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Welcome vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 09 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 77-91
23-28 20-23 13-23 21-17
Position#12
Record3-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game96.1
vs
Position#7
Record9-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game85.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2025-26
Meetings · Welcome v Defensor
09 Feb 2026
WELC77
DEFE91
05 Dec 2024
WELC111
DEFE120
04 Feb 2019
WELC82
DEFE90
09 Mar 2018
WELC92
DEFE85
10 Nov 2017
WELC102
DEFE82
10 Mar 2017
WELC76
DEFE77
04 Oct 2016
WELC69
DEFE85
25 Jan 2016
WELC86
DEFE77
11 Oct 2012
WELC70
DEFE64
12 Mar 2012
WELC84
DEFE62
05 Mar 2012
WELC66
DEFE73
04 Jan 2012
WELC88
DEFE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
L
63-102
63
102
-39
36avg 73
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
82-103
82
103
-21
75avg 73
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
99-89
99
89
+10
89avg 73
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
62avg 73
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
91-120
91
120
-29
88avg 73
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
62avg 73
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
95-77
95
77
+18
91avg 73
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
87avg 73
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
60-75
60
75
-15
53avg 73
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
14-31
22-25
14-18
23-28
27-28
11-22
21-25
20-18
26-26
24-23
29-22
23-29
13-26
17-23
22-13
14-28
29-34
28-25
20-33
20-20
20-38
20-16
13-12
15-27
18-25
24-24
17-31
15-14
25-21
26-17
29-25
16-26
24-15
24-17
22-16
15-12
13-21
13-20
19-22
172.2Avg total
79.8Scored
92.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.796.1176.8-15.415%
Season at home (10)82.991.2174.1-8.330%
Season away (10)78.4101.0179.4-22.60%
Last 10 (10)79.892.4172.2-12.630%
Last 5 (5)77.683.8161.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.796.0177.7-14.326%
vs Similar (3)86.788.3175.0-1.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
103-82
103
82
+21
106avg 76
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
80avg 76
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
98-76
98
76
+22
99avg 76
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
80-78
80
78
+2
75avg 76
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
92-99
92
99
-7
87avg 76
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
76-85
76
85
-9
68avg 76
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 76
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
75avg 76
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
81-84
81
84
-3
65avg 76
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
28-27
22-11
25-21
21-27
29-21
26-27
14-16
23-22
28-20
23-12
24-22
23-25
19-18
22-17
16-18
24-23
27-27
15-24
26-25
22-27
20-25
20-12
15-23
25-27
13-22
28-18
10-18
27-21
17-18
18-27
14-24
27-19
24-25
18-18
21-22
24-24
18-24
13-22
26-14
171.9Avg total
86.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.885.7171.6+0.147%
Season at home (9)92.185.8177.9+6.367%
Season away (10)80.285.7165.9-5.530%
Last 10 (10)86.385.6171.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)80.086.0166.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.583.5161.1-6.027%
vs Similar (10)85.785.0170.7+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)96.888.0184.8+8.880%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.2-1.2
WelcomeDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urunday
#9
L
27-59
27
59
-32
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
87.8Avg total
38.3Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.149.890.9-8.720%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.547.387.8-6.823%-
Last 30 away (17)41.551.793.2-10.218%-
Last 10 (10)38.349.587.8-11.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.243.880.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.550.090.5-9.419%-
vs Similar (3)46.048.394.3-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Welcome
#12
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
93.2Avg total
46.7Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.387.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.745.090.7+0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)41.743.885.5-2.147%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.593.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.489.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.342.382.5-2.033%-
vs Similar (10)44.246.190.3-1.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)51.446.898.2+4.6100%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.2
55.4%
53.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.9
31.6%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.2%
70.9%11.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.623.3
56.0%
53.3%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
33.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.611.9
67.6%
70.9%11.9
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LWWLLLLWLL
Defensor
LWLLLLWWLW
#12
League position
#7
-14.1
Net rating
+0.2
92.4
Offensive rating
103.5
106.5
Defensive rating
103.3
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.3%
Turnover %
14.3%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.6%
3-point %
33.1%
65.4%
Assist %
58.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 103.5Defence106.5 · 103.3Shooting52.0% · 53.6%3-point %31.6% · 33.1%Ball care17.3% · 14.3%Off. rebounds22.1% · 24.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Welcome   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Welcome wins
6
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Defensor v Welcome103-82
08/02/25Defensor v Welcome112-77
05/12/24Welcome v Defensor111-120 OT
04/02/19Welcome v Defensor82-90 OT
19/11/18Defensor v Welcome86-98
09/03/18Welcome v Defensor92-85
30/01/18Defensor v Welcome86-101
11/11/17Welcome v Defensor102-82
10/03/17Welcome v Defensor76-77
08/03/17Defensor v Welcome86-56
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26AGoes60-75
30/01/26HAguada86-74
26/01/26HHebraica y Macabi95-77
20/01/26APenarol74-107
17/01/26HCordon73-86
13/01/26ANacional91-120
09/01/26AUnion Atletica75-91
19/12/25HMalvin99-89
11/12/25ADefensor82-103
09/12/25HUrunday63-102
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26HPenarol81-84
29/01/26ACordon90-84
25/01/26AAguada76-90
20/01/26AMalvin76-85
16/01/26HUnion Atletica77-87
12/01/26AGoes92-99
07/01/26AUrunday80-78
19/12/25HBigua98-76
15/12/25AHebraica y Macabi90-91
11/12/25HWelcome103-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL15%
HomeLWLWW30%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %15%30%0%
Points / game80.782.978.4
Allowed / game96.191.2101.0
Point differential-15.4-8.3-22.6
Avg total176.8174.1179.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%67%30%
Points / game85.892.180.2
Allowed / game85.785.885.7
Point differential+0.1+6.3-5.5
Avg total171.6177.9165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2017385%86.872.6+14.2
2 Nacional1913668%92.283.2+9.0
3 Aguada1812667%93.688.1+5.5
4 Malvin2013765%81.881.0+0.9
5 Hebraica y Macabi1912763%84.081.0+3.0
6 Bigua2011955%89.388.5+0.8
7 Union Atletica1910953%83.582.4+1.1
8 Defensor1991047%85.885.7+0.1
9 Urunday2081240%88.386.0+2.3
10 Goes2061430%82.189.7-7.5
11 Cordon2031715%80.993.6-12.7
12 Welcome2031715%80.796.1-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome2320132177
Defensor2823231791
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