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Western Kentucky vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 87-72
41-34 46-38
Position#151
Record10-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#223
Record10-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Western Kentucky v Missouri State
21 Jan 2027
WEST v MISS
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
WEST87
MISS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H29/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H06/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A11/12
NCAA
Campbellsville
#569
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H16/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A30/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H04/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A09/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
42-41
36-32
44-47
28-29
33-48
54-28
48-31
37-30
44-52
22-38
45-40
42-49
60-42
37-25
29-36
28-46
36-34
31-35
37-21
149.9Avg total
76.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.075.7156.7+5.362%
Season at home (10)85.874.4160.2+11.480%
Season away (6)73.077.8150.8-4.833%
Last 10 (10)76.673.3149.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)73.473.2146.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.982.5160.4-4.630%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.672.1143.7-0.650%
vs Weaker (5)82.870.2153.0+12.6100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern State
#422
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H30/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
74-98
74
98
-24
A06/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A13/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
60-33
32-38
32-48
42-50
28-31
29-44
30-24
33-38
34-22
36-43
27-17
34-26
49-23
30-32
53-41
36-41
37-42
43-48
35-30
44-41
145.6Avg total
74.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.470.9146.3+4.662%
Season at home (11)80.569.2149.7+11.482%
Season away (5)64.274.6138.8-10.420%
Last 10 (10)74.471.2145.6+3.270%
Last 5 (5)77.668.2145.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.174.3142.5-6.213%
vs Similar ◀ (9)67.469.7137.1-2.244%
vs Weaker (3)67.753.3121.0+14.3100%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -4.2-4.2
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -4.2-4.2
Western KentuckyMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/12
NCAA
Campbellsville
#569
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H16/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A30/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A09/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A10/01
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.8Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.369.3+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.833.970.7+2.872%-
Last 30 away (12)32.434.867.2-2.342%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.168.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.038.670.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.437.172.5-1.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.433.766.1-1.357%-
vs Weaker (5)37.831.469.2+6.480%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern State
#422
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H30/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A06/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
27-17
27
17
+10
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H10/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
38.5Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.767.1+3.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.830.569.3+8.465%-
Last 30 away (13)30.933.264.2-2.331%-
Last 10 (10)38.531.169.6+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.230.670.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.334.666.9-2.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.230.065.2+5.278%-
vs Weaker (3)35.321.356.7+14.0100%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Western Kentucky wins
0
Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AUTEP68-56
09/01/26ANew Mexico State64-80
04/01/26HLouisiana Tech66-61
02/01/26HSam Houston St.102-91
30/12/25AJacksonville State67-78
20/12/25HTulsa81-82
16/12/25HCampbellsville102-59
11/12/25AMarshall61-77
06/12/25HEvansville80-79
29/11/25HWichita State75-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HFlorida International79-71
08/01/26AKennesaw State80-90
04/01/26HNew Mexico State89-82
03/01/26HUTEP79-55
29/12/25ADelaware61-43
23/12/25HLindenwood70-65
17/12/25HOral Roberts63-62
13/12/25AXavier57-75
06/12/25ATulsa74-98
30/11/25HNortheastern State92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game81.085.873.0
Allowed / game75.774.477.8
Point differential+5.3+11.4-4.8
Avg total156.7160.2150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)60% (5)-
Overtime %6%0%17%
Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %62%82%20%
Points / game75.480.564.2
Allowed / game70.969.274.6
Point differential+4.6+11.4-10.4
Avg total146.3149.7138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty1613381%80.867.8+13.0
2 New Mexico State1510567%76.468.0+8.4
3 Kennesaw State1711665%88.977.0+11.9
4 Middle Tenn. St.1610662%75.869.4+6.4
5 Western Kentucky1610662%81.075.7+5.3
6 Missouri State1610662%75.470.9+4.6
7 Sam Houston St.1710759%84.674.8+9.8
8 Louisiana Tech169756%68.760.4+8.2
9 Florida International179853%84.978.4+6.5
10 Jacksonville State178947%73.566.7+6.8
11 UTEP1651131%69.872.6-2.8
12 Delaware1651131%65.970.8-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Kentucky414687
Missouri State343872
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