PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Welcome vs Union Atletica Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 26 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Scheduled
Position#12
Record4-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game95.8
vs
Position#6
Record14-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game82.6
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2025-26
Meetings · Welcome v Union Atletica
23 Oct 2025
WELC68
UNIO84
14 Feb 2017
WELC72
UNIO80
20 Jan 2017
WELC92
UNIO88
26 Oct 2016
WELC81
UNIO70
04 Dec 2012
WELC80
UNIO92
14 Nov 2011
WELC72
UNIO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Union Atletica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Welcome
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.4
84.4▲ 3.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 95.4
100.2▲ 4.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
62%▲ 6%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.7
22.8▲ 3.1
🔥 Form · Union Atletica
5.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.5
88.8▲ 5.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.6
83.2▲ 0.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
58%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.7
16.8▲ 1.1
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
91-104
91
104
-13
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
79-111
79
111
-32
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
83-103
83
103
-20
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
24-15
24-17
22-16
15-12
13-21
13-20
19-22
23-28
20-23
13-23
21-17
19-15
19-12
18-22
15-22
8-24
22-21
20-25
24-16
16-31
24-30
29-21
22-22
16-31
15-22
29-33
19-25
21-24
24-17
20-25
17-26
27-14
18-28
18-28
20-33
22-18
23-32
25-13
17-28
171.3Avg total
80.5Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.195.8176.9-14.614%
Season at home (13)81.891.7173.5-9.923%
Season away (15)80.699.3179.9-18.77%
Last 10 (10)80.590.8171.3-10.320%
Last 5 (5)84.4100.2184.6-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)82.096.9178.9-14.919%
vs Similar (3)78.792.0170.7-13.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A06/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
104-91
104
91
+13
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H14/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A21/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
95-71
95
71
+24
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
19-22
20-15
23-21
16-25
20-19
15-25
25-21
31-19
17-22
20-22
23-18
30-22
13-15
16-20
14-22
19-23
21-21
12-20
16-19
31-16
30-24
21-29
22-22
23-17
29-22
21-24
21-21
17-27
28-26
15-17
15-19
17-22
19-14
22-17
18-28
25-16
27-25
20-17
23-13
165.6Avg total
83.1Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.582.6166.1+0.950%
Season at home (14)88.883.2172.0+5.671%
Season away (14)78.282.1160.3-3.929%
Last 10 (10)83.182.5165.6+0.650%
Last 5 (5)88.883.2172.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.887.6167.4-7.840%
vs Similar (15)81.984.9166.7-3.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.778.9167.6+9.880%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
WelcomeUnion Atletica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
82.9Avg total
38.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.349.689.9-9.323%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.547.286.6-7.723%-
Last 30 away (17)40.951.592.5-10.624%-
Last 10 (10)38.544.482.9-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.249.490.6-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.349.589.8-9.222%-
vs Similar (3)40.350.791.0-10.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A06/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H14/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A21/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
86.4Avg total
44.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.383.8+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.840.986.6+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.641.881.4-2.125%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.586.4+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)49.241.891.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.046.886.8-6.820%-
vs Similar (15)40.541.181.7-0.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.738.985.6+7.870%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.0
56.8%
53.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.410.1
65.6%
70.9%10.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Union Atleticatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Union Atletica: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.3
52.0%
53.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.2
31.5%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.7
76.3%
70.9%16.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLLLLLWLLW
Union Atletica
WLLWWLLWLW
#12
League position
#6
-6.3
Net rating
+2.9
88.9
Offensive rating
97.6
95.2
Defensive rating
94.6
51.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
16.4%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.0%
3-point %
31.5%
70.0%
Assist %
53.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 97.6Defence95.2 · 94.6Shooting51.8% · 49.9%3-point %30.0% · 31.5%Ball care16.4% · 12.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Welcome   ■ Union Atletica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Welcome wins
6
Union Atletica wins
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26ABigua87-91
20/03/26HGoes83-103
17/03/26ACordon82-92
13/03/26AUrunday79-111
10/03/26AUnion Atletica91-104
07/03/26HBigua74-86
18/02/26ABigua86-81 OT
09/02/26HDefensor77-91
03/02/26AGoes60-75
30/01/26HAguada86-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26HCordon95-71
21/03/26ABigua76-81
18/03/26AUrunday75-89
14/03/26HGoes94-84
10/03/26HWelcome104-91
06/03/26ACordon68-83
19/02/26AMalvin73-79
16/02/26HNacional91-81
13/02/26AAguada76-90
04/02/26AUrunday79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWWLLL23%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %14%23%7%
Points / game81.181.880.6
Allowed / game95.891.799.3
Point differential-14.6-9.9-18.7
Avg total176.9173.5179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Union Atletica
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game83.588.878.2
Allowed / game82.683.282.1
Point differential+0.9+5.6-3.9
Avg total166.1172.0160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%64%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2521484%87.973.8+14.1
2 Aguada2518772%92.185.7+6.4
3 Malvin2617965%82.081.6+0.3
4 Nacional2415962%92.983.2+9.7
5 Hebraica y Macabi26151158%84.084.0+0.0
6 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor26121446%85.985.8+0.1
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.