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Waverley vs Dandenong Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 90-82
30-14 15-29 21-22 24-17
Position#12
Record3-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#6
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game78.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Waverley v Dandenong
30 Apr 2024
WAVE90
DAND82
14 May 2023
WAVE87
DAND79
07 Jul 2019
WAVE82
DAND95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dandenong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H15/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
72-93
72
93
-21
H16/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A22/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A06/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H07/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
97-77
97
77
+20
A12/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A13/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
93-94
93
94
-1
H20/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
101-107
101
107
-6
A28/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
13-22
23-20
17-21
25-26
15-18
18-23
14-26
14-27
18-30
23-24
13-16
12-17
23-30
24-26
14-17
17-18
17-16
9-16
20-17
29-18
25-23
24-21
19-15
23-23
20-16
26-21
24-25
27-29
21-17
29-25
16-23
29-19
23-15
18-24
25-25
23-35
25-19
32-32
21-21
170.9Avg total
83.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.986.1174.0+1.743%
Season at home (3)83.781.3165.0+2.333%
Season away (4)91.089.8180.8+1.250%
Last 10 (10)83.387.6170.9-4.330%
Last 5 (5)95.889.2185.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.686.8165.3-8.222%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.286.5172.7-0.360%
vs Weaker (11)91.484.9176.3+6.564%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
87-112
87
112
-25
H09/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A15/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A04/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
94-65
94
65
+29
A06/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H10/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
101-71
101
71
+30
A13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H20/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A24/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H27/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
24-25
13-39
29-23
22-28
25-16
17-17
19-11
16-24
30-19
24-19
18-20
21-15
27-18
22-19
24-13
18-19
20-19
22-25
15-22
12-17
7-23
26-17
28-28
24-15
27-27
32-16
18-13
23-26
19-24
23-12
14-12
26-29
26-23
12-17
14-26
16-11
21-19
20-23
21-21
165.1Avg total
83.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.278.9162.1+4.462%
Season at home (3)77.377.7155.0-0.367%
Season away (5)86.879.6166.4+7.260%
Last 10 (10)83.681.5165.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)81.879.8161.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)83.492.9176.3-9.617%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.988.6172.4-4.714%
vs Weaker (5)92.672.4165.0+20.2100%
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
WaverleyDandenong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H16/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
32-57
32
57
-25
A22/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A12/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A13/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H20/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H27/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A28/04
NBL1 South
86.2Avg total
42.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.144.187.2-1.045%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.441.583.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (15)43.746.590.3-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)42.443.886.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)49.042.891.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.245.183.4-6.912%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.643.988.5+0.760%-
vs Weaker (11)45.243.588.7+1.655%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H09/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A15/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A06/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H20/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A24/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H27/04
NBL1 South
84.7Avg total
42.5Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.643.989.4+1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)40.346.086.3-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.284.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.883.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)42.846.188.9-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.946.083.9-8.114%-
vs Weaker (5)49.439.689.0+9.8100%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Waverley wins
1
Dandenong wins
DateGameScore
08/07/23Dandenong v Waverley89-104
14/05/23Waverley v Dandenong87-79
13/08/22Dandenong v Waverley71-115
07/07/19Waverley v Dandenong82-95
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24AKeilor Thunder101-107
27/04/24HRingwood95-83
20/04/24HMelbourne Tigers93-94
13/04/24AHobart Chargers93-85
12/04/24ANW Tasmania97-77
07/04/24HMt Gambier63-67
06/04/24ABendigo Braves73-90
22/07/23AEltham68-97
16/07/23HGeelong72-93
15/07/23HMt Gambier78-83
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HGeelong78-74
24/04/24AFrankston78-95
20/04/24HKnox79-74
13/04/24ANW Tasmania101-71
12/04/24AHobart Chargers73-85
10/04/24HEltham75-85
06/04/24ACasey Cavaliers94-65
04/04/24AMelbourne Tigers88-82
15/07/23ACasey Cavaliers83-72
09/07/23HKnox87-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL43%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game87.983.791.0
Allowed / game86.181.389.8
Point differential+1.7+2.3+1.2
Avg total174.0165.0180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dandenong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game83.277.386.8
Allowed / game78.977.779.6
Point differential+4.4-0.3+7.2
Avg total162.1155.0166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nunawading75271%85.181.1+4.0
2 Knox64267%96.580.8+15.7
3 Eltham64267%93.579.2+14.3
4 Ballarat64267%96.086.5+9.5
5 Frankston64267%92.883.5+9.3
6 Mt Gambier64267%87.585.7+1.8
7 Dandenong85362%83.278.9+4.4
8 Keilor Thunder85362%96.199.1-3.0
9 Hobart Chargers74357%80.480.6-0.1
10 Ringwood95456%87.388.8-1.4
11 Sandringham Sabres73443%93.984.3+9.6
12 Waverley73443%87.986.1+1.7
13 NW Tasmania73443%85.090.4-5.4
14 Melbourne Tigers73443%79.685.3-5.7
15 Bendigo Braves73443%80.187.3-7.1
16 Geelong52340%80.082.4-2.4
17 Casey Cavaliers72529%81.684.4-2.9
18 Kilsyth61517%77.098.2-21.2
19 Diamond Valley6060%80.7100.8-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley3015212490
Dandenong1429221782
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