PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dandenong vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 78-74
16-11 21-19 20-23 21-21
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#11
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Dandenong v Geelong
11 Jul 2025
DAND106
GEEL84
27 Apr 2024
DAND78
GEEL74
16 Jul 2022
DAND96
GEEL100
30 Apr 2016
DAND87
GEEL85
09 May 2015
DAND79
GEEL101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dandenong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DandenongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#9
L
89-104
89
104
-15
H08/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
87-112
87
112
-25
H09/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A15/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A04/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
94-65
94
65
+29
A06/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H10/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
101-71
101
71
+30
A13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H20/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
78-95
78
95
-17
A24/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
25-21
24-23
18-30
21-25
24-25
13-39
29-23
22-28
25-16
17-17
19-11
16-24
30-19
24-19
18-20
21-15
27-18
22-19
24-13
18-19
20-19
22-25
15-22
12-17
7-23
26-17
28-28
24-15
27-27
32-16
18-13
23-26
19-24
23-12
14-12
26-29
26-23
12-17
14-26
169.2Avg total
84.7Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.079.6163.6+4.457%
Season at home (2)77.079.5156.5-2.550%
Season away (5)86.879.6166.4+7.260%
Last 10 (10)84.784.5169.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)81.282.0163.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)83.192.4175.5-9.316%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.891.0175.8-6.20%
vs Weaker (5)92.672.4165.0+20.2100%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H30/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
A01/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A07/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
104-107
104
107
-3
H08/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
116-85
116
85
+31
H15/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
93-72
93
72
+21
A16/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A07/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H12/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
97-103
97
103
-6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H20/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
17-21
20-12
12-16
24-24
24-18
22-23
17-22
13-12
23-20
16-19
16-24
28-32
16-26
30-25
30-24
28-27
40-17
25-19
23-22
26-25
18-15
23-18
26-14
18-18
18-25
23-19
22-17
24-23
11-28
24-21
22-16
25-28
25-16
19-33
28-26
12-18
21-22
13-15
21-9
171.8Avg total
87.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.583.5165.0-2.050%
Season at home (2)74.076.0150.0-2.050%
Season away (2)89.091.0180.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)87.684.2171.8+3.450%
Last 5 (5)83.881.2165.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.583.8164.2-3.262%
vs Similar ◀ (9)92.092.3184.3-0.344%
vs Weaker (13)88.486.2174.5+2.238%
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.7+2.7
DandenongGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DandenongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#9
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H08/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H09/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A15/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A06/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
19-40
19
40
-21
A12/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A13/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H20/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A24/04
NBL1 South
87.8Avg total
43.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.388.2-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.244.991.2+1.346%-
Last 30 away (17)40.445.585.9-5.235%-
Last 10 (10)43.544.387.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.484.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)42.745.788.4-2.937%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.048.786.7-10.70%-
vs Weaker (5)49.439.689.0+9.8100%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A01/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H08/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
W
68-44
68
44
+24
H15/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H12/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/04
NBL1 South
87.1Avg total
43.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.344.989.2-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.546.892.3-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)43.243.286.4+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.887.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.683.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.544.182.6-5.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.647.394.9+0.256%-
vs Weaker (13)45.643.689.2+2.062%-
This opponent (Dandenong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dandenong wins
6
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
17/06/23Geelong v Dandenong89-73
16/07/22Dandenong v Geelong96-100
27/07/19Geelong v Dandenong85-79
25/05/19Geelong v Dandenong74-69
07/04/17Geelong v Dandenong62-75
18/06/16Geelong v Dandenong85-94
30/04/16Dandenong v Geelong87-85
29/08/15Geelong v Dandenong97-80
25/07/15Geelong v Dandenong78-80
09/05/15Dandenong v Geelong79-101
Dandenonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/24AFrankston78-95
20/04/24HKnox79-74
13/04/24ANW Tasmania101-71
12/04/24AHobart Chargers73-85
10/04/24HEltham75-85
06/04/24ACasey Cavaliers94-65
04/04/24AMelbourne Tigers88-82
15/07/23ACasey Cavaliers83-72
09/07/23HKnox87-112
08/07/23HWaverley89-104
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HFrankston67-64
14/04/24AKeilor Thunder97-103
12/04/24HBendigo Braves81-88
07/04/24ABallarat81-79
16/07/23AWaverley93-72
15/07/23HKeilor Thunder116-85
08/07/23HBallarat104-107
07/07/23ARingwood68-75
01/07/23AFrankston98-97 OT
30/06/23HMelbourne Tigers71-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dandenong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %57%50%60%
Points / game84.077.086.8
Allowed / game79.679.579.6
Point differential+4.4-2.5+7.2
Avg total163.6156.5166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Geelong
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.574.089.0
Allowed / game83.576.091.0
Point differential-2.0-2.0-2.0
Avg total165.0150.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eltham64267%93.579.2+14.3
2 Frankston64267%92.883.5+9.3
3 Nunawading64267%85.581.8+3.7
4 Mt Gambier64267%87.585.7+1.8
5 Hobart Chargers64267%80.779.3+1.3
6 Knox53260%95.682.6+13.0
7 Ballarat53260%97.688.0+9.6
8 Dandenong74357%84.079.6+4.4
9 Ringwood74357%87.789.6-1.9
10 Keilor Thunder74357%94.698.9-4.3
11 Sandringham Sabres63350%96.784.5+12.2
12 Geelong42250%81.583.5-2.0
13 Bendigo Braves63350%80.787.0-6.3
14 Melbourne Tigers73443%79.685.3-5.7
15 Waverley52340%83.882.6+1.2
16 Casey Cavaliers62433%81.384.5-3.2
17 NW Tasmania62433%85.291.7-6.5
18 Kilsyth61517%77.098.2-21.2
19 Diamond Valley5050%82.4100.8-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dandenong1621202178
Geelong1119232174
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.