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Western vs Guelph Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-53
10-20 23-9 20-15 19-9
Position#14
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game74.0
Western 🏆
Canada
vs
Position#27
Record6-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game87.0
CanadaU Sports
Other2018-19
Meetings · Western v Guelph
19 Jan 2019
WEST72
GUEL53
17 Feb 2018
WEST97
GUEL56
17 Jan 2018
WEST99
GUEL80
05 Nov 2016
WEST81
GUEL83
07 Nov 2014
WEST85
GUEL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guelph winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WesternCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University of Ottawa
#12
L
55-93
55
93
-38
H11/11
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A17/11
U Sports
Toronto
#36
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A24/11
U Sports
TMU
#3
L
46-84
46
84
-38
A25/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A01/12
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
W
88-78
88
78
+10
A02/12
U Sports
Brock
#8
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H05/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H12/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H13/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H19/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
11-26
16-19
11-28
13-11
24-14
17-18
22-14
18-14
11-17
23-22
27-20
7-27
12-24
14-19
13-14
19-18
14-26
28-9
16-19
28-16
18-20
13-17
29-25
19-12
20-14
19-28
22-21
20-10
19-22
25-24
26-19
21-22
21-9
26-17
24-22
26-20
23-12
26-23
20-26
153.6Avg total
77.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.974.0148.9+0.973%
Season at home (8)75.974.9150.8+1.075%
Season away (7)73.773.0146.7+0.771%
Last 10 (10)77.875.8153.6+2.080%
Last 5 (5)89.075.8164.8+13.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)53.284.2137.4-31.00%
vs Similar (9)81.081.6162.6-0.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.274.2161.4+13.094%
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
York
#34
W
105-92
105
92
+13
A11/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H17/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H18/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H01/12
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
39-90
39
90
-51
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H05/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
H06/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A10/01
U Sports
McMaster
#25
L
80-97
80
97
-17
H12/01
U Sports
Brock
#8
L
100-101
100
101
-1
H17/01
U Sports
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
19-23
21-28
34-27
21-26
22-18
19-16
19-20
24-19
22-27
20-11
17-19
21-20
15-21
22-21
23-21
7-21
9-29
14-23
9-17
27-19
24-19
24-18
20-17
18-22
12-21
29-15
19-20
11-10
20-7
13-24
21-18
27-21
12-26
18-18
23-32
25-22
19-20
29-28
27-31
165.8Avg total
82.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.887.0166.8-7.240%
Season at home (9)80.886.0166.8-5.244%
Season away (6)78.388.5166.8-10.233%
Last 10 (10)82.083.8165.8-1.860%
Last 5 (5)86.283.4169.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.289.9165.1-14.612%
vs Similar (7)86.083.7169.7+2.357%
vs Weaker (6)84.383.7168.0+0.767%
This opponent (Western) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
WesternGuelph
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University of Ottawa
#12
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H11/11
U Sports
Windsor
#37
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A17/11
U Sports
Toronto
#36
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A24/11
U Sports
TMU
#3
L
19-51
19
51
-32
A25/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A01/12
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/12
U Sports
Brock
#8
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H05/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H12/01
U Sports
Algoma
#42
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H13/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H19/01
U Sports
71.5Avg total
36.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.837.175.9+1.759%-
Last 30 at home (22)40.936.877.6+4.168%-
Last 30 away (7)32.338.370.6-6.029%-
Last 10 (10)36.135.471.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.031.474.4+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.247.073.2-20.80%-
vs Similar (8)41.237.879.0+3.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.533.875.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Guelph) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuelphLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
York
#34
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A11/11
U Sports
Nipissing
#44
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H17/11
U Sports
Laurentian
#18
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H18/11
U Sports
University of Ottawa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/12
U Sports
Carleton
#1
L
16-50
16
50
-34
H02/12
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/01
U Sports
Lakehead
#30
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H06/01
U Sports
Waterloo
#45
W
31-17
31
17
+14
A10/01
U Sports
McMaster
#25
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H12/01
U Sports
Brock
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H17/01
U Sports
79.1Avg total
38.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.877.8-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.242.381.5-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)34.839.374.1-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.579.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.476.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)34.643.377.9-8.624%-
vs Similar (7)39.638.978.4+0.743%-
vs Weaker (6)40.735.876.5+4.850%-
This opponent (Western) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Western wins
2
Guelph wins
DateGameScore
25/10/18Guelph v Western77-87
17/02/18Western v Guelph97-56
18/01/18Western v Guelph99-80
06/11/16Western v Guelph81-83
10/01/16Guelph v Western81-68
08/11/14Western v Guelph85-71
Westernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/19HWaterloo95-81
13/01/19HAlgoma92-70
12/01/19HAlgoma90-75
05/01/19HBrock80-75
02/12/18ALaurentian88-78
01/12/18ANipissing77-72
25/11/18ATMU46-84
24/11/18AToronto79-73
17/11/18AWindsor76-57
11/11/18HUniversity of Ottawa55-93
Guelphlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/19HBrock100-101
12/01/19HMcMaster80-97
10/01/19AWaterloo65-59
06/01/19HLakehead91-87 OT
05/01/19HLakehead95-73
02/12/18HCarleton39-90
01/12/18HUniversity of Ottawa81-83
18/11/18HLaurentian83-76
17/11/18HNipissing81-80
11/11/18AYork105-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game74.975.973.7
Allowed / game74.074.973.0
Point differential+0.9+1.0+0.7
Avg total148.9150.8146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guelph
U Sports 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %40%44%33%
Points / game79.880.878.3
Allowed / game87.086.088.5
Point differential-7.2-5.2-10.2
Avg total166.8166.8166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%11%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Carleton15150100%89.857.5+32.3
2 Calgary16160100%90.968.1+22.8
3 Saint Marys11110100%85.469.0+16.4
4 TMU1514193%88.259.9+28.3
5 UBC1514193%96.173.4+22.7
6 Concordia98189%83.375.0+8.3
7 Alberta1512380%86.070.7+15.3
8 University of Ottawa1511473%81.673.3+8.3
9 Regina1511473%84.877.4+7.4
10 Western1511473%74.974.0+0.9
11 Winnipeg1611569%92.684.7+7.9
12 UFV1611569%79.975.9+3.9
13 Laurier1510567%81.577.9+3.7
14 Brock1610662%86.180.1+6.1
15 UNB138562%84.281.2+3.0
16 Dalhousie116555%76.273.3+2.9
17 Cape Breton116555%85.284.5+0.6
18 Lethbridge158753%92.980.1+12.8
19 Queens158753%74.474.1+0.3
20 Saskatchewan158753%86.586.3+0.2
21 UNBC157847%80.378.7+1.6
22 Laurentian157847%83.583.5+0.0
23 McMaster157847%79.983.7-3.9
24 Toronto157847%73.380.1-6.9
25 Laval73443%75.777.3-1.6
26 McGill73443%68.170.6-2.4
27 Mount Royal1771041%79.187.2-8.1
28 Victoria156940%76.680.3-3.7
29 Manitoba156940%75.579.7-4.2
30 Thompson Rivers156940%78.682.9-4.3
31 Guelph156940%79.887.0-7.2
32 UQAM83538%75.477.0-1.6
33 Windsor1661038%69.182.4-13.3
34 Acadia114736%74.677.9-3.3
35 StFX114736%82.987.0-4.1
36 UBC Okanagan1761135%70.889.2-18.4
37 Bishop's93633%79.383.1-3.8
38 York1551033%80.787.1-6.5
39 Memorial113827%75.978.8-2.9
40 UPEI113827%70.984.1-13.2
41 Algoma1541127%73.584.8-11.3
42 Lakehead1531220%75.083.5-8.5
43 Waterloo1631319%74.286.0-11.8
44 Nipissing1521313%72.181.2-9.1
45 Brandon1521313%80.191.3-11.2
46 MacEwan150150%71.092.4-21.4
47 Trinity Western150150%72.094.1-22.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Western1023201972
Guelph20915953
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