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Western Michigan vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 71-88
28-41 43-47
Position#325
Record5-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#180
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game71.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Western Michigan v Buffalo
02 Dec 2026
WEST v BUFF
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
WEST71
BUFF88
18 Jan 2025
WEST76
BUFF85
24 Feb 2024
WEST91
BUFF72
04 Feb 2023
WEST76
BUFF85
11 Jan 2022
WEST64
BUFF78
12 Jan 2021
WEST69
BUFF85
19 Mar 2011
WEST48
BUFF49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwood
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A09/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
58-91
58
91
-33
A21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
83-60
83
60
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
55-84
55
84
-29
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
51-91
51
91
-40
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
42-41
34-39
48-52
32-37
51-34
38-40
40-43
24-49
34-42
38-34
45-26
17-37
38-47
47-27
41-47
36-28
47-45
16-52
35-39
154.5Avg total
74.2Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.479.5153.8-5.145%
Season at home (5)82.272.2154.4+10.080%
Season away (6)67.885.5153.3-17.717%
Last 10 (10)74.280.3154.5-6.140%
Last 5 (5)72.076.4148.4-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)72.581.6154.1-9.237%
vs Similar (8)72.269.6141.9+2.675%
vs Weaker (2)86.574.5161.0+12.050%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
94-90
94
90
+4
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A29/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H06/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-28
51-48
36-18
30-35
50-28
30-36
40-43
54-47
31-33
47-37
45-32
28-39
34-29
37-24
32-38
37-39
39-43
44-36
47-28
23-45
147.3Avg total
76.7Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.571.4148.8+6.182%
Season at home (6)81.576.0157.5+5.583%
Season away (5)72.665.8138.4+6.880%
Last 10 (10)76.770.6147.3+6.180%
Last 5 (5)73.270.6143.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)71.381.4152.7-10.121%
vs Similar (6)78.373.7152.0+4.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)74.466.2140.6+8.280%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.6-6.61st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.6-6.61st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -0.5-0.5
Western MichiganBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwood
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A09/11
NCAA
IPFW
#181
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H13/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A21/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
17-37
17
37
-20
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H04/12
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A06/12
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
16-52
16
52
-36
A14/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
32.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.538.271.8-4.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.936.171.1-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)32.340.172.4-7.838%-
Last 10 (10)32.138.770.8-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.666.4-4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.840.871.6-10.121%-
vs Similar (8)36.431.467.8+5.088%-
vs Weaker (2)45.538.083.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisc. Green Bay
#171
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
36-18
36
18
+18
A12/11
NCAA
RIT Tigers
#399
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H15/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H18/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A26/11
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/11
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H06/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A09/12
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A14/12
NCAA
70.6Avg total
38.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.136.070.1-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.036.667.6-5.612%-
Last 30 away (14)37.735.373.0+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)38.632.070.6+6.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.073.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.139.171.2-7.116%-
vs Similar (6)34.731.065.7+3.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.430.071.4+11.480%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Western Michigan wins
7
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25AIowa51-91
06/12/25ASiu Edwardsville83-73
04/12/25HSouthern Indiana88-74
29/11/25AValparaiso55-84
23/11/25HMount St. Mary's83-60
21/11/25AOhio State58-91
16/11/25ASouth Dakota Coyotes78-83
13/11/25HIPFW83-71
09/11/25ACampbell82-91
07/11/25HNorthwood81-85
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25AEast Carolina70-73
09/12/25AUMBC Retrievers83-79
06/12/25HSt. Bonaventure69-77
29/11/25ACanisius71-53
26/11/25ABucknell73-71
24/11/25HVMI78-70
18/11/25HVermont94-90
15/11/25HRIT Tigers80-64
12/11/25ADePaul66-53
07/11/25HWisc. Green Bay83-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game74.482.267.8
Allowed / game79.572.285.5
Point differential-5.1+10.0-17.7
Avg total153.8154.4153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%60%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game77.581.572.6
Allowed / game71.476.065.8
Point differential+6.1+5.5+6.8
Avg total148.8157.5138.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)11110100%92.369.6+22.6
2 Buffalo119282%77.571.4+6.1
3 Akron129375%95.677.9+17.7
4 Bowling Green118373%87.264.8+22.4
5 Kent State118373%96.082.2+13.8
6 UMass118373%80.373.6+6.6
7 Toledo126650%82.977.9+5.0
8 Eastern Michigan126650%71.972.8-0.8
9 Ohio115645%76.578.9-2.4
10 Western Michigan115645%74.479.5-5.1
11 Northern Illinois114736%77.578.8-1.4
12 Central Michigan114736%73.577.4-3.9
13 Ball State113827%64.969.4-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan284371
Buffalo414788
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