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Western Carolina vs VMI Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#189
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#177
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Western Carolina v VMI
02 Jan 2027
WEST v VMI
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
WEST88
VMI58
01 Feb 2025
WEST76
VMI80
27 Jan 2024
WEST102
VMI77
25 Feb 2023
WEST85
VMI66
26 Feb 2022
WEST82
VMI73
10 Feb 2021
WEST74
VMI72
19 Feb 2020
WEST71
VMI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Carolina win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
VMI win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H19/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
81-62
81
62
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A08/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
67-69
67
69
-2
A08/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#116
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A03/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#254
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
136-68
136
68
+68
H11/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
46-41
38-30
43-32
33-32
45-42
37-30
49-37
36-35
41-38
38-24
29-45
30-39
42-41
44-40
39-35
75-27
61-41
38-30
30-45
155.9Avg total
83.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.874.5164.2+15.250%
Season at home (2)102.071.5173.5+30.550%
Season away (2)77.577.5155.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)83.972.0155.9+11.970%
Last 5 (5)85.273.4158.6+11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.180.9159.0-2.860%
vs Similar (12)74.882.2157.1-7.417%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)93.066.0159.0+27.075%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
115-83
115
83
+32
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
70-95
70
95
-25
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#376
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-44
44-38
30-38
32-43
36-36
25-44
33-42
46-44
27-39
43-45
60-31
55-52
28-47
42-48
35-31
33-39
32-22
33-29
38-18
33-35
150.2Avg total
73.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Season at home (3)83.762.3146.0+21.3100%
Season away (2)69.082.5151.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)73.776.5150.2-2.830%
Last 5 (5)77.870.4148.2+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.983.0152.0-14.19%
vs Similar (2)62.081.0143.0-19.00%
vs Weaker (3)82.768.0150.7+14.767%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -3.1-3.1
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -3.1-3.1
Western CarolinaVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H19/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A21/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A08/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#116
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#254
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
75-27
75
27
+48
H11/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#182
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H15/11
NCAA
73.7Avg total
41.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.975.6+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.933.177.0+10.883%-
Last 30 away (18)36.937.774.6-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)41.432.373.7+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)45.032.077.0+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.436.173.5+1.370%-
vs Similar (12)36.138.874.8-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.031.279.2+16.8100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#126
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A18/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H21/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A28/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H02/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#33
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A06/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#167
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A07/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#357
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#376
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
35.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.836.970.7-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.333.370.6+4.050%-
Last 30 away (16)30.740.170.8-9.412%-
Last 10 (10)35.134.869.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.629.868.4+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.239.471.6-7.317%-
vs Similar (2)29.540.570.0-11.00%-
vs Weaker (3)42.328.070.3+14.3100%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Western Carolina wins
3
VMI wins
DateGameScore
21/02/26VMI v Western Carolina62-81
24/01/26Western Carolina v VMI88-58
01/02/25Western Carolina v VMI76-80 OT
15/01/25VMI v Western Carolina66-50
24/02/24VMI v Western Carolina51-84
27/01/24Western Carolina v VMI102-77
25/02/23Western Carolina v VMI85-66
28/01/23VMI v Western Carolina65-71
27/02/22Western Carolina v VMI82-73
04/02/22VMI v Western Carolina76-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLipscomb68-75
11/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg136-68
07/11/26AUNC Asheville83-75
03/11/26ANorth Carolina72-80
08/03/26AEast Tennessee St67-69
08/03/26AMercer77-73
28/02/26HFurman86-67
26/02/26HMercer78-74
21/02/26AVMI81-62
19/02/26HNC Greensboro91-77
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMary Baldwin71-53
11/11/26HN. Carolina Central65-51
07/11/26AUTSA Roadrunners68-70
06/11/26ASMU Mustangs70-95
02/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg115-83
07/03/26ANC Greensboro70-84
28/02/26AChattanooga Mocs79-86
27/02/26ASamford61-80
21/02/26HWestern Carolina62-81
18/02/26AWofford76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game89.8102.077.5
Allowed / game74.571.577.5
Point differential+15.2+30.5+0.0
Avg total164.2173.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
VMI
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game77.883.769.0
Allowed / game70.462.382.5
Point differential+7.4+21.3-13.5
Avg total148.2146.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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