Ballarat v Dandenong
12 Jul 2025
BALL93
DAND73
27 Jul 2024
BALL91
DAND78
15 Jun 2024
BALL84
DAND86
29 Apr 2023
BALL97
DAND88
26 Aug 2017
BALL94
DAND102
16 Jul 2017
BALL100
DAND87
14 May 2016
BALL94
DAND92
23 May 2015
BALL90
DAND101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
L
79-101
79
101
-22
H06/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A07/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
70-102
70
102
-32
A12/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H14/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
118-100
118
100
+18
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A22/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
20-34
17-23
19-21
27-25
18-23
20-28
13-10
16-28
25-30
17-24
12-20
28-18
21-18
19-25
30-27
25-13
18-23
23-18
26-14
34-33
29-23
30-23
25-21
24-33
26-23
15-28
27-11
24-35
22-22
12-28
18-19
27-16
16-24
27-14
24-29
29-25
14-25
19-21
32-13
180.2Avg total
89.1Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.389.0183.3+5.367%
Season at home (2)105.084.0189.0+21.0100%
Season away (4)89.091.5180.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)89.191.1180.2-2.050%
Last 5 (5)94.893.2188.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.886.8165.5-8.038%
vs Similar (14)82.283.4165.6-1.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.682.8173.4+7.975%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A31/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A06/08
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
71-115
71
115
-44
H13/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A14/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
97-72
97
72
+25
H01/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
107-84
107
84
+23
H15/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H16/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H22/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A24/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-3
11-19
12-34
15-11
19-28
19-26
20-25
22-14
27-24
16-28
14-41
14-22
21-17
20-21
19-22
18-22
28-11
27-25
22-18
20-18
12-31
19-24
16-23
31-15
25-19
22-19
33-23
27-23
23-18
27-16
21-31
18-25
21-24
17-25
21-19
23-27
20-21
16-25
17-21
19-33
170.0Avg total
80.9Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.589.0176.5-1.533%
Season at home (4)93.885.2179.0+8.550%
Season away (2)75.096.5171.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)80.989.1170.0-8.220%
Last 5 (5)85.692.4178.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)80.390.6170.8-10.322%
vs Similar (2)68.581.0149.5-12.50%
vs Weaker (1)97.072.0169.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -6.2-6.2Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
BallaratDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#10
L
43-57
43
57
-14
H06/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/08
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A12/08
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H14/08
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/04
NBL1 South
96.0Avg total
46.6Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.888.3-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.942.488.3+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.446.988.2-5.525%-
Last 10 (10)46.649.496.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)49.051.8100.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.545.588.0-3.038%-
vs Similar (14)40.644.585.1-3.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)49.444.694.0+4.862%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
28-22
28
22
+6
A31/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A06/08
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H13/08
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/08
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H01/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H15/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H16/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H22/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A24/04
NBL1 South
83.1Avg total
40.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.345.285.5-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.044.087.0-1.044%-
Last 30 away (14)37.146.683.7-9.421%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.483.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.484.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.346.386.5-6.030%-
vs Similar (2)33.035.568.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ballarat wins
4
Dandenong wins
DateGameScore
19/06/22Dandenong v Ballarat70-72
13/04/19Dandenong v Ballarat73-80
26/08/17Ballarat v Dandenong94-102 OT
16/07/17Ballarat v Dandenong100-87
07/05/17Dandenong v Ballarat79-95
05/06/16Dandenong v Ballarat104-93 OT
14/05/16Ballarat v Dandenong94-92
22/08/15Dandenong v Ballarat91-85
02/08/15Dandenong v Ballarat80-97
23/05/15Ballarat v Dandenong90-101
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23ANW Tasmania94-84
21/04/23AHobart Chargers94-83
15/04/23ANunawading76-104
14/04/23AKeilor Thunder92-95
06/04/23HBendigo Braves118-100
01/04/23HMelbourne Tigers92-68
14/08/22HBendigo Braves98-88
12/08/22AMt Gambier70-102
07/08/22AMelbourne Tigers78-86
06/08/22HDiamond Valley79-101
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/23AFrankston72-100
22/04/23HMelbourne Tigers82-95
16/04/23HDiamond Valley89-90
15/04/23HHobart Chargers107-84
06/04/23AKilsyth78-93
01/04/23HCasey Cavaliers97-72
14/08/22AEltham78-82
13/08/22HWaverley71-115
06/08/22ACasey Cavaliers80-93
31/07/22AMelbourne Tigers55-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game94.3105.089.0
Allowed / game89.084.091.5
Point differential+5.3+21.0-2.5
Avg total183.3189.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game87.593.875.0
Allowed / game89.085.296.5
Point differential-1.5+8.5-21.5
Avg total176.5179.0171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier550100%105.887.8+18.0
2 Eltham54180%87.677.4+10.2
3 Frankston75271%95.482.7+12.7
4 Ballarat64267%94.389.0+5.3
5 Kilsyth64267%94.890.5+4.3
6 Nunawading53260%93.886.0+7.8
7 Keilor Thunder53260%85.488.6-3.2
8 Sandringham Sabres74357%87.491.6-4.1
9 Diamond Valley63350%86.289.2-3.0
10 Hobart Chargers63350%83.887.3-3.5
11 Knox52340%83.676.6+7.0
12 Casey Cavaliers52340%79.680.0-0.4
13 Ringwood52340%90.692.2-1.6
14 NW Tasmania52340%79.491.4-12.0
15 Dandenong62433%87.589.0-1.5
16 Melbourne Tigers62433%79.385.0-5.7
17 Geelong51420%81.889.6-7.8
18 Waverley51420%79.889.8-10.0
19 Bendigo Braves61517%85.097.7-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat2418292697
Dandenong2421142988
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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