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Wisconsin vs Coastal Carolina Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 16 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 86-62
Projected total 148.1
Scheduled
Position#50
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game58.0
Wisconsin
USA
Vs
98%
■ WISC 98%■ COAS 2%
Pythia win probability
Coastal Carolina
USA
Position#230
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Wisconsin faces Coastal Carolina on 15 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Wisconsin the clear favourite, assigning it a 98% chance of winning, a reflection of the Badgers' undefeated 3-0 record, 79.0 points scored per game and 58.0 points allowed per game, and a league position of 50 that places them among the top teams. Coastal Carolina, meanwhile, sits at 2-2 with 72.5 points scored per game and 73.5 points allowed per game, and a league position of 230, indicating a more modest performance. Wisconsin's home form is perfect, 3-0, with a recent run of three straight home victories including an 89-42 win over Fairfield, a 73-64 win over Delaware and a 75-68 win over Denver, while Coastal Carolina's road record is 0-1, with a single loss to Duke 52-113. The teams have met once before, with the last meeting recorded as a win for Wisconsin. Pythia projects a 86-62 score, a total of 148.1 points, and a 51% chance the game will go over the 147.5 line, with a 1% probability of overtime. The Badgers' dominant offensive and defensive numbers suggest they will comfortably cover the spread and finish the game in a convincing manner.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin win
97.9%fair 1.02
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Coastal Carolina win
2.1%fair 47.20
Best odds65.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#359
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H03/11
NCAA
Delaware
#271
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#245
W
89-42
89
42
+47
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-21
54-52
34-21
44-24
52-47
45-46
43-33
42-49
30-36
48-42
28-28
37-40
41-39
41-44
44-30
31-38
35-28
38-36
52-20
37-22
153.1Avg total
82.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Season at home (3)79.058.0137.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.570.6153.1+11.980%
Last 5 (5)76.865.0141.8+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.485.6170.0-1.157%
vs Similar (10)79.578.1157.6+1.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.566.9148.5+14.685%
This opponent (Coastal Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coastal CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A13/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A25/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
72-96
72
96
-24
H08/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#158
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H03/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
L
52-113
52
113
-61
A06/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#332
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
103-54
103
54
+49
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-29
33-36
32-32
33-35
36-24
43-51
30-28
46-43
31-33
38-35
42-45
30-51
37-34
33-37
18-54
34-59
29-25
36-31
55-32
48-22
145.6Avg total
72.0Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.573.5146.0-1.050%
Season at home (3)79.360.3139.7+19.067%
Season away (1)52.0113.0165.0-61.00%
Last 10 (10)72.073.6145.6-1.660%
Last 5 (5)72.478.0150.4-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)61.980.4142.2-18.525%
vs Similar (17)73.572.6146.1+0.965%
vs Weaker (5)80.471.6152.0+8.880%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142.5
Over 142.5
63.6%
@ 1.47+1.1pp
Under 142.5
36.4%
@ 2.45-1.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Under
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 147.5 · main line
Over 147.5
51.4%
@ 1.90+1.0pp
Under 147.5
48.6%
@ 1.92-1.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.89
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.92
Marathon Be
1.92
Betano
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 152.5
Over 152.5
39.1%
@ 2.47+1.8pp
Under 152.5
60.9%
@ 1.47-1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Wisconsin total 84.5
Over 84.5
57.3%
@ 1.40-7.3pp
Under 84.5
42.7%
@ 2.55+7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.55
Wisconsin total 88.5 · main line
Over 88.5
41.2%
@ 1.85-8.8pp
Under 88.5
58.8%
@ 1.91+8.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Wisconsin total 92.5
Over 92.5
26.5%
@ 2.55-8.9pp
Under 92.5
73.5%
@ 1.40+8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.40
Coastal Carolina total 55
Over 55
76.0%
Under 55
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Coastal Carolina total 59 · main line
Over 59
61.3%
@ 1.85+11.3pp
Under 59
38.7%
@ 1.85-11.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Coastal Carolina total 63
Over 63
44.7%
Under 63
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Wisconsin -32.5
WISC -32.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
COAS +32.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
WISC
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.20
COAS
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.57
Spread Wisconsin -29.5 · main line
WISC -29.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
COAS +29.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
Best 5 market prices
WISC
Bet365
1.88
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
BetVictor
1.78
COAS
Bet365
1.93
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Spread Wisconsin -26.5
WISC -26.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
COAS +26.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
Best 5 market prices
WISC
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.53
COAS
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.25

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -2.6-2.6
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -2.6-2.6
WisconsinCoastal Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#218
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#359
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Delaware
#271
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H07/11
NCAA
Fairfield
#245
W
52-20
52
20
+32
H11/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
39.5Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70.5
Last 30 (30)38.133.571.6+4.660%57%
Last 30 at home (17)41.232.273.5+9.082%71%
Last 30 away (13)33.935.269.1-1.231%38%
Last 10 (10)39.530.369.8+9.280%50%
Last 5 (5)40.029.069.0+11.080%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.739.677.3-1.929%71%
vs Similar (10)37.335.973.2+1.450%60%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.828.467.2+10.585%46%
This opponent (Coastal Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Coastal CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A13/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H19/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A25/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A28/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#158
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Duke
#87
L
18-54
18
54
-36
A06/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#332
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H10/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H13/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
34.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 70.5
Last 30 (30)32.533.065.4-0.560%37%
Last 30 at home (15)33.730.764.3+3.060%27%
Last 30 away (15)31.335.366.5-4.060%47%
Last 10 (10)34.633.668.2+1.060%40%
Last 5 (5)36.238.074.2-1.860%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)28.540.869.2-12.238%62%
vs Similar (17)32.230.162.3+2.259%24%
vs Weaker (5)39.630.470.0+9.2100%40%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
WISC win
no forecast
@ 1.02
COAS win
no forecast
@ 15.50
1st half Spread Wisconsin -17 · main line
WISC -17
no forecast
@ 1.82
COAS +17
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 70.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Wisconsin 1st half total 44 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
Coastal Carolina 1st half total 26.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Wisconsin -18.5
WISC -18.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
COAS +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Wisconsin -15.5
WISC -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
COAS +15.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 66.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.62
1st half Over/Under 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread Wisconsin -19.5
WISC -19.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
COAS +19.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Wisconsin -14.5
WISC -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
COAS +14.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Spread Wisconsin -20.5
WISC -20.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
COAS +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Wisconsin -13.5
WISC -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
COAS +13.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
WISC
no forecast
@ 1.02
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
COAS
no forecast
@ 15.00

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
WISC win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
COAS win + total 147.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: WISC leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Coastal Carolina over 56.570.1%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+10.5pp
Coastal Carolina over 55.573.5%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+10.0pp
Coastal Carolina over 54.576.7%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+9.6pp
Wisconsin under 91.570.1%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+9.6pp
Wisconsin under 93.576.7%1.34
Betano
1.34		----+9.3pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wisconsin wins
0
Coastal Carolina wins
No previous meetings.
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HFairfield89-42
07/11/26HDelaware73-64
03/11/26HDenver75-68
19/03/26HHigh Point82-83
14/03/26AMichigan65-68
13/03/26AIllinois91-88 OT
12/03/26HWashington85-82
07/03/26APurdue97-93
05/03/26HMaryland78-45
28/02/26AWashington90-73
Coastal Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg103-54
10/11/26HUSC Upstate65-56
06/11/26ADuke52-113
03/11/26HEastern Michigan70-71
08/03/26HGeorgia Southern72-96
28/02/26AJames Madison69-68
25/02/26AGeorgia State76-71
21/02/26HMarshall79-75
19/02/26HJames Madison65-67
13/02/26ALouisiana Lafayette69-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game79.079.0-
Allowed / game58.058.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total137.0137.0-
Over 147.50%0%-
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Coastal Carolina
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game72.579.352.0
Allowed / game73.560.3113.0
Point differential-1.0+19.0-61.0
Avg total146.0139.7165.0
Over 147.550%33%100%
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UCLA330100%101.358.3+43.0
2 Nebraska330100%89.060.7+28.3
3 Rutgers330100%84.756.3+28.3
4 Michigan State440100%93.066.2+26.8
5 Oregon330100%95.068.7+26.3
6 Indiana440100%89.068.0+21.0
7 Wisconsin330100%79.058.0+21.0
8 Minnesota440100%78.858.5+20.2
9 USC330100%88.371.3+17.0
10 Washington220100%83.570.0+13.5
11 Illinois43175%104.571.2+33.2
12 Purdue43175%78.569.0+9.5
13 Northwestern43175%70.861.8+9.0
14 Iowa32167%85.064.7+20.3
15 Michigan32167%81.774.3+7.3
16 Penn State53260%77.675.6+2.0
17 Ohio State42250%81.079.2+1.8
18 Maryland31233%84.380.0+4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
8 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
9 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
10 Georgia State41325%85.877.2+8.5
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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