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West Adelaide Bearcats vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 96-73
25-12 29-25 21-12 21-24
Position#1
Record15-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#4
Record13-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game77.8
AustraliaNBL1 CentralNBL1 Central - Semi-finals
Other2023
Meetings · West Adelaide Bearcats v Sturt Sabres
10 May 2025
WEST88
STUR114
22 Jun 2024
WEST80
STUR99
05 Aug 2023
WEST96
STUR73
17 Jun 2023
WEST93
STUR91
02 Jul 2022
WEST84
STUR69
05 Jun 2021
WEST87
STUR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

West Adelaide Bearcats winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

West Adelaide BearcatsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A27/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A03/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
87-102
87
102
-15
H04/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
W
93-91
93
91
+2
H17/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H24/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A01/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
120-89
120
89
+31
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
105-81
105
81
+24
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H30/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
23-18
25-17
23-26
33-17
17-32
26-18
19-15
24-16
26-26
23-29
14-31
24-22
23-15
20-21
26-33
18-29
26-13
22-26
23-10
24-24
19-25
15-18
24-11
26-29
18-25
46-13
30-22
28-32
16-17
16-12
17-16
19-22
26-24
32-18
28-17
19-12
25-28
18-25
19-18
177.4Avg total
92.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)97.181.1178.2+15.979%
Season at home (10)96.385.5181.8+10.860%
Season away (9)97.976.2174.1+21.7100%
Last 10 (10)92.984.5177.4+8.480%
Last 5 (5)95.083.4178.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.489.4161.8-17.020%
vs Similar (3)74.775.0149.7-0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)96.981.5178.4+15.377%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H27/05
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
118-82
118
82
+36
H03/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A17/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H24/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
110-54
110
54
+56
H02/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
123-73
123
73
+50
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H30/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
29-25
16-15
22-18
36-18
23-17
28-21
31-26
22-24
15-23
21-20
33-26
22-30
26-22
24-14
12-24
27-19
32-7
26-7
25-21
24-17
17-27
26-21
24-17
31-27
12-28
17-20
25-21
29-23
22-18
41-12
31-20
20-27
27-21
12-22
30-20
22-19
29-25
22-19
25-8
178.7Avg total
97.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)90.577.8168.4+12.765%
Season at home (10)89.079.2168.2+9.870%
Season away (10)92.176.5168.6+15.660%
Last 10 (10)97.880.9178.7+16.960%
Last 5 (5)97.282.4179.6+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.095.1170.1-20.114%
vs Similar (6)80.885.0165.8-4.217%
vs Weaker (17)94.174.4168.4+19.782%
This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +5.7+5.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +5.7+5.7
West Adelaide BearcatsSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
West Adelaide BearcatsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A27/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A03/06
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H04/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H17/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H24/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A01/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/07
NBL1 Central
89.3Avg total
45.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.242.688.8+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.343.091.3+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)44.242.286.4+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)45.344.089.3+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.691.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.050.287.2-13.20%-
vs Similar (3)39.038.777.7+0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)49.341.490.7+7.973%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H27/05
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H03/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A17/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H24/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H02/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H30/07
NBL1 Central
92.4Avg total
48.7Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.886.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.942.686.4+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)43.443.086.4+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)48.743.792.4+5.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.493.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.147.386.4-8.129%-
vs Similar (6)42.546.388.8-3.817%-
vs Weaker (17)45.939.785.6+6.271%-
This opponent (West Adelaide Bearcats) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
West Adelaide Bearcats wins
2
Sturt Sabres wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/23HForestville Eagles81-83
15/07/23ASouthern Tigers105-81
09/07/23ACentral Districts Lions87-86 OT
08/07/23HEastern Mavericks120-89
01/07/23AForestville Eagles82-78
24/06/23HNorth Adelaide Rockets89-78
17/06/23HSturt Sabres93-91
04/06/23HNorwood Flames87-102
03/06/23ASouth Adelaide Panthers95-82
27/05/23AWoodville Warriors90-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/07/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers98-71
22/07/23AForestville Eagles89-90
15/07/23AEastern Mavericks123-73
09/07/23AWoodville Warriors85-96
08/07/23HCentral Districts Lions91-82
02/07/23HSouthern Tigers110-54
24/06/23HForestville Eagles84-90
17/06/23AWest Adelaide Bearcats91-93
03/06/23HNorth Adelaide Rockets118-82
27/05/23HNorwood Flames89-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

West Adelaide Bearcats
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%60%100%
Points / game97.196.397.9
Allowed / game81.185.576.2
Point differential+15.9+10.8+21.7
Avg total178.2181.8174.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%50%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWLLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game90.589.092.1
Allowed / game77.879.276.5
Point differential+12.7+9.8+15.6
Avg total168.4168.2168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Adelaide Bearcats1915479%97.181.1+15.9
2 Forestville Eagles2015575%95.085.0+10.0
3 Sturt Sabres2013765%90.577.8+12.7
4 South Adelaide Panthers2013765%85.480.0+5.3
5 Woodville Warriors1911858%86.386.6-0.3
6 Norwood Flames1810856%88.187.9+0.1
7 North Adelaide Rockets189950%87.688.7-1.1
8 Central Districts Lions1841422%85.893.7-7.8
9 Eastern Mavericks1841422%84.9100.8-15.9
10 Southern Tigers180180%74.096.9-22.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
West Adelaide Bearcats2529212196
Sturt Sabres1225122473
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