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Waverley vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 May 2025
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 76-103
19-23 28-36 13-26 16-18
Position#13
Record5-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game93.5
vs
Knox 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record10-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game77.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Waverley v Knox
25 May 2025
WAVE76
KNOX103
05 Jun 2022
WAVE61
KNOX87
14 Jul 2019
WAVE83
KNOX73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Waverley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WaverleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
W
104-88
104
88
+16
H05/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
79-110
79
110
-31
A08/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H11/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
73-105
73
105
-32
A25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
87-90
87
90
-3
H27/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A03/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
104-103
104
103
+1
A10/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H11/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A17/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
106-91
106
91
+15
A24/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
28-20
26-19
22-34
18-26
15-30
30-29
16-25
22-18
25-18
28-32
21-20
16-17
16-30
23-27
18-31
22-25
24-20
18-25
23-20
23-31
21-27
22-23
24-19
25-21
29-34
25-27
25-21
27-27
26-27
18-25
19-16
16-25
30-14
14-19
10-17
16-20
28-27
27-27
35-17
184.4Avg total
89.9Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.693.5184.1-2.845%
Season at home (5)95.088.8183.8+6.260%
Season away (6)87.097.3184.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)89.994.5184.4-4.640%
Last 5 (5)92.092.8184.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)85.4100.8186.1-15.425%
vs Similar (11)92.489.4181.7+3.064%
vs Weaker (11)95.587.5182.9+8.055%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-73
104
73
+31
A05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H08/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
94-77
94
77
+17
A17/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
73-85
73
85
-12
H25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
94-85
94
85
+9
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H03/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H16/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
89-72
89
72
+17
A17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H23/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
36-15
28-14
24-28
26-18
30-15
29-30
25-16
17-20
25-22
28-16
24-19
17-25
25-20
12-19
19-21
20-26
23-22
25-16
26-21
21-17
28-15
17-16
22-17
19-19
25-16
9-21
22-13
27-12
21-16
24-28
25-20
15-18
21-20
23-24
30-10
19-24
26-30
33-18
19-18
169.2Avg total
92.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)91.777.7169.5+14.091%
Season at home (7)89.778.3168.0+11.486%
Season away (4)95.276.8172.0+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.177.1169.2+15.090%
Last 5 (5)89.274.4163.6+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)86.092.6178.6-6.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)93.278.4171.6+14.980%
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +5.3+5.3
WaverleyKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H05/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H11/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H27/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A03/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H11/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A17/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A24/05
NBL1 South
92.7Avg total
45.5Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.547.193.5-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.444.592.9+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)44.549.694.1-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.547.292.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)48.250.698.8-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.151.194.2-8.012%-
vs Similar (11)48.546.394.7+2.273%-
vs Weaker (11)46.944.991.8+2.064%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A05/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H08/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H25/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A26/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H03/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H16/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H23/05
NBL1 South
84.3Avg total
45.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.939.885.7+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.940.186.0+5.968%-
Last 30 away (11)45.839.485.2+6.555%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.684.3+7.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.437.481.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.645.084.6-5.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)47.238.885.9+8.472%-
This opponent (Waverley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Waverley wins
3
Knox wins
DateGameScore
08/04/25Knox v Waverley110-79
11/05/24Knox v Waverley91-98 OT
21/05/23Knox v Waverley86-90
05/06/22Waverley v Knox61-87
30/04/22Knox v Waverley90-94
03/07/21Knox v Waverley101-100
14/07/19Waverley v Knox83-73
Waverleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25ADandenong106-91
17/05/25AKeilor Thunder70-75
11/05/25HCasey Cavaliers90-95
10/05/25ASandringham Sabres104-103
03/05/25ABallarat90-100
27/04/25HBendigo Braves87-90
25/04/25AMt Gambier73-105
11/04/25HGeelong96-88
08/04/25AKnox79-110
05/04/25HNW Tasmania104-88
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/25HFrankston97-90
17/05/25ADandenong89-72
16/05/25HGeelong97-76
10/05/25HKeilor Thunder75-69
03/05/25HHobart Chargers88-65
26/04/25ABendigo Braves94-85
25/04/25HCasey Cavaliers73-85
17/04/25ASandringham Sabres94-77
08/04/25HWaverley110-79
05/04/25ADiamond Valley104-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Waverley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game90.695.087.0
Allowed / game93.588.897.3
Point differential-2.8+6.2-10.3
Avg total184.1183.8184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Knox
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %91%86%100%
Points / game91.789.795.2
Allowed / game77.778.376.8
Point differential+14.0+11.4+18.5
Avg total169.5168.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%43%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1110191%91.777.7+14.0
2 Mt Gambier118373%96.583.0+13.5
3 Casey Cavaliers117464%87.081.9+5.1
4 Melbourne Tigers106460%86.078.7+7.3
5 Frankston127558%92.686.2+6.3
6 Kilsyth127558%85.184.3+0.8
7 Bendigo Braves127558%87.492.7-5.2
8 Hobart Chargers116555%84.681.4+3.3
9 Eltham116555%85.585.8-0.4
10 Nunawading116555%86.988.6-1.7
11 Ballarat116555%86.093.7-7.7
12 Waverley115645%90.693.5-2.8
13 Geelong114736%80.986.1-5.2
14 Sandringham Sabres114736%86.091.2-5.2
15 Diamond Valley114736%86.692.9-6.3
16 Keilor Thunder114736%81.790.5-8.8
17 Ringwood124833%91.889.1+2.8
18 NW Tasmania113827%86.086.8-0.8
19 Dandenong112918%86.795.4-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Waverley1928131676
Knox23362618103
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