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Western Kentucky vs Middle Tenn. St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 82-80
0-0 42-37 0-0 40-43
Position#151
Record13-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Position#179
Record12-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Western Kentucky v Middle Tenn. St.
30 Jan 2027
WEST v MIDD
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
WEST82
MIDD80
15 Feb 2025
WEST77
MIDD87
15 Mar 2024
WEST85
MIDD54
03 Feb 2024
WEST88
MIDD65
09 Feb 2023
WEST93
MIDD89
29 Jan 2022
WEST85
MIDD93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Middle Tenn. St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A09/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A10/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H15/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H22/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A24/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A29/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H07/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-46
0-0
36-34
0-0
31-35
0-0
37-21
0-0
41-34
0-0
46-38
0-0
34-43
0-0
31-38
0-0
32-35
0-0
37-41
0-0
21-38
0-0
37-35
0-0
36-37
0-0
33-35
0-0
30-23
0-0
35-37
0-0
28-33
0-0
38-38
0-0
30-38
0-0
50-32
140.2Avg total
69.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.374.4151.7+2.954%
Season at home (15)81.774.3155.9+7.467%
Season away (9)70.074.7144.7-4.733%
Last 10 (10)69.171.1140.2-2.040%
Last 5 (5)67.669.2136.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.480.6156.0-5.133%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.971.5141.5-1.647%
vs Weaker (5)82.870.2153.0+12.6100%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
44-37
0-0
29-36
0-0
29-29
0-0
30-26
0-0
40-21
0-0
18-38
0-0
38-36
0-0
30-32
0-0
34-39
0-0
24-36
0-0
29-43
0-0
36-38
0-0
23-30
0-0
37-35
0-0
38-39
0-0
37-36
0-0
43-41
0-0
36-38
0-0
45-49
0-0
45-38
150.1Avg total
73.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.272.5147.8+2.750%
Season at home (14)79.571.0150.5+8.564%
Season away (10)69.374.7144.0-5.430%
Last 10 (10)73.276.9150.1-3.730%
Last 5 (5)77.482.0159.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.679.0148.6-9.430%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.770.7144.3+3.058%
vs Weaker (6)88.767.8156.5+20.867%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
Western KentuckyMiddle Tenn. St.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A09/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A10/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H22/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H07/02
NCAA
67.3Avg total
31.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.068.3+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.233.769.9+2.463%-
Last 30 away (11)31.234.565.6-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)31.136.267.3-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.033.862.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.936.669.4-3.744%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)32.733.766.5-1.047%-
vs Weaker (5)37.831.469.2+6.480%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A09/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/02
NCAA
72.7Avg total
36.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.071.2+3.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.134.072.1+4.150%-
Last 30 away (12)35.834.169.8+1.742%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.472.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.476.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.938.072.9-3.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.232.367.5+2.842%-
vs Weaker (6)44.329.273.5+15.2100%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HFlorida International80-70
06/02/26HJacksonville State66-71
31/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.65-60
29/01/26AKennesaw State69-72
24/01/26ASam Houston St.58-73
22/01/26HLiberty69-76
17/01/26HKennesaw State65-81
15/01/26HMissouri State87-72
10/01/26AUTEP68-56
09/01/26ANew Mexico State64-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AKennesaw State90-87
07/02/26ADelaware88-89 OT
05/02/26HFlorida International84-88 OT
31/01/26HWestern Kentucky60-65
30/01/26HLiberty65-81
24/01/26AJacksonville State58-75
17/01/26HMissouri State90-87 OT
15/01/26ALouisiana Tech58-59
11/01/26ANew Mexico State59-55
09/01/26AUTEP80-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW54%
HomeWLLLW67%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %54%67%33%
Points / game77.381.770.0
Allowed / game74.474.374.7
Point differential+2.9+7.4-4.7
Avg total151.7155.9144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%11%
Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayWLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %50%64%30%
Points / game75.279.569.3
Allowed / game72.571.074.7
Point differential+2.7+8.5-5.4
Avg total147.8150.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %17%14%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2522388%78.967.7+11.2
2 Sam Houston St.2517868%83.074.0+9.0
3 Kennesaw State25141156%85.176.8+8.3
4 Louisiana Tech25141156%69.264.5+4.7
5 Western Kentucky24131154%77.374.4+2.9
6 Jacksonville State25131252%72.666.9+5.8
7 New Mexico State25131252%75.971.0+4.9
8 Missouri State25131252%75.173.0+2.2
9 Middle Tenn. St.24121250%75.272.5+2.7
10 Florida International25121348%81.677.8+3.8
11 UTEP26101638%69.871.8-2.0
12 Delaware2591636%66.971.8-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Western Kentucky04204082
Middle Tenn. St.03704380
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