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Welcome vs Union Atletica Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 68-84
24-29 17-12 17-27 10-16
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game108.3
Welcome
Uruguay
vs
Union Atletica 🏆
Uruguay
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game86.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2025-26
Meetings · Welcome v Union Atletica
23 Oct 2025
WELC68
UNIO84
14 Feb 2017
WELC72
UNIO80
20 Jan 2017
WELC92
UNIO88
26 Oct 2016
WELC81
UNIO70
04 Dec 2012
WELC80
UNIO92
14 Nov 2011
WELC72
UNIO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Union Atletica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
58avg 70
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 70
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 70
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
70avg 70
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
106-81
106
81
+25
107avg 70
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
90-124
90
124
-34
78avg 70
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
88-87
88
87
+1
84avg 70
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
73-113
73
113
-40
60avg 70
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
106-117
106
117
-11
92avg 70
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
94-95
94
95
-1
92avg 70
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
19-34
17-28
15-14
18-25
26-20
20-21
17-21
23-24
27-20
19-20
28-26
27-21
14-22
20-19
24-15
30-15
32-19
23-28
21-19
17-34
25-35
27-23
21-32
20-24
23-17
22-24
23-22
22-27
27-29
13-31
11-26
23-32
24-23
27-34
32-28
23-28
34-26
16-21
21-20
186.4Avg total
89.2Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.0108.3199.3-17.30%
Season at home (1)106.0117.0223.0-11.00%
Season away (2)83.5104.0187.5-20.50%
Last 10 (10)89.297.2186.4-8.040%
Last 5 (5)90.2107.2197.4-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.196.9178.0-15.826%
vs Similar (3)84.776.7161.3+8.067%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletica
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#11
W
78-67
78
67
+11
no box
H28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
no box
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#14
W
100-94
100
94
+6
no box
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#11
L
79-95
79
95
-16
no box
A21/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
97-91
97
91
+6
no box
A24/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 69
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
104-84
104
84
+20
94avg 69
A15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
59-90
59
90
-31
36avg 69
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
23-12
14-21
21-24
21-24
18-14
19-19
23-23
16-21
16-29
35-20
33-24
25-17
14-16
20-9
21-30
28-24
11-19
20-18
24-20
19-25
19-13
19-23
22-34
19-25
22-22
33-24
23-20
16-11
21-20
19-34
25-19
25-20
29-23
25-22
25-19
20-22
16-26
15-18
8-24
168.0Avg total
84.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.386.0167.3-4.733%
Season at home (1)59.090.0149.0-31.00%
Season away (2)92.584.0176.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)84.283.8168.0+0.470%
Last 5 (5)84.088.8172.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.882.2152.0-12.542%
vs Similar (13)80.983.7164.6-2.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.076.4163.4+10.6100%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
WelcomeUnion Atletica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
62-34
62
34
+28
A18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
42-69
42
69
-27
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A06/04
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H16/10
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A20/10
Liga Uruguaya
97.5Avg total
47.5Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.748.588.3-8.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.846.486.1-6.636%-
Last 30 away (16)39.750.490.1-10.825%-
Last 10 (10)47.550.097.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.655.0102.6-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)39.050.189.1-11.122%-
vs Similar (3)46.734.381.0+12.3100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Union Atletica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Union AtleticaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Kings
#11
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#14
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/02
Liga Uruguaya
Sayago
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/02
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A09/10
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A15/10
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H20/10
Liga Uruguaya
79.1Avg total
39.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.137.874.9-0.738%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.239.074.2-3.825%-
Last 30 away (17)38.536.975.4+1.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.379.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.482.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.539.374.7-3.827%-
vs Similar (13)37.837.074.8+0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)39.036.675.6+2.460%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.9
54.4%
53.3%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.9
34.5%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.314.5
75.1%
70.9%14.5
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Union Atleticatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Union Atletica: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.022.0
53.7%
53.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.07.3
22.9%
33.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.3
83.3%
70.9%13.3
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLLWLWWWLL
Union Atletica
LWLWLWWWWW
#12
League position
#6
-11.9
Net rating
-7.5
110.1
Offensive rating
99.3
121.9
Defensive rating
106.9
53.4%
Effective FG%
45.2%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.2%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.5%
3-point %
22.9%
52.5%
Assist %
51.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 99.3Defence121.9 · 106.9Shooting53.4% · 45.2%3-point %34.5% · 22.9%Ball care13.8% · 14.2%Off. rebounds21.6% · 26.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Welcome   ■ Union Atletica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Welcome wins
3
Union Atletica wins
DateGameScore
14/02/17Welcome v Union Atletica72-80
20/01/17Welcome v Union Atletica92-88
29/12/16Union Atletica v Welcome90-94
27/10/16Welcome v Union Atletica81-70
04/12/12Welcome v Union Atletica80-92
16/10/12Union Atletica v Welcome81-67
05/01/12Union Atletica v Welcome65-76
14/11/11Welcome v Union Atletica72-71
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/25AMalvin94-95
16/10/25HNacional106-117
09/10/25AUrunday73-113
06/04/25AUrupan88-87
23/03/25ABigua90-124
18/03/25ATrouville106-81
15/03/25HUrupan85-77
12/03/25HUrunday97-90
09/03/25AHebraica y Macabi81-87
04/03/25AAguada72-101
Union Atleticalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/25HPenarol59-90
15/10/25ACordon104-84
09/10/25AHebraica y Macabi81-84
24/02/17AGoes97-91
21/02/17AOlimpia Kings79-95
16/02/17HSayago83-81
14/02/17AWelcome80-72
08/02/17ACordon100-94
31/01/17HGoes81-80
28/01/17HOlimpia Kings78-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game91.0106.083.5
Allowed / game108.3117.0104.0
Point differential-17.3-11.0-20.5
Avg total199.3223.0187.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Union Atletica
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game81.359.092.5
Allowed / game86.090.084.0
Point differential-4.7-31.0+8.5
Avg total167.3149.0176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol330100%88.766.7+22.0
2 Defensor43175%96.889.5+7.2
3 Bigua43175%87.884.0+3.8
4 Aguada32167%95.791.3+4.3
5 Malvin32167%86.387.0-0.7
6 Nacional32167%87.090.7-3.7
7 Urunday42250%101.890.5+11.2
8 Hebraica y Macabi42250%80.584.8-4.2
9 Union Atletica31233%81.386.0-4.7
10 Cordon3030%79.389.7-10.3
11 Goes3030%82.396.0-13.7
12 Welcome3030%91.0108.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome2417171068
Union Atletica2912271684
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