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Wisconsin vs Delaware Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 88-66
Projected total 154.0
Final 73-64
35-28 38-36
Position#53
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game68.0
Wisconsin 🏆
USA
Vs
97%
■ WISC 97%■ DELA 3%
Pythia win probability
Delaware
USA
Position#262
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game44.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Wisconsin faces Delaware on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model rates Wisconsin the clear favourite, assigning it a 97% chance of victory, a reflection of their 1-0 record, 75.0 points per game and 68.0 points allowed per game, placing them 186th in the league, compared to Delaware's 1-0 record, 105.0 points per game and 44.0 points allowed per game, 9th in the league. Wisconsin's single home game was a 75-68 win over Denver, while Delaware's single away game was a 105-44 win over Notre Dame MD; Wisconsin's last five games include three wins and two losses, and Delaware's last five include two wins and three losses. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 88-66 score for Wisconsin, with a 154.0 total, and gives Wisconsin a 42% chance to cover the home line of -25.0 and a 52% chance of the over on the 153.0 total; the probability of overtime is 1%. The game ends with Wisconsin's decisive 88-66 win.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin winWon
97.2%fair 1.03
Best odds1.02
Implied93.6%
Edge+3.6pp
Delaware winLost
2.8%fair 35.98
Best odds26.00
Implied6.4%
Edge-3.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#357
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-41
44-30
33-30
38-55
36-21
54-52
34-21
44-24
52-47
45-46
43-33
42-49
30-36
48-42
28-28
37-40
41-39
41-44
44-30
31-38
157.4Avg total
81.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.875.6157.4+6.270%
Last 5 (5)79.677.8157.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.485.6170.0-1.157%
vs Similar (11)78.077.7155.7+0.355%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.969.8151.7+12.283%
This opponent (Delaware) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DelawareUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
38-81
38
81
-43
H07/03
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#516
W
105-44
105
44
+61
H03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-43
38-36
29-30
39-36
35-25
41-42
41-29
38-50
20-31
46-47
25-25
36-36
25-50
57-40
33-33
50-47
22-40
16-41
55-16
50-28
152.6Avg total
76.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)105.044.0149.0+61.0100%
Season at home (1)105.044.0149.0+61.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.476.2152.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)75.675.0150.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)68.274.9143.1-6.736%
vs Similar (3)65.371.7137.0-6.30%
vs Weaker (1)65.057.0122.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
65.6%
@ 1.45+1.7pp
Under 147.5
34.4%
@ 2.62-1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
53.6%
@ 1.93+3.6pp
Under 152.5
46.4%
@ 1.88-3.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.93
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Under
Bet365
1.88
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
41.3%
@ 2.55+3.8pp
Under 157.5
58.7%
@ 1.50-3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Wisconsin total 85Actual: Wisconsin under 85
Over 85
64.2%
Under 85
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisconsin total 89 · main lineActual: Wisconsin under 89
Over 89
47.7%
@ 1.85-2.3pp
Under 89
52.3%
@ 1.85+2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Wisconsin total 93Actual: Wisconsin under 93
Over 93
31.6%
Under 93
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Delaware total 60Actual: Delaware over 60
Over 60
71.7%
Under 60
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Delaware total 64 · main linePush
Over 64
56.2%
@ 1.86+6.4pp
Under 64
43.8%
@ 1.85-6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Delaware total 68Actual: Delaware under 68
Over 68
39.7%
Under 68
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Wisconsin -27.5Actual: Delaware +27.5
WISC -27.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
DELA +27.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
WISC
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18
DELA
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
Spread Wisconsin -24.5 · main lineActual: Delaware +24.5
WISC -24.5
44.2%
@ 1.90-6.2pp
DELA +24.5
55.8%
@ 1.95+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
WISC
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.75
DELA
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Spread Wisconsin -21.5Actual: Delaware +21.5
WISC -21.5
54.9%
@ 1.55-4.7pp
DELA +21.5
45.1%
@ 2.30+4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
WISC
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
DELA
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.8+0.8
WisconsinDelaware
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#357
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
38.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)38.234.372.6+3.957%57%
Last 30 at home (16)41.833.275.1+8.681%75%
Last 30 away (14)34.135.669.7-1.429%36%
Last 10 (10)38.132.670.7+5.570%50%
Last 5 (5)37.233.270.4+4.060%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.739.677.3-1.929%71%
vs Similar (11)37.336.473.6+0.945%64%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.429.468.8+10.083%42%
This opponent (Delaware) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DelawareLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H07/03
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#516
W
55-16
55
16
+39
H03/11
NCAA
64.8Avg total
32.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)31.231.863.1-0.640%17%
Last 30 at home (17)32.832.665.4+0.241%24%
Last 30 away (13)29.230.860.1-1.638%8%
Last 10 (10)32.632.264.8+0.430%20%
Last 5 (5)32.032.864.8-0.820%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)30.533.263.6-2.736%20%
vs Similar (3)29.728.358.0+1.333%0%
vs Weaker (1)31.025.056.0+6.0100%0%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Wisconsin win
WISC win
no forecast
@ 1.06
DELA win
no forecast
@ 9.00
1st half Spread Wisconsin -15.5 · main lineActual: Delaware +15.5
WISC -15.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
DELA +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 72.5 · main lineActual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Wisconsin 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Wisconsin under 43
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Delaware 1st half total 29 · main lineActual: Delaware under 29
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 74Actual: Under 74
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Spread Wisconsin -16.5Actual: Delaware +16.5
WISC -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
DELA +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread Wisconsin -14.5Actual: Delaware +14.5
WISC -14.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
DELA +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.47
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Wisconsin -17.5Actual: Delaware +17.5
WISC -17.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
DELA +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Wisconsin -13.5Actual: Delaware +13.5
WISC -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
DELA +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread Wisconsin -12.5Actual: Delaware +12.5
WISC -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
DELA +12.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Spread Wisconsin -11.5Actual: Delaware +11.5
WISC -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
DELA +11.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Wisconsin (regulation)
WISC
no forecast
@ 1.07
Draw
no forecast
@ 32.00
DELA
no forecast
@ 8.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
WISC win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
DELA win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: WISC leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Wisconsin (regulation)96.7%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+7.6ppWon
Delaware over 58.576.0%1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.27		---+4.7ppWon
Wisconsin win97.2%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.6ppWon
Wisconsin under 98.584.5%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+3.1ppWon
Delaware over 50.593.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.9ppWon
Delaware over 56.581.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+2.9ppWon
Over 127.595.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.3ppWon
Delaware over 52.590.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+2.1ppWon
Wisconsin over 78.584.3%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+2.0ppLost
Wisconsin -4.594.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.6ppWon
Delaware over 54.586.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+1.5ppWon
Over 145.570.1%1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34		---+1.5ppLost
Delaware over 59.572.7%1.29
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.22		---+1.4ppWon
Over 132.591.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.3ppWon
Over 14571.6%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+1.2ppLost
Wisconsin over 75.590.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.1ppLost
Delaware over 51.592.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+0.9ppWon
Under 177.592.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+0.5ppWon
Over 144.572.2%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+0.3ppLost
Over 142.576.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+0.1ppLost
Delaware over 53.588.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----0.4ppWon
Over 137.584.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----0.8ppLost
Wisconsin over 77.586.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----0.9ppLost
Wisconsin -9.587.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----1.1ppLost
Under 172.587.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----1.9ppWon
Wisconsin over 79.581.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----2.0ppLost
Delaware over 55.584.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----2.4ppWon
Wisconsin -14.577.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----2.4ppLost
Delaware over 57.579.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----2.5ppWon
Wisconsin -16.571.4%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----3.3ppLost
Wisconsin over 81.576.0%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----3.5ppLost
Wisconsin -1770.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----3.9ppLost
Under 167.580.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----4.4ppWon
Delaware under 74.581.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----5.0ppWon
Under 162.570.2%1.23
Bet365
1.23		-----5.1ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wisconsin wins
0
Delaware wins
No previous meetings.
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HDenver75-68
19/03/26HHigh Point82-83
14/03/26AMichigan65-68
13/03/26AIllinois91-88 OT
12/03/26HWashington85-82
07/03/26APurdue97-93
05/03/26HMaryland78-45
28/02/26AWashington90-73
26/02/26AOregon71-85
22/02/26HIowa84-71
Delawarelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HNotre Dame MD105-44
07/03/26HLouisiana Tech38-81
06/03/26HSam Houston St.83-80
28/02/26AKennesaw State82-90
27/02/26AJacksonville State70-80 OT
21/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.66-78
19/02/26HWestern Kentucky87-88 OT
14/02/26AMissouri State76-67
13/02/26AFlorida International68-66
07/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.89-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over 152.50%0%-
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Delaware
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game105.0105.0-
Allowed / game44.044.0-
Point differential+61.0+61.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over 152.50%0%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois220100%116.057.5+58.5
2 Nebraska110100%106.064.0+42.0
3 Minnesota110100%85.050.0+35.0
4 Michigan State220100%93.560.0+33.5
5 USC110100%95.063.0+32.0
6 Maryland110100%96.067.0+29.0
7 Indiana220100%91.563.0+28.5
8 Rutgers110100%81.054.0+27.0
9 Northwestern110100%86.060.0+26.0
10 Oregon220100%92.570.0+22.5
11 Iowa110100%76.054.0+22.0
12 Penn State220100%97.075.0+22.0
13 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
14 Washington110100%90.076.0+14.0
15 UCLA110100%84.075.0+9.0
16 Wisconsin110100%75.068.0+7.0
17 Ohio State21150%86.079.5+6.5
18 Purdue21150%79.077.5+1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Delaware110100%105.044.0+61.0
2 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
3 Louisiana Tech220100%80.546.0+34.5
4 Kennesaw State220100%93.563.0+30.5
5 Western Kentucky220100%82.553.0+29.5
6 Missouri State110100%88.060.0+28.0
7 Florida International220100%93.066.5+26.5
8 New Mexico State110100%73.066.0+7.0
9 Jacksonville State21150%101.571.0+30.5
10 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
11 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
12 Sam Houston St.1010%74.096.0-22.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wisconsin353873
Delaware283664
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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