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Willetton Tigers vs Geraldton Buccaneers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 80-99
28-23 24-27 14-23 14-26
Position#4
Record17-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game93.4
Willetton Tigers
Australia
vs
Geraldton Buccaneers 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record19-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game86.0
AustraliaNBL1 WestNBL1 West - Semi-finals
Other2025
Meetings · Willetton Tigers v Geraldton Buccaneers
17 Aug 2025
WILL80
GERA99
01 Jun 2025
WILL103
GERA99
22 Jul 2023
WILL81
GERA89
23 Apr 2022
WILL64
GERA97
13 Aug 2021
WILL103
GERA42
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Willetton Tigers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geraldton Buccaneers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Willetton TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A20/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H21/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
L
97-117
97
117
-20
A28/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H04/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
99-128
99
128
-29
A05/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
107-82
107
82
+25
H12/07
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
A18/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
127-119
127
119
+8
H26/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
109-92
109
92
+17
A01/08
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
121-102
121
102
+19
A09/08
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-15
31-31
23-26
20-28
26-21
21-15
28-23
26-19
26-25
19-33
26-40
20-23
17-31
28-13
34-25
19-40
25-32
25-29
30-27
23-18
29-16
23-27
32-21
24-24
27-17
25-24
20-31
34-33
30-26
33-27
30-33
23-19
31-22
28-25
27-26
29-19
31-20
28-32
33-31
206.1Avg total
104.9Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)99.093.4192.4+5.674%
Season at home (11)96.990.0186.9+6.973%
Season away (12)100.996.5197.4+4.475%
Last 10 (10)104.9101.2206.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)113.2100.0213.2+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)97.6103.9201.4-6.333%
vs Similar (8)96.492.2188.6+4.162%
vs Weaker (13)97.887.5185.2+10.392%
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#4
W
117-97
117
97
+20
H28/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
108-88
108
88
+20
H05/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
115-75
115
75
+40
A12/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
118-98
118
98
+20
A13/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
107-95
107
95
+12
H19/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
119-96
119
96
+23
H26/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
105-85
105
85
+20
A01/08
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
119-68
119
68
+51
A02/08
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
84-115
84
115
-31
H09/08
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H15/08
NBL1 West
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
25-26
33-19
40-26
24-23
30-20
24-23
30-22
29-18
37-14
28-14
21-29
26-23
32-22
32-30
28-23
24-23
27-26
29-27
27-19
37-21
22-20
32-22
28-33
30-24
27-15
26-20
22-26
25-22
38-16
27-12
29-18
20-26
28-26
21-36
15-27
18-19
30-14
24-17
21-20
197.2Avg total
108.5Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)104.586.0190.5+18.579%
Season at home (13)102.885.5188.4+17.385%
Season away (11)106.586.5193.1+20.073%
Last 10 (10)108.588.7197.2+19.890%
Last 5 (5)104.086.8190.8+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)97.893.0190.8+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)104.585.8190.3+18.777%
This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +9.7+9.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +9.7+9.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
Willetton TigersGeraldton Buccaneers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Willetton TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A20/06
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H21/06
NBL1 West
Geraldton Buccaneers
#1
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A28/06
NBL1 West
Joondalup Wolves
#5
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H04/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
44-72
44
72
-28
A05/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H12/07
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A18/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H26/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A01/08
NBL1 West
Rockingham Flames
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A09/08
NBL1 West
96.3Avg total
49.9Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.445.896.2+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.145.995.0+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)51.545.797.2+5.875%-
Last 10 (10)49.946.496.3+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)56.242.899.0+13.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)50.748.899.4+1.956%-
vs Similar (8)48.947.296.1+1.662%-
vs Weaker (13)51.242.893.9+8.477%-
This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Willetton Tigers
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H28/06
NBL1 West
Lakeside Lightning
#10
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H05/07
NBL1 West
Mandurah Magic
#7
W
66-32
66
32
+34
A12/07
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A13/07
NBL1 West
Beeliar Boodjar
#12
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H19/07
NBL1 West
South West Slammers
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H26/07
NBL1 West
Perth Redbacks
#13
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A01/08
NBL1 West
East Perth Eagles
#8
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A02/08
NBL1 West
Warwick Senators
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H09/08
NBL1 West
Goldfields Giants
#6
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H15/08
NBL1 West
97.2Avg total
54.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.744.096.7+8.770%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.644.594.1+5.165%-
Last 30 away (13)56.843.3100.2+13.577%-
Last 10 (10)54.842.497.2+12.480%-
Last 5 (5)55.040.695.6+14.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)55.045.2100.2+9.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)52.443.896.2+8.669%-
This opponent (Willetton Tigers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Willetton Tigers wins
7
Geraldton Buccaneers wins
DateGameScore
28/06/25Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers117-97
01/06/25Willetton Tigers v Geraldton Buccaneers103-99 OT
03/08/24Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers89-98
06/04/24Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers102-95
29/07/23Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers87-86
22/07/23Willetton Tigers v Geraldton Buccaneers81-89
13/05/23Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers120-98
18/06/22Geraldton Buccaneers v Willetton Tigers102-77
23/04/22Willetton Tigers v Geraldton Buccaneers64-97
13/08/21Willetton Tigers v Geraldton Buccaneers103-42
Willetton Tigerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25ARockingham Flames121-102
01/08/25ASouth West Slammers109-92
26/07/25HBeeliar Boodjar127-119
18/07/25ARockingham Flames102-105 OT
12/07/25HSouth West Slammers107-82
05/07/25AWarwick Senators99-128
04/07/25HJoondalup Wolves99-92
28/06/25AGeraldton Buccaneers97-117
21/06/25HMandurah Magic95-87
20/06/25ALakeside Lightning93-88
Geraldton Buccaneerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/08/25HGoldfields Giants93-70
09/08/25HWarwick Senators84-115
02/08/25AEast Perth Eagles119-68
01/08/25APerth Redbacks105-85
26/07/25HSouth West Slammers119-96
19/07/25HBeeliar Boodjar107-95
13/07/25AWarwick Senators118-98
12/07/25AMandurah Magic115-75
05/07/25HLakeside Lightning108-88
28/06/25HWilletton Tigers117-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Willetton Tigers
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game99.096.9100.9
Allowed / game93.490.096.5
Point differential+5.6+6.9+4.4
Avg total192.4186.9197.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%18%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Geraldton Buccaneers
NBL1 West 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWWWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %79%85%73%
Points / game104.5102.8106.5
Allowed / game86.085.586.5
Point differential+18.5+17.3+20.0
Avg total190.5188.4193.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+79%85%73%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Warwick Senators2420483%109.592.2+17.3
2 Rockingham Flames2520580%104.294.5+9.7
3 Geraldton Buccaneers2419579%104.586.0+18.5
4 Willetton Tigers2317674%99.093.4+5.6
5 Joondalup Wolves2314961%94.989.8+5.1
6 Goldfields Giants24131154%93.192.0+1.1
7 Mandurah Magic23111248%94.498.6-4.1
8 East Perth Eagles24101442%90.095.8-5.8
9 Kalamunda Eastern Suns2291341%89.091.1-2.1
10 Lakeside Lightning2281436%90.394.0-3.7
11 Perry Lakes Hawks2271532%85.993.7-7.9
12 Beeliar Boodjar2261627%90.298.4-8.1
13 Perth Redbacks2261627%85.396.0-10.7
14 South West Slammers221215%82.7102.0-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Willetton Tigers2824141480
Geraldton Buccaneers2327232699
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