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Western Illinois vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-86
32-35 43-51
Position#296
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game64.6
Allowed / game67.3
vs
Position#190
Record3-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H08/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A05/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
L
73-87
73
87
-14
H14/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
56-82
56
82
-26
A20/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H22/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
36-31
30-30
31-29
28-40
29-42
25-29
34-26
27-34
37-43
26-47
47-40
23-28
40-33
24-42
32-40
30-14
43-32
41-25
23-38
132.3Avg total
64.6Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)64.667.3131.9-2.757%
Season at home (3)69.764.7134.3+5.067%
Season away (4)60.869.2130.0-8.550%
Last 10 (10)64.667.7132.3-3.160%
Last 5 (5)65.867.8133.6-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)56.871.8128.5-15.025%
vs Similar (15)65.763.1128.9+2.667%
vs Weaker (11)72.863.7136.5+9.191%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A27/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
56-73
56
73
-17
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
52-71
52
71
-19
A07/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A05/11
NCAA
S'western (Texas)
#578
W
97-53
97
53
+44
H08/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A23/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
63-84
63
84
-21
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-47
48-45
36-39
44-48
30-31
26-42
21-32
31-39
43-34
35-49
46-32
51-21
47-37
37-44
39-36
53-28
32-42
42-33
30-39
33-45
152.1Avg total
75.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.373.3154.7+8.050%
Season at home (3)91.066.0157.0+25.0100%
Season away (3)71.780.7152.3-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.876.3152.1-0.530%
Last 5 (5)82.071.4153.4+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.578.5145.9-11.015%
vs Similar (11)71.880.3152.1-8.59%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)84.576.5161.0+8.075%
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.6+0.6
Western IllinoisIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H08/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A09/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#310
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A07/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#366
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H14/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A20/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#299
W
30-14
30
14
+16
H22/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A27/11
NCAA
61.7Avg total
29.4Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.929.261.1+2.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.428.159.5+3.271%-
Last 30 away (16)32.330.162.4+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)29.432.361.7-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)28.831.260.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)27.233.060.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (15)31.528.159.7+3.473%-
vs Weaker (11)34.029.363.3+4.782%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A27/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/03
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A07/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A05/11
NCAA
S'western (Texas)
#578
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#160
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A23/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/11
NCAA
72.7Avg total
35.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.236.770.8-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.035.071.0+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)32.638.170.7-5.625%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.972.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.537.366.8-7.823%-
vs Similar (11)35.236.671.8-1.527%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.037.278.2+3.875%-
This opponent (Western Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Illinois wins
0
Incarnate Word wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24ASouth Alabama64-63
22/11/24HMonmouth73-46
20/11/24ANorthern Iowa56-82
16/11/24HCentral Arkansas63-61
14/11/24HWisc. Green Bay73-87
07/11/24APepperdine64-77
05/11/24ASan Jose State59-55
09/03/24AUALR57-82
08/03/24HTennessee State61-59
02/03/24HSiu Edwardsville76-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24ASouth Alabama63-84
23/11/24ANorthern Arizona74-75
16/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff92-64
13/11/24HPrairie View A&M84-81
08/11/24HS'western (Texas)97-53
05/11/24ACalifornia Baptist78-83
07/03/24ATexas A&M-CC52-71
05/03/24HSE Louisiana56-73
02/03/24HNew Orleans80-87
27/02/24ANicholls State82-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Illinois
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW57%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game64.669.760.8
Allowed / game67.364.769.2
Point differential-2.7+5.0-8.5
Avg total131.9134.3130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.391.071.7
Allowed / game73.366.080.7
Point differential+8.0+25.0-9.0
Avg total154.7157.0152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville85362%73.266.6+6.6
2 Tennessee Tech74357%76.077.0-1.0
3 Western Illinois74357%64.667.3-2.7
4 Southern Indiana73443%76.379.1-2.9
5 UALR73443%66.774.0-7.3
6 Tennessee State83538%84.976.0+8.9
7 Southeast Missouri State62433%75.373.8+1.5
8 Lindenwood62433%70.770.5+0.2
9 Morehead State62433%64.072.7-8.7
10 UT Martin72529%68.171.6-3.4
11 Eastern Illinois61517%66.581.5-15.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas A&M-CC74357%82.970.3+12.6
2 UTRGV74357%87.677.7+9.9
3 McNeese State74357%76.367.0+9.3
4 Stephen F. Austin74357%66.160.9+5.3
5 Incarnate Word63350%81.373.3+8.0
6 Northwestern St.73443%78.366.1+12.1
7 Nicholls State73443%70.665.0+5.6
8 SE Louisiana73443%71.168.4+2.7
9 Houston Christian62433%67.271.0-3.8
10 New Orleans72529%68.181.7-13.6
11 Lamar61517%77.074.2+2.8
12 TX A&M Commerce71614%63.181.0-17.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Illinois324375
Incarnate Word355186
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