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Sturt Sabres vs Norwood Flames Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 May 2023
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 89-78
22-20 29-25 16-15 22-18
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#6
Record4-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game87.2
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2023
Meetings · Sturt Sabres v Norwood Flames
17 Apr 2025
STUR76
NORW99
15 Jun 2024
STUR94
NORW92
27 May 2023
STUR89
NORW78
07 May 2022
STUR86
NORW77
28 Aug 2021
STUR69
NORW83
08 Aug 2021
STUR74
NORW80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norwood Flames winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#6
W
102-66
102
66
+36
A26/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H01/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A15/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
59-99
59
99
-40
H20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
99-55
99
55
+44
A29/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H06/05
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A13/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
87-59
87
59
+28
A14/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
35-21
27-12
17-16
23-21
14-25
13-9
14-21
23-23
20-18
22-16
9-18
24-18
14-25
25-19
18-16
11-22
16-25
22-28
10-24
11-23
19-22
30-14
28-17
27-20
19-11
16-17
37-7
18-13
13-27
33-14
25-30
21-27
29-22
21-11
19-20
14-13
13-12
26-21
34-13
158.1Avg total
83.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.374.8158.1+8.570%
Season at home (4)75.083.8158.8-8.850%
Season away (6)88.868.8157.7+20.083%
Last 10 (10)83.374.8158.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)90.670.8161.4+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.092.3168.3-16.333%
vs Similar (7)83.786.9170.6-3.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.474.2160.6+12.171%
This opponent (Norwood Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norwood FlamesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
A20/08
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
L
66-102
66
102
-36
H26/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H31/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
H15/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
95-70
95
70
+25
A23/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H25/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H29/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
59-96
59
96
-37
A06/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A13/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
18-25
21-18
20-18
17-23
21-35
12-27
16-17
22-28
22-26
17-21
19-19
22-23
25-19
21-30
24-11
22-16
18-21
27-24
17-23
31-17
27-16
15-25
22-12
21-26
17-17
33-16
22-25
20-19
32-21
16-25
12-19
15-15
15-23
11-28
18-30
20-13
12-21
23-13
16-26
168.5Avg total
81.5Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.287.2169.4-5.044%
Season at home (5)84.692.6177.2-8.040%
Season away (4)79.280.5159.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)81.587.0168.5-5.540%
Last 5 (5)79.681.4161.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.590.3167.7-12.818%
vs Similar (3)78.781.3160.0-2.733%
vs Weaker (16)87.478.4165.9+9.075%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
Sturt SabresNorwood Flames
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#6
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A26/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H01/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A29/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H06/05
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A13/05
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A14/05
NBL1 Central
79.2Avg total
38.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.043.485.4-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.344.585.8-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)42.642.384.9+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.579.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.074.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.846.487.2-5.744%-
vs Similar (7)44.044.488.4-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.740.982.6+0.857%-
This opponent (Norwood Flames) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Norwood FlamesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A20/08
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H26/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H31/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H15/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A23/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H25/04
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H29/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/05
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A13/05
NBL1 Central
84.1Avg total
41.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.883.8+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.142.882.9-2.738%-
Last 30 away (14)44.140.684.7+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.884.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.679.6+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.547.587.0-8.118%-
vs Similar (3)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (16)45.238.283.4+7.069%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sturt Sabres wins
2
Norwood Flames wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23ASouth Adelaide Panthers87-59
13/05/23ASouthern Tigers90-80
06/05/23HWoodville Warriors89-84
29/04/23ACentral Districts Lions99-55
25/04/23HEastern Mavericks88-76
20/04/23HWest Adelaide Bearcats59-99
15/04/23AForestville Eagles81-78
06/04/23ANorth Adelaide Rockets74-75
01/04/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers64-76
26/03/23ANorwood Flames102-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23AWoodville Warriors71-73
06/05/23AForestville Eagles59-96
29/04/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers80-84
25/04/23HNorth Adelaide Rockets93-84
23/04/23AEastern Mavericks95-70
15/04/23HSouthern Tigers104-99 OT
06/04/23ACentral Districts Lions92-83
31/03/23HWest Adelaide Bearcats80-94
26/03/23HSturt Sabres66-102
20/08/22AForestville Eagles75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%50%83%
Points / game83.375.088.8
Allowed / game74.883.868.8
Point differential+8.5-8.8+20.0
Avg total158.1158.8157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Norwood Flames
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game82.284.679.2
Allowed / game87.292.680.5
Point differential-5.0-8.0-1.2
Avg total169.4177.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Adelaide Bearcats97278%101.777.3+24.3
2 Forestville Eagles118373%92.379.9+12.4
3 Sturt Sabres107370%83.374.8+8.5
4 South Adelaide Panthers107370%85.177.2+7.9
5 Woodville Warriors106460%81.680.5+1.1
6 North Adelaide Rockets106460%85.386.9-1.6
7 Norwood Flames94544%82.287.2-5.0
8 Eastern Mavericks103730%84.196.2-12.1
9 Central Districts Lions102820%82.692.1-9.5
10 Southern Tigers110110%72.895.8-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sturt Sabres2229162289
Norwood Flames2025151878
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