Western vs Guelph Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2018

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 99-80

22-20 31-17 31-17 15-26

Position#15

Record8-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game72.6

Western 🏆

Guelph

Position#37

Record3-11

FormLWLLL

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game84.4

U Sports

Other2017-18

Meetings · Western v Guelph

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Guelph winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

#18

93-78

+15

H11/11

U Sports

University of Ottawa

#10

62-67

-5

A17/11

U Sports

Carleton

61-82

-21

A19/11

U Sports

York

#46

70-63

A25/11

U Sports

Queens

#29

75-71

A26/11

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

74-80

-6

H01/12

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

83-88

-5

H03/12

U Sports

Laurier

#22

78-76

H06/01

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

84-75

H13/01

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

77-67

+10

H14/01

U Sports

19-20

21-22

32-17

21-19

14-11

14-19

18-12

16-25

15-17

10-22

20-21

16-22

13-20

20-14

20-17

17-12

24-20

16-8

22-18

13-25

18-20

19-20

20-19

17-21

25-23

17-21

18-19

23-25

13-15

19-19

28-21

18-21

19-25

26-14

19-13

20-23

17-15

13-12

17-25

30-15

150.4Avg total

75.7Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	71.4	72.6	144.0	-1.3	57%
Season at home (8)	75.5	73.6	149.1	+1.9	62%
Season away (6)	65.8	71.3	137.2	-5.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	74.7	150.4	+1.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	77.2	156.4	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	63.7	81.0	144.7	-17.3	11%
vs Similar (13)	79.0	78.3	157.3	+0.7	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	78.6	71.0	149.6	+7.6	88%

This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Guelph

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

York

#46

87-72

+15

H09/11

U Sports

TMU

57-82

-25

H16/11

U Sports

Toronto

#19

70-63

H18/11

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

71-84

-13

A25/11

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

78-84

-6

A26/11

U Sports

Queens

#29

86-88

-2

H02/12

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

96-85

+11

A06/01

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

67-87

-20

A07/01

U Sports

Laurier

#22

65-83

-18

H11/01

U Sports

Windsor

#18

92-96

-4

H14/01

U Sports

20-15

18-18

22-14

27-25

18-23

11-17

11-28

17-14

16-10

20-20

14-14

20-19

14-20

16-20

17-20

24-24

14-25

15-19

26-23

23-17

20-18

31-21

21-23

14-26

26-18

25-17

25-23

20-27

12-20

15-17

20-26

20-24

20-18

6-26

21-15

18-24

26-31

17-16

26-23

23-26

159.3Avg total

76.9Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	75.4	84.4	159.8	-9.1	21%
Season at home (6)	76.2	80.7	156.8	-4.5	33%
Season away (8)	74.8	87.2	162.0	-12.5	12%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	82.4	159.3	-5.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	87.8	169.0	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	69.8	85.4	155.3	-15.6	5%
vs Similar (6)	73.2	74.8	148.0	-1.7	33%
vs Weaker (5)	82.6	73.4	156.0	+9.2	80%

This opponent (Western) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

WesternGuelph

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	17.4	35.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	15.5	19.2	34.6	-3.7	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.6	36.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	14.8	19.2	34.0	-4.4	22%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.0	16.8	33.8	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	20.0	36.4	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+0.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.2	21.6	35.8	-7.4	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	15.9	20.4	36.4	-4.5	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.3	22.2	37.5	-6.8	17%	-
vs Weaker (5)	19.8	15.6	35.4	+4.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.2	36.9	-1.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	16.9	20.0	36.9	-3.1	18%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.4	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.1	34.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	13.3	21.3	34.7	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.2	19.5	39.8	+0.7	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.1	36.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	17.4	20.3	37.6	-2.9	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	17.0	34.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	60%	-

WesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Windsor

#18

40-42

-2

H11/11

U Sports

University of Ottawa

#10

28-30

-2

A17/11

U Sports

Carleton

25-39

-14

A19/11

U Sports

York

#46

33-34

-1

A25/11

U Sports

Queens

#29

40-28

+12

A26/11

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

37-40

-3

H01/12

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

42-44

-2

H03/12

U Sports

Laurier

#22

32-34

-2

H06/01

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

45-39

H13/01

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

30-27

H14/01

U Sports

70.9Avg total

35.2Scored

35.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	37.4	72.1	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	35.3	37.4	72.6	-2.1	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.1	37.4	71.5	-3.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	35.7	70.9	-0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	36.8	74.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	28.1	40.6	68.7	-12.4	11%	-
vs Similar (13)	37.2	36.4	73.6	+0.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	38.2	35.4	73.6	+2.9	50%	-

This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

York

#46

38-33

H09/11

U Sports

TMU

29-40

-11

H16/11

U Sports

Toronto

#19

36-30

H18/11

U Sports

Laurentian

#12

30-40

-10

A25/11

U Sports

Nipissing

#33

29-44

-15

A26/11

U Sports

Queens

#29

51-39

+12

H02/12

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

51-35

+16

A06/01

U Sports

Lakehead

#47

27-37

-10

A07/01

U Sports

Laurier

#22

26-44

-18

H11/01

U Sports

Windsor

#18

43-47

-4

H14/01

U Sports

74.9Avg total

36.0Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.4	39.0	73.3	-4.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	36.6	36.4	72.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.4	41.2	73.7	-8.8	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.9	74.9	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.4	80.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	33.3	40.7	74.0	-7.4	21%	-
vs Similar (6)	32.7	39.2	71.8	-6.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.4	32.2	72.6	+8.2	80%	-

This opponent (Western) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	19.8	39.6	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	18.5	38.2	+1.3	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.4	17.8	37.1	+1.6	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	21.7	39.5	-3.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	18.7	37.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	24.2	41.2	-7.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	16.6	23.3	39.9	-6.7	11%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	20.1	39.2	-0.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.8	39.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.6	21.7	40.2	-3.1	22%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.0	17.9	38.9	+3.1	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.3	39.6	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	25.4	44.4	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.5	42%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	39.1	78.2	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.2	39.6	78.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.9	38.5	77.5	+0.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	39.0	79.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	40.4	82.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.6	40.4	76.0	-4.9	11%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.7	40.4	81.1	+0.3	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.4	35.6	76.0	+4.8	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	42.3	80.6	-4.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.1	39.0	77.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	45.2	83.6	-6.9	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	43.5	84.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	47.4	89.0	-5.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	36.5	44.7	81.3	-8.2	5%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.5	35.7	76.2	+4.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (5)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Western wins

Guelph wins

Date	Game	Score
06/11/16	Western v Guelph	81-83
10/01/16	Guelph v Western	81-68
08/11/14	Western v Guelph	85-71

Westernlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/01/18	H	Lakehead	77-67
13/01/18	H	Lakehead	84-75
06/01/18	H	Laurier	78-76
03/12/17	H	Nipissing	83-88
01/12/17	H	Laurentian	74-80
26/11/17	A	Queens	75-71
25/11/17	A	York	70-63
19/11/17	A	Carleton	61-82
17/11/17	A	University of Ottawa	62-67
11/11/17	H	Windsor	93-78

Guelphlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/01/18	H	Windsor	92-96
11/01/18	H	Laurier	65-83
07/01/18	A	Lakehead	67-87
06/01/18	A	Lakehead	96-85
02/12/17	H	Queens	86-88
26/11/17	A	Nipissing	78-84
25/11/17	A	Laurentian	71-84
18/11/17	H	Toronto	70-63
16/11/17	H	TMU	57-82
09/11/17	H	York	87-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western

U Sports 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	57%
Home	LLWWW	62%
Away	WLLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	57%	62%	50%
Points / game	71.4	75.5	65.8
Allowed / game	72.6	73.6	71.3
Point differential	-1.3	+1.9	-5.5
Avg total	144.0	149.1	137.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Guelph

U Sports 2017-18

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	21%
Home	LWLLL	33%
Away	LLLWL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	6	8
Win %	21%	33%	12%
Points / game	75.4	76.2	74.8
Allowed / game	84.4	80.7	87.2
Point differential	-9.1	-4.5	-12.5
Avg total	159.8	156.8	162.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	17%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Carleton	14	14	0	100%	90.0	61.3	+28.7
2	Alberta	14	13	1	93%	86.6	65.2	+21.4
3	Laurentian	13	12	1	92%	86.9	73.1	+13.8
4	UNB	11	10	1	91%	93.5	77.7	+15.8
5	McGill	8	7	1	88%	89.4	65.2	+24.1
6	Brock	14	12	2	86%	83.0	68.3	+14.7
7	Dalhousie	10	8	2	80%	85.8	73.8	+12.0
8	Laval	5	4	1	80%	79.2	70.8	+8.4
9	Acadia	10	8	2	80%	78.0	74.1	+3.9
10	UBC	14	11	3	79%	95.3	78.2	+17.1
11	University of Ottawa	14	11	3	79%	82.4	70.2	+12.2
12	Calgary	14	11	3	79%	86.2	74.1	+12.1
13	Lethbridge	16	11	5	69%	90.7	85.1	+5.6
14	TMU	14	9	5	64%	80.1	71.8	+8.4
15	Queens	14	9	5	64%	83.0	79.2	+3.8
16	Saint Marys	11	7	4	64%	83.0	76.7	+6.3
17	Manitoba	16	10	6	62%	82.0	74.9	+7.1
18	Victoria	14	8	6	57%	81.0	76.9	+4.1
19	Regina	14	8	6	57%	81.7	81.9	-0.2
20	Western	14	8	6	57%	71.4	72.6	-1.3
21	Thompson Rivers	16	9	7	56%	77.4	77.3	+0.1
22	Mount Royal	14	7	7	50%	82.5	79.8	+2.7
23	Brandon	14	7	7	50%	85.1	85.0	+0.1
24	Concordia	6	3	3	50%	74.8	76.2	-1.3
25	Toronto	14	7	7	50%	73.2	77.9	-4.6
26	Nipissing	13	6	7	46%	71.2	76.2	-5.0
27	UNBC	16	7	9	44%	79.0	82.1	-3.1
28	Laurier	14	6	8	43%	78.9	79.9	-1.0
29	Waterloo	14	6	8	43%	76.6	79.6	-3.1
30	Windsor	14	6	8	43%	82.6	88.5	-5.9
31	StFX	11	4	7	36%	83.9	85.2	-1.3
32	Saskatchewan	14	5	9	36%	75.2	77.9	-2.7
33	Winnipeg	14	5	9	36%	76.0	85.7	-9.7
34	Memorial	12	4	8	33%	81.3	87.9	-6.6
35	UFV	16	5	11	31%	74.8	85.5	-10.7
36	MacEwan	14	4	10	29%	76.4	82.3	-5.9
37	Bishop's	7	2	5	29%	77.9	85.6	-7.7
38	Algoma	14	4	10	29%	67.1	81.3	-14.1
39	Guelph	14	3	11	21%	75.4	84.4	-9.1
40	Cape Breton	11	2	9	18%	86.5	94.1	-7.6
41	McMaster	14	2	12	14%	75.4	85.0	-9.6
42	York	14	2	12	14%	66.9	79.4	-12.4
43	UBC Okanagan	14	2	12	14%	62.3	79.7	-17.4
44	UQAM	8	1	7	12%	66.9	88.5	-21.6
45	Lakehead	14	1	13	7%	68.1	82.9	-14.9
46	Trinity Western	14	1	13	7%	73.6	93.9	-20.3
47	UPEI	10	0	10	0%	68.7	91.2	-22.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Western	22	31	31	15	99
Guelph	20	17	17	26	80

← all games of the day

Western vs Guelph Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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