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Waverley vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 72-93
25-26 15-18 18-23 14-26
Position#9
Record12-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Geelong 🏆
Australia
Position#10
Record10-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game88.3
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Waverley v Geelong
11 Apr 2025
WAVE96
GEEL88
16 Jul 2023
WAVE72
GEEL93
09 May 2021
WAVE99
GEEL95
05 May 2019
WAVE62
GEEL92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
77-92
77
92
-15
H28/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
A03/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H04/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H18/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
90-54
90
54
+36
A24/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A30/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H02/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A05/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
104-89
104
89
+15
A08/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H15/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
24-31
27-16
10-27
21-19
20-27
30-15
26-19
25-24
26-22
27-21
15-23
20-31
20-19
25-17
30-20
22-9
19-23
28-8
21-14
18-26
25-25
23-24
28-23
26-13
21-22
17-16
18-22
19-23
23-21
16-23
26-27
30-22
21-25
23-24
30-18
25-20
13-22
23-20
17-21
173.4Avg total
89.4Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.685.1171.7+1.557%
Season at home (10)82.083.1165.1-1.150%
Season away (11)90.886.9177.7+3.964%
Last 10 (10)89.484.0173.4+5.460%
Last 5 (5)88.487.4175.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.788.4170.1-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.688.3175.9-0.750%
vs Weaker (11)88.877.9166.7+10.973%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
79-97
79
97
-18
H03/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
104-106 OT
104
106
-2
A04/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
89-73
89
73
+16
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A23/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H25/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H30/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
A01/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
104-107
104
107
-3
H08/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
116-85
116
85
+31
H15/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
17-34
20-23
22-23
25-22
22-25
22-21
25-26
17-18
23-20
24-17
25-18
19-28
30-23
23-20
18-29
18-19
23-25
26-23
29-14
22-23
17-21
20-12
12-16
24-24
24-18
22-23
17-22
13-12
23-20
16-19
16-24
28-32
16-26
30-25
30-24
28-27
40-17
25-19
23-22
180.8Avg total
91.5Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.988.3178.2+1.548%
Season at home (11)91.187.5178.6+3.555%
Season away (10)88.589.2177.7-0.740%
Last 10 (10)91.589.3180.8+2.240%
Last 5 (5)91.487.2178.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.989.1171.0-7.238%
vs Similar ◀ (8)90.294.1184.4-3.938%
vs Weaker (14)90.485.9176.3+4.450%
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
WaverleyGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H28/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A03/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H04/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H18/06
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A24/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A30/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H02/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A08/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/07
NBL1 South
87.6Avg total
43.4Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.843.486.2-0.652%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.241.783.9+0.560%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.188.6-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.287.6-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.888.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.643.984.5-3.238%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.945.890.7-0.960%-
vs Weaker (11)42.540.883.3+1.655%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H03/06
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A04/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H17/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A23/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H25/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A01/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H08/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
68-44
68
44
+24
H15/07
NBL1 South
90.0Avg total
44.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.944.990.8+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.646.593.1+0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.243.688.8+1.762%-
Last 10 (10)44.945.190.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.044.091.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.244.684.9-4.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)48.449.297.6-0.950%-
vs Weaker (14)47.642.690.3+5.071%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Waverley wins
3
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
09/07/22Geelong v Waverley99-91
09/05/21Waverley v Geelong99-95 OT
01/05/21Geelong v Waverley81-79
05/05/19Waverley v Geelong62-92
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23HMt Gambier78-83
08/07/23ADandenong104-89
05/07/23ARingwood84-94
02/07/23HMelbourne Tigers82-73
30/06/23AEltham94-98
24/06/23ACasey Cavaliers90-54
18/06/23HHobart Chargers95-87
04/06/23HKilsyth93-90
03/06/23ABendigo Braves97-80
28/05/23HKeilor Thunder77-92
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/07/23HKeilor Thunder116-85
08/07/23HBallarat104-107
07/07/23ARingwood68-75
01/07/23AFrankston98-97 OT
30/06/23HMelbourne Tigers71-72
25/06/23HEltham96-81
23/06/23AMt Gambier90-100
17/06/23HDandenong89-73
04/06/23AKeilor Thunder104-106 OT
03/06/23HKnox79-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%50%64%
Points / game86.682.090.8
Allowed / game85.183.186.9
Point differential+1.5-1.1+3.9
Avg total171.7165.1177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%0%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW48%
HomeWWLLW55%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game89.991.188.5
Allowed / game88.387.589.2
Point differential+1.5+3.5-0.7
Avg total178.2178.6177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2218482%90.075.7+14.2
2 Frankston2216673%93.584.7+8.9
3 Mt Gambier2215768%93.086.1+6.9
4 Sandringham Sabres2114767%92.985.7+7.2
5 Eltham2214864%88.982.8+6.0
6 Nunawading2213959%91.386.6+4.7
7 Waverley2112957%86.685.1+1.5
8 Hobart Chargers22121055%86.185.9+0.2
9 Diamond Valley22121055%86.688.7-2.1
10 Ballarat22111150%93.794.1-0.4
11 Geelong21101148%89.988.3+1.5
12 Melbourne Tigers21101148%83.585.9-2.4
13 Bendigo Braves22101245%86.294.0-7.8
14 Kilsyth2291341%87.288.8-1.6
15 Keilor Thunder2181338%87.394.3-7.0
16 Ringwood2281436%89.593.0-3.5
17 NW Tasmania2271532%80.888.5-7.6
18 Dandenong2241818%85.792.0-6.3
19 Casey Cavaliers2131814%74.487.3-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley2515181472
Geelong2618232693
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