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UTEP vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 57-62
31-21 26-41
Position#307
Record7-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#223
Record11-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game72.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UTEP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UTEPUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H23/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
63-75
63
75
-12
A30/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A03/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A04/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H09/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H10/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A16/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A17/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-42
39-30
32-36
44-30
28-38
35-37
23-49
32-30
30-29
34-47
37-44
36-29
35-31
21-37
30-36
40-33
38-41
31-39
47-39
36-38
143.2Avg total
69.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.573.0143.5-2.537%
Season at home (10)77.971.7149.6+6.260%
Season away (9)62.274.4136.7-12.211%
Last 10 (10)69.074.2143.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)72.274.8147.0-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.274.5139.7-9.218%
vs Similar (9)71.874.9146.7-3.133%
vs Weaker (1)77.063.0140.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
79-55
79
55
+24
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
72-87
72
87
-15
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-24
33-38
34-22
36-43
27-17
34-26
49-23
30-32
53-41
36-41
37-42
43-48
35-30
44-41
34-41
38-46
36-38
32-30
33-31
51-44
148.4Avg total
76.4Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.372.9149.3+3.458%
Season at home (11)80.569.2149.7+11.482%
Season away (8)70.578.1148.6-7.625%
Last 10 (10)76.472.0148.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)80.482.6163.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.774.4143.1-5.817%
vs Similar (12)70.873.2144.1-2.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)67.753.3121.0+14.3100%
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.3-5.31st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -1.2-1.2
UTEPMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UTEPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H22/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H23/12
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A30/12
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A03/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A04/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H09/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H10/01
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A16/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/01
NCAA
71.7Avg total
33.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.636.068.6-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.635.471.0+0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)29.736.566.2-6.927%-
Last 10 (10)33.238.571.7-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.275.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.636.468.1-4.835%-
vs Similar (9)30.935.966.8-5.044%-
vs Weaker (1)37.037.074.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oral Roberts
#338
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
27-17
27
17
+10
A29/12
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/01
NCAA
67.7Avg total
36.8Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.932.168.0+3.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.730.269.9+9.569%-
Last 30 away (14)31.634.365.9-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)36.830.967.7+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.471.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.135.268.2-2.117%-
vs Similar (12)35.031.766.7+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)35.321.356.7+14.0100%-
This opponent (UTEP) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UTEP wins
1
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Missouri State v UTEP79-55
UTEPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HFlorida International83-77
17/01/26ALiberty69-80
16/01/26ADelaware70-69
10/01/26HWestern Kentucky56-68
09/01/26HMiddle Tenn. St.83-80 OT
04/01/26AFlorida International64-76
03/01/26AMissouri State55-79
30/12/25ALouisiana Tech63-75
23/12/25HNorth Dakota St76-66
22/12/25HNorfolk State71-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26ANew Mexico State84-75
17/01/26AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90 OT
15/01/26AWestern Kentucky72-87
10/01/26HFlorida International79-71
08/01/26AKennesaw State80-90
04/01/26HNew Mexico State89-82
03/01/26HUTEP79-55
29/12/25ADelaware61-43
23/12/25HLindenwood70-65
17/12/25HOral Roberts63-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UTEP
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW37%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayLLLWL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%60%11%
Points / game70.577.962.2
Allowed / game73.071.774.4
Point differential-2.5+6.2-12.2
Avg total143.5149.6136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW58%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%82%25%
Points / game76.380.570.5
Allowed / game72.969.278.1
Point differential+3.4+11.4-7.6
Avg total149.3149.7148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2017385%79.467.2+12.2
2 Sam Houston St.2013765%84.074.0+10.1
3 Kennesaw State2012860%87.877.5+10.3
4 New Mexico State1911858%77.269.8+7.4
5 Louisiana Tech1911858%68.461.3+7.1
6 Middle Tenn. St.1911858%74.770.1+4.6
7 Missouri State1911858%76.372.9+3.4
8 Western Kentucky2011955%78.875.7+3.1
9 Jacksonville State1910953%73.165.9+7.2
10 Florida International20101050%83.278.5+4.7
11 UTEP1971237%70.573.0-2.5
12 Delaware1951426%65.471.9-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UTEP312657
Missouri State214162
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