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Nicholls State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 92-82
47-34 45-48
Position#138
Record15-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#343
Record8-19
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game78.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nicholls State v Incarnate Word
06 Dec 2025
NICH74
INCA67
10 Mar 2025
NICH74
INCA70
26 Feb 2024
NICH92
INCA82
18 Feb 2023
NICH84
INCA74
10 Feb 2022
NICH69
INCA58
02 Jan 2020
NICH76
INCA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A20/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
A23/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
56-75
56
75
-19
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H13/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
47-74
47
74
-27
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A20/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-33
34-36
34-35
28-27
29-27
36-38
46-36
37-37
35-35
38-31
28-30
28-45
31-32
36-31
22-29
25-45
41-34
48-43
39-33
46-37
144.9Avg total
72.4Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.474.7148.1-1.356%
Season at home (12)75.370.2145.5+5.275%
Season away (15)71.878.3150.1-6.540%
Last 10 (10)72.472.5144.9-0.170%
Last 5 (5)68.871.8140.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)61.476.1137.5-14.812%
vs Similar (11)74.674.8149.5-0.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)78.871.6150.4+7.290%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H23/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H27/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A03/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H13/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
L
61-81
61
81
-20
H17/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
72-76 OT
72
76
-4
H20/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A24/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-34
27-28
37-31
42-44
33-34
33-37
38-36
44-44
24-36
40-40
41-45
42-41
35-33
41-34
34-34
27-47
25-36
41-30
21-44
50-43
150.5Avg total
72.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.078.3151.2-5.330%
Season at home (11)74.773.7148.5+1.045%
Season away (16)71.881.4153.1-9.619%
Last 10 (10)72.877.7150.5-4.930%
Last 5 (5)72.679.4152.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.677.4147.0-7.925%
vs Similar (10)71.780.3152.0-8.620%
vs Weaker (3)88.774.7163.3+14.067%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: -0.1-0.1
Nicholls StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A27/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#78
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H17/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A20/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H24/02
NCAA
65.4Avg total
33.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.834.466.2-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.834.368.1-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)29.934.464.3-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)33.032.465.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.231.663.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.035.063.0-7.012%-
vs Similar (11)32.132.264.3-0.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.236.570.7-2.330%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#138
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/01
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/01
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A01/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#327
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A03/02
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H17/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H20/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
21-44
21
44
-23
A24/02
NCAA
68.6Avg total
32.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.669.7-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.132.068.1+4.162%-
Last 30 away (17)32.538.470.9-5.924%-
Last 10 (10)32.336.368.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.238.469.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.936.967.8-6.038%-
vs Similar (10)34.934.869.7+0.130%-
vs Weaker (3)44.733.378.0+11.367%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nicholls State wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24HTX A&M Commerce85-70
20/02/24ANew Orleans89-77
17/02/24HMcNeese State47-74
13/02/24HTexas A&M-CC67-63
11/02/24ALamar56-75
06/02/24HNorthwestern St.73-66
03/02/24HHouston Christian83-73
27/01/24ATX A&M Commerce87-84 OT
23/01/24AIncarnate Word78-74 OT
20/01/24ATexas A&M-CC59-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/24AMcNeese State71-87
20/02/24HTX A&M Commerce72-76 OT
17/02/24HNorthwestern St.61-81
13/02/24HLamar76-67
10/02/24AHouston Christian83-86
06/02/24ASE Louisiana64-76
03/02/24ANew Orleans82-80
01/02/24ATX A&M Commerce66-71
27/01/24HHouston Christian79-75
23/01/24HNicholls State74-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nicholls State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game73.475.371.8
Allowed / game74.770.278.3
Point differential-1.3+5.2-6.5
Avg total148.1145.5150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)75% (4)100% (5)
Overtime %19%8%27%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLWWLL45%
AwayLWLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %30%45%19%
Points / game73.074.771.8
Allowed / game78.373.781.4
Point differential-5.3+1.0-9.6
Avg total151.2148.5153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%9%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %7%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State2724389%80.661.2+19.4
2 Texas A&M-CC27171063%75.166.2+9.0
3 Lamar27151256%79.874.7+5.1
4 Nicholls State27151256%73.474.7-1.3
5 Stephen F. Austin27141352%75.371.0+4.4
6 SE Louisiana28141450%69.670.6-1.0
7 TX A&M Commerce28101836%71.774.7-3.0
8 Northwestern St.2891932%70.576.0-5.5
9 Incarnate Word2781930%73.078.3-5.3
10 New Orleans2882029%74.680.4-5.8
11 Houston Christian2561924%70.982.6-11.7
12 UTRGV2762122%72.380.2-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nicholls State474592
Incarnate Word344882
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