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Sturt Sabres vs South Adelaide Panthers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 98-71
22-19 29-25 22-19 25-8
Position#4
Record12-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game79.1
AustraliaNBL1 CentralNBL1 Central - Quarter-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Sturt Sabres v South Adelaide Panthers
21 Jun 2025
STUR85
SOUT97
14 Apr 2024
STUR97
SOUT94
30 Jul 2023
STUR98
SOUT71
01 Apr 2023
STUR64
SOUT76
30 Jul 2022
STUR72
SOUT92
29 May 2021
STUR84
SOUT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Adelaide Panthers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
87-59
87
59
+28
A14/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H27/05
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
118-82
118
82
+36
H03/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
91-93
91
93
-2
A17/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
84-90
84
90
-6
H24/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
110-54
110
54
+56
H02/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
91-82
91
82
+9
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
123-73
123
73
+50
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
13-12
26-21
34-13
22-20
29-25
16-15
22-18
36-18
23-17
28-21
31-26
22-24
15-23
21-20
33-26
22-30
26-22
24-14
12-24
27-19
32-7
26-7
25-21
24-17
17-27
26-21
24-17
31-27
12-28
17-20
25-21
29-23
22-18
41-12
31-20
20-27
27-21
12-22
30-20
176.4Avg total
96.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)90.278.2168.4+11.963%
Season at home (9)88.080.1168.1+7.967%
Season away (10)92.176.5168.6+15.660%
Last 10 (10)96.779.7176.4+17.060%
Last 5 (5)99.679.0178.6+20.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.092.8168.8-16.825%
vs Similar (6)80.885.0165.8-4.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.874.6168.4+19.281%
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Adelaide PanthersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sturt Sabres
#4
L
59-87
59
87
-28
H14/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
95-63
95
63
+32
A27/05
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H03/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
80-107
80
107
-27
A17/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H24/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
85-83
85
83
+2
A01/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
95-74
95
74
+21
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H15/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
H22/07
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
12-13
21-26
13-34
19-21
21-15
35-12
20-15
17-33
32-17
18-26
15-19
25-34
25-26
17-24
13-23
19-26
21-21
21-27
25-9
19-16
16-21
23-17
27-29
20-26
28-18
28-16
19-14
26-16
19-16
26-25
24-9
18-23
20-17
19-13
19-26
33-20
16-25
22-23
21-13
166.3Avg total
84.5Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.279.1165.3+7.168%
Season at home (10)82.276.9159.1+5.350%
Season away (9)90.681.6172.1+9.089%
Last 10 (10)84.581.8166.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)88.676.6165.2+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.883.8167.6-0.150%
vs Similar (2)74.088.0162.0-14.00%
vs Weaker (16)87.576.0163.5+11.581%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +6.1+6.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
Sturt SabresSouth Adelaide Panthers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A14/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H27/05
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H03/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A17/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H24/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H02/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A09/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A15/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A22/07
NBL1 Central
88.1Avg total
46.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.786.1+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.342.585.8+0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)43.542.986.4+0.559%-
Last 10 (10)46.341.888.1+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)48.242.891.0+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.846.686.4-6.938%-
vs Similar (6)42.546.388.8-3.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.639.485.0+6.169%-
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Adelaide PanthersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sturt Sabres
#4
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H14/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A27/05
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H03/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A17/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H24/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A01/07
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H08/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/07
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H22/07
NBL1 Central
83.7Avg total
41.9Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.684.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.837.977.8+1.954%-
Last 30 away (17)44.544.589.0+0.141%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.883.7+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.682.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)42.342.885.1-0.442%-
vs Similar (2)41.044.585.5-3.550%-
vs Weaker (16)42.840.483.2+2.450%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sturt Sabres wins
2
South Adelaide Panthers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/23AForestville Eagles89-90
15/07/23AEastern Mavericks123-73
09/07/23AWoodville Warriors85-96
08/07/23HCentral Districts Lions91-82
02/07/23HSouthern Tigers110-54
24/06/23HForestville Eagles84-90
17/06/23AWest Adelaide Bearcats91-93
03/06/23HNorth Adelaide Rockets118-82
27/05/23HNorwood Flames89-78
14/05/23ASouth Adelaide Panthers87-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/23HWoodville Warriors92-81
15/07/23HWoodville Warriors76-79
08/07/23HNorwood Flames95-66
06/07/23ASouthern Tigers95-74
01/07/23ANorth Adelaide Rockets85-83
24/06/23HCentral Districts Lions86-83
17/06/23AForestville Eagles80-107
03/06/23HWest Adelaide Bearcats82-95
27/05/23AEastern Mavericks95-63
14/05/23HSturt Sabres59-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL63%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%67%60%
Points / game90.288.092.1
Allowed / game78.280.176.5
Point differential+11.9+7.9+15.6
Avg total168.4168.1168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Adelaide Panthers
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW68%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayWWLWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%50%89%
Points / game86.282.290.6
Allowed / game79.176.981.6
Point differential+7.1+5.3+9.0
Avg total165.3159.1172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%40%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Adelaide Bearcats1915479%97.181.1+15.9
2 Forestville Eagles2015575%95.085.0+10.0
3 South Adelaide Panthers1913668%86.279.1+7.1
4 Sturt Sabres1912763%90.278.2+11.9
5 Woodville Warriors1911858%86.386.6-0.3
6 Norwood Flames1810856%88.187.9+0.1
7 North Adelaide Rockets189950%87.688.7-1.1
8 Central Districts Lions1841422%85.893.7-7.8
9 Eastern Mavericks1841422%84.9100.8-15.9
10 Southern Tigers180180%74.096.9-22.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sturt Sabres2229222598
South Adelaide Panthers192519871
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