PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Wisconsin vs Delaware Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Projected 88-66
Projected total 154.0
Final 73-64
35-28 38-36
Position#139
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game68.0
Wisconsin 🏆
USA
Vs
97%
■ WISC 97%■ DELA 3%
Pythia win probability
Delaware
USA
Position#164
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game44.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Wisconsin faces Delaware on 6 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model rates Wisconsin the clear favourite, assigning it a 97% chance of victory, a reflection of their 1-0 record, 75.0 points per game and 68.0 points allowed per game, placing them 186th in the league, compared to Delaware's 1-0 record, 105.0 points per game and 44.0 points allowed per game, 9th in the league. Wisconsin's single home game was a 75-68 win over Denver, while Delaware's single away game was a 105-44 win over Notre Dame MD; Wisconsin's last five games include three wins and two losses, and Delaware's last five include two wins and three losses. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 88-66 score for Wisconsin, with a 154.0 total, and gives Wisconsin a 42% chance to cover the home line of -25.0 and a 52% chance of the over on the 153.0 total; the probability of overtime is 1%. The game ends with Wisconsin's decisive 88-66 win.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wisconsin winWon
97.2%fair 1.03
Best odds1.02
Implied93.6%
Edge+3.6pp
Delaware winLost
2.8%fair 35.98
Best odds26.00
Implied6.4%
Edge-3.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 05 Nov 07:14 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WisconsinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H22/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A26/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
78-45
78
45
+33
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
97-93
97
93
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#299
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-41
44-30
33-30
38-55
36-21
54-52
34-21
44-24
52-47
45-46
43-33
42-49
30-36
48-42
28-28
37-40
41-39
41-44
44-30
31-38
157.4Avg total
81.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
Season at home (1)75.068.0143.0+7.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.875.6157.4+6.270%
Last 5 (5)79.677.8157.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)84.485.6170.0-1.157%
vs Similar (11)78.077.7155.7+0.355%
vs Weaker (12)81.969.8151.7+12.283%
This opponent (Delaware) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DelawareUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
38-81
38
81
-43
H07/03
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#467
W
105-44
105
44
+61
H03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-43
38-36
29-30
39-36
35-25
41-42
41-29
38-50
20-31
46-47
25-25
36-36
25-50
57-40
33-33
50-47
22-40
16-41
55-16
50-28
152.6Avg total
76.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)105.044.0149.0+61.0100%
Season at home (1)105.044.0149.0+61.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.476.2152.6+0.250%
Last 5 (5)75.675.0150.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)68.274.9143.1-6.736%
vs Similar (3)65.371.7137.0-6.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)65.057.0122.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Under 147.5
Over 147.5
65.6%
@ 1.45+1.7pp
Under 147.5
34.4%
@ 2.62-1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Under 152.5
Over 152.5
53.6%
@ 1.93+3.6pp
Under 152.5
46.4%
@ 1.88-3.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.93
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Under
Bet365
1.88
Betano
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Under 157.5
Over 157.5
41.3%
@ 2.55+3.8pp
Under 157.5
58.7%
@ 1.50-3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Wisconsin total 85Actual: Wisconsin under 85
Over 85
64.2%
Under 85
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisconsin total 89 · main lineActual: Wisconsin under 89
Over 89
47.7%
@ 1.85-2.3pp
Under 89
52.3%
@ 1.85+2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
Wisconsin total 93Actual: Wisconsin under 93
Over 93
31.6%
Under 93
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Delaware total 60Actual: Delaware over 60
Over 60
71.7%
Under 60
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Delaware total 64 · main linePush
Over 64
56.2%
@ 1.86+6.4pp
Under 64
43.8%
@ 1.85-6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Delaware total 68Actual: Delaware under 68
Over 68
39.7%
Under 68
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Wisconsin -27.5Actual: Delaware +27.5
WISC -27.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
DELA +27.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
Best 5 market prices
WISC
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.18
DELA
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58
Spread Wisconsin -24.5 · main lineActual: Delaware +24.5
WISC -24.5
44.2%
@ 1.90-6.2pp
DELA +24.5
55.8%
@ 1.95+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
WISC
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.83
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.75
DELA
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Spread Wisconsin -21.5Actual: Delaware +21.5
WISC -21.5
54.9%
@ 1.55-4.7pp
DELA +21.5
45.1%
@ 2.30+4.7pp
Best 5 market prices
WISC
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
DELA
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.27

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +0.8+0.8
WisconsinDelaware
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WisconsinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A26/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A28/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H05/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H12/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A13/03
NCAA
Michigan
#6
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A14/03
NCAA
High Point
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/03
NCAA
Denver
#299
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H03/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
38.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)38.234.372.6+3.957%57%
Last 30 at home (16)41.833.275.1+8.681%75%
Last 30 away (14)34.135.669.7-1.429%36%
Last 10 (10)38.132.670.7+5.570%50%
Last 5 (5)37.233.270.4+4.060%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.739.677.3-1.929%71%
vs Similar (11)37.336.473.6+0.945%64%
vs Weaker (12)39.429.468.8+10.083%42%
This opponent (Delaware) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DelawareLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H07/03
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#467
W
55-16
55
16
+39
H03/11
NCAA
64.8Avg total
32.6Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)31.231.863.1-0.640%17%
Last 30 at home (17)32.832.665.4+0.241%24%
Last 30 away (13)29.230.860.1-1.638%8%
Last 10 (10)32.632.264.8+0.430%20%
Last 5 (5)32.032.864.8-0.820%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)30.533.263.6-2.736%20%
vs Similar (3)29.728.358.0+1.333%0%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)31.025.056.0+6.0100%0%
This opponent (Wisconsin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Wisconsin win
WISC win
no forecast
@ 1.06
DELA win
no forecast
@ 9.00
1st half Spread Wisconsin -15.5 · main lineActual: Delaware +15.5
WISC -15.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
DELA +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 72.5 · main lineActual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Wisconsin 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Wisconsin under 43
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Delaware 1st half total 29 · main lineActual: Delaware under 29
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 74Actual: Under 74
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Spread Wisconsin -16.5Actual: Delaware +16.5
WISC -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
DELA +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread Wisconsin -14.5Actual: Delaware +14.5
WISC -14.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
DELA +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 75.5Actual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.47
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Wisconsin -17.5Actual: Delaware +17.5
WISC -17.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
DELA +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Wisconsin -13.5Actual: Delaware +13.5
WISC -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
DELA +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.40
1st half Spread Wisconsin -12.5Actual: Delaware +12.5
WISC -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
DELA +12.5
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Spread Wisconsin -11.5Actual: Delaware +11.5
WISC -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
DELA +11.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Wisconsin (regulation)
WISC
no forecast
@ 1.07
Draw
no forecast
@ 32.00
DELA
no forecast
@ 8.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
WISC win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
DELA win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: WISC leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Wisconsin (regulation)96.7%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+7.6ppWon
Delaware over 58.576.0%1.29
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.27		---+4.7ppWon
Wisconsin win97.2%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.6ppWon
Wisconsin under 98.584.5%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+3.1ppWon
Delaware over 50.593.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+2.9ppWon
Delaware over 56.581.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+2.9ppWon
Over 127.595.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+2.3ppWon
Delaware over 52.590.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+2.1ppWon
Wisconsin over 78.584.3%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+2.0ppLost
Wisconsin -4.594.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+1.6ppWon
Delaware over 54.586.6%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+1.5ppWon
Over 145.570.1%1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34		---+1.5ppLost
Delaware over 59.572.7%1.29
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.22		---+1.4ppWon
Over 132.591.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.3ppWon
Over 14571.6%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+1.2ppLost
Wisconsin over 75.590.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.1ppLost
Delaware over 51.592.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+0.9ppWon
Under 177.592.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+0.5ppWon
Over 144.572.2%1.29
Bet365
1.29		----+0.3ppLost
Over 142.576.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+0.1ppLost
Delaware over 53.588.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----0.4ppWon
Over 137.584.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----0.8ppLost
Wisconsin over 77.586.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----0.9ppLost
Wisconsin -9.587.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----1.1ppLost
Under 172.587.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----1.9ppWon
Wisconsin over 79.581.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----2.0ppLost
Delaware over 55.584.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----2.4ppWon
Wisconsin -14.577.1%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----2.4ppLost
Delaware over 57.579.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----2.5ppWon
Wisconsin -16.571.4%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----3.3ppLost
Wisconsin over 81.576.0%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----3.5ppLost
Wisconsin -1770.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25		-----3.9ppLost
Under 167.580.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----4.4ppWon
Delaware under 74.581.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----5.0ppWon
Under 162.570.2%1.23
Bet365
1.23		-----5.1ppWon
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wisconsin wins
0
Delaware wins
No previous meetings.
Wisconsinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HDenver75-68
19/03/26HHigh Point82-83
14/03/26AMichigan65-68
13/03/26AIllinois91-88 OT
12/03/26HWashington85-82
07/03/26APurdue97-93
05/03/26HMaryland78-45
28/02/26AWashington90-73
26/02/26AOregon71-85
22/02/26HIowa84-71
Delawarelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HNotre Dame MD105-44
07/03/26HLouisiana Tech38-81
06/03/26HSam Houston St.83-80
28/02/26AKennesaw State82-90
27/02/26AJacksonville State70-80 OT
21/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.66-78
19/02/26HWestern Kentucky87-88 OT
14/02/26AMissouri State76-67
13/02/26AFlorida International68-66
07/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.89-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wisconsin
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+7.0+7.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over 152.50%0%-
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Delaware
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game105.0105.0-
Allowed / game44.044.0-
Point differential+61.0+61.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over 152.50%0%-
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illinois220100%116.057.5+58.5
2 Nebraska110100%106.064.0+42.0
3 Minnesota110100%85.050.0+35.0
4 Michigan State220100%93.560.0+33.5
5 USC110100%95.063.0+32.0
6 Maryland110100%96.067.0+29.0
7 Indiana220100%91.563.0+28.5
8 Rutgers110100%81.054.0+27.0
9 Northwestern110100%86.060.0+26.0
10 Oregon220100%92.570.0+22.5
11 Iowa110100%76.054.0+22.0
12 Penn State220100%97.075.0+22.0
13 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
14 Washington110100%90.076.0+14.0
15 UCLA110100%84.075.0+9.0
16 Wisconsin110100%75.068.0+7.0
17 Ohio State21150%86.079.5+6.5
18 Purdue21150%79.077.5+1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Delaware110100%105.044.0+61.0
2 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
3 Louisiana Tech220100%80.546.0+34.5
4 Kennesaw State220100%93.563.0+30.5
5 Western Kentucky220100%82.553.0+29.5
6 Missouri State110100%88.060.0+28.0
7 Florida International220100%93.066.5+26.5
8 New Mexico State110100%73.066.0+7.0
9 Jacksonville State21150%101.571.0+30.5
10 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
11 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
12 Sam Houston St.1010%74.096.0-22.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wisconsin353873
Delaware283664
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.