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Bigua vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 81-86 (OT)
15-19 12-19 22-18 22-15 10-15
Position#5
Record11-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Position#12
Record3-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game95.9
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Arena Bigua
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bigua v Welcome
23 Mar 2026
BIGU91
WELC87
18 Feb 2026
BIGU81
WELC86
22 Mar 2025
BIGU124
WELC90
28 Oct 2024
BIGU99
WELC69
12 Nov 2018
BIGU69
WELC65
07 Nov 2017
BIGU68
WELC70
19 Dec 2016
BIGU85
WELC55
17 Jan 2016
BIGU83
WELC104
31 Oct 2015
BIGU105
WELC79
12 Nov 2012
BIGU89
WELC83
09 Jan 2012
BIGU73
WELC82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
110-106 OT
110
106
+4
100avg 80
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
76-98
76
98
-22
60avg 80
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 80
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
87-95
87
95
-8
69avg 80
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
73-97
73
97
-24
66avg 80
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
102-96
102
96
+6
97avg 80
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
69avg 80
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
118-70
118
70
+48
126avg 80
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
63avg 80
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
22-22
22-30
23-18
22-23
20-28
12-23
22-24
32-26
23-25
21-24
32-24
23-29
25-26
23-23
16-17
26-14
17-18
17-25
27-17
18-31
15-35
18-24
22-7
25-32
21-27
32-14
24-23
28-19
15-26
21-25
15-16
30-12
25-21
30-21
33-16
19-31
22-18
15-19
20-30
183.5Avg total
91.6Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.789.0177.7-0.252%
Season at home (10)92.587.4179.9+5.170%
Season away (11)85.390.4175.6-5.136%
Last 10 (10)91.691.9183.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)89.689.4179.0+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.096.3176.3-16.30%
vs Similar (12)87.888.2175.9-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)96.381.7178.0+14.582%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
L
82-103
82
103
-21
75avg 74
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
99-89
99
89
+10
89avg 74
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
62avg 74
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
91-120
91
120
-29
88avg 74
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
62avg 74
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
95-77
95
77
+18
91avg 74
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
87avg 74
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
60-75
60
75
-15
53avg 74
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
70avg 74
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
27-28
11-22
21-25
20-18
26-26
24-23
29-22
23-29
13-26
17-23
22-13
14-28
29-34
28-25
20-33
20-20
20-38
20-16
13-12
15-27
18-25
24-24
17-31
15-14
25-21
26-17
29-25
16-26
24-15
24-17
22-16
15-12
13-21
13-20
19-22
23-28
20-23
13-23
21-17
172.5Avg total
81.2Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.595.9176.3-15.414%
Season at home (11)82.491.2173.5-8.827%
Season away (10)78.4101.0179.4-22.60%
Last 10 (10)81.291.3172.5-10.130%
Last 5 (5)78.484.8163.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)81.795.2177.0-13.526%
vs Similar (3)86.788.3175.0-1.733%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
BiguaWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A11/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H15/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
94.0Avg total
45.4Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.045.090.0+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.943.590.4+3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)43.146.589.6-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)45.448.694.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.650.494.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.051.993.9-9.90%-
vs Similar (12)44.645.790.2-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.439.987.3+7.573%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#7
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H17/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H26/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
88.6Avg total
39.9Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.249.890.9-8.620%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.747.688.3-6.921%-
Last 30 away (16)41.651.793.2-10.119%-
Last 10 (10)39.948.788.6-8.820%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.479.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.649.990.6-9.319%-
vs Similar (3)46.048.394.3-2.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bigua) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.6
53.8%
53.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.612.0
40.5%
33.3%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.9
76.0%
70.9%13.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.8
54.9%
53.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.1
32.4%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.1
68.9%
70.9%11.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bigua
LWLWLWLWLW
Welcome
LLWWLLLLWL
#5
League position
#12
-1.2
Net rating
-13.5
107.7
Offensive rating
90.2
108.9
Defensive rating
103.7
56.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
18.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
40.5%
3-point %
32.4%
61.0%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 90.2Defence108.9 · 103.7Shooting56.8% · 52.2%3-point %40.5% · 32.4%Ball care14.8% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.1% · 18.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Bigua   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Bigua wins
2
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
05/12/25Welcome v Bigua86-98
23/03/25Bigua v Welcome124-90
21/01/25Welcome v Bigua82-87
28/10/24Bigua v Welcome99-69
24/01/19Welcome v Bigua76-82
12/11/18Bigua v Welcome69-65
23/01/18Welcome v Bigua80-88
07/11/17Bigua v Welcome68-70
19/12/16Bigua v Welcome85-55
18/01/16Bigua v Welcome83-104
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/26APenarol76-98
03/02/26HCordon118-70
29/01/26AUnion Atletica79-86
26/01/26HMalvin102-96
23/01/26ANacional73-97
15/01/26HUrunday87-74
11/01/26AAguada87-95
07/01/26AHebraica y Macabi108-99
19/12/25ADefensor76-98
12/12/25HGoes110-106 OT
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/26HDefensor77-91
03/02/26AGoes60-75
30/01/26HAguada86-74
26/01/26HHebraica y Macabi95-77
20/01/26APenarol74-107
17/01/26HCordon73-86
13/01/26ANacional91-120
09/01/26AUnion Atletica75-91
19/12/25HMalvin99-89
11/12/25ADefensor82-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeLWWWW70%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%70%36%
Points / game88.792.585.3
Allowed / game89.087.490.4
Point differential-0.2+5.1-5.1
Avg total177.7179.9175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL14%
HomeWLWWL27%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %14%27%0%
Points / game80.582.478.4
Allowed / game95.991.2101.0
Point differential-15.4-8.8-22.6
Avg total176.3173.5179.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2118386%87.372.8+14.5
2 Aguada2115671%91.986.0+5.9
3 Nacional2113862%90.783.5+7.2
4 Hebraica y Macabi2113862%84.081.3+2.7
5 Malvin2113862%81.981.2+0.7
6 Defensor21111052%85.984.7+1.2
7 Union Atletica21111052%83.582.7+0.8
8 Bigua21111052%88.789.0-0.2
9 Urunday2191243%89.285.7+3.5
10 Goes2161529%81.288.7-7.5
11 Cordon2131814%80.894.2-13.4
12 Welcome2131814%80.595.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bigua151222221081
Welcome191918151586
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