PythiaBasketballBETA
Pro ARound 10· Halle der Freundschaft
Wolmirstedt hosts Paderborn in the Pro A on 17 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Wolmirstedt as the favourite with a 77% chance of victory, reflecting their 7-1 record, 77.9 points scored and 72.8 allowed per game, and third place in the league. Wolmirstedt have gone 3-0 at home, averaging 81.7 points and conceding 72.7, and are unbeaten in their last five games, with wins over Nurnberger 70-68, ETB Miners 103-91, and Bochum 76-73. Paderborn, meanwhile, sit 11th with a 3-5 record, 82.1 points scored and 82.5 allowed per game, and have struggled on the road, losing all three away games and averaging 73.7 points while conceding 83.0. Their last five games include two wins, one over Bayreuth 100-98, and a loss to Crailsheim Merlins 58-65. Historically the teams are even, 2-2, with Paderborn's most recent win 71-69 on 4 April 2026. The Pythia projection puts the score at 84-75 for Wolmirstedt, a total of 158.8 points, and assigns a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 77.9 | 72.8 | 150.6 | +5.1 | 88% |
| Season at home (3) | 81.7 | 72.7 | 154.3 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Season away (5) | 75.6 | 72.8 | 148.4 | +2.8 | 80% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.7 | 74.6 | 152.3 | +3.1 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.6 | 74.4 | 155.0 | +6.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 79.6 | 87.9 | 167.5 | -8.3 | 25% |
| vs Similar (11) | 81.6 | 78.3 | 159.9 | +3.4 | 64% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 82.7 | 74.0 | 156.7 | +8.7 | 86% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 82.1 | 82.5 | 164.6 | -0.4 | 38% |
| Season at home (5) | 87.2 | 82.2 | 169.4 | +5.0 | 60% |
| Season away (3) | 73.7 | 83.0 | 156.7 | -9.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.1 | 85.4 | 165.5 | -5.3 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.8 | 84.4 | 166.2 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 79.9 | 90.1 | 169.9 | -10.2 | 25% |
| vs Similar (10) | 81.7 | 85.1 | 166.8 | -3.4 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 87.5 | 80.8 | 168.2 | +6.8 | 75% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.0 | 40.4 | 81.4 | +0.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 42.3 | 41.1 | 83.4 | +1.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 39.6 | 39.6 | 79.1 | +0.0 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.6 | 39.0 | 78.6 | +0.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 40.0 | 82.0 | +2.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 38.8 | 44.4 | 83.2 | -5.6 | 33% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 42.1 | 38.6 | 80.7 | +3.5 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 43.1 | 36.1 | 79.3 | +7.0 | 71% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.1 | 43.3 | 83.4 | -3.2 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.2 | 44.1 | 84.2 | -3.9 | 38% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.0 | 42.5 | 82.5 | -2.5 | 57% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.4 | 42.5 | 81.9 | -3.1 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.6 | 43.0 | 83.6 | -2.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 39.5 | 43.7 | 83.2 | -4.2 | 44% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 41.4 | 43.2 | 84.6 | -1.8 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (4) | 39.2 | 42.2 | 81.5 | -3.0 | 50% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 | Wolmirstedt v Paderborn | 69-71 |
| 12/12/25 | Paderborn v Wolmirstedt | 74-87 |
| 02/03/25 | Wolmirstedt v Paderborn | 102-65 |
| 30/11/24 | Paderborn v Wolmirstedt | 96-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Nurnberger | 70-68 |
| 30/10/26 | H | ETB Miners | 103-91 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Bochum | 76-73 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Koblenz | 69-66 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Heidelberg | 85-74 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Gottingen | 89-62 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Giessen | 73-61 |
| 26/09/26 | A | Kirchheim | 58-87 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Nurnberger | 74-85 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Artland | 80-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Bayreuth | 100-98 OT |
| 31/10/26 | A | Crailsheim Merlins | 58-65 |
| 24/10/26 | H | OrangeAcademy | 83-71 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Kirchheim | 82-100 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Koblenz | 86-88 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Bremerhaven | 81-84 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Koln | 90-73 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Bochum | 77-81 |
| 02/05/26 | A | PS Karlsruhe | 74-89 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Tubingen | 70-105 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 88% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LWWWW | 80% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Win % | 88% | 100% | 80% |
| Points / game | 77.9 | 81.7 | 75.6 |
| Allowed / game | 72.8 | 72.7 | 72.8 |
| Point differential | +5.1 | +9.0 | +2.8 |
| Avg total | 150.6 | 154.3 | 148.4 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 67% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (3) | 100% (1) | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 38% |
| Home | LWLWW | 60% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Win % | 38% | 60% | 0% |
| Points / game | 82.1 | 87.2 | 73.7 |
| Allowed / game | 82.5 | 82.2 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | -0.4 | +5.0 | -9.3 |
| Avg total | 164.6 | 169.4 | 156.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (4) | 33% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 12% | 20% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kirchheim | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 93.0 | 76.1 | +16.9 |
| 2 |  Crailsheim Merlins | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 80.8 | 68.0 | +12.8 |
| 3 | Wolmirstedt | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 77.9 | 72.8 | +5.1 |
| 4 |  Heidelberg | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 81.6 | 70.8 | +10.9 |
| 5 |  Bremerhaven | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 83.1 | 83.1 | +0.0 |
| 6 |  Koln | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 84.4 | 89.3 | -4.9 |
| 7 |  Giessen | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 79.9 | 78.1 | +1.8 |
| 8 |  Tubingen | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.9 | +0.8 |
| 9 |  Nurnberger | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 78.6 | 82.6 | -4.0 |
| 10 |  Artland | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 85.9 | 85.0 | +0.9 |
| 11 | Paderborn | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.1 | 82.5 | -0.4 |
| 12 |  Gottingen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 82.2 | 83.0 | -0.8 |
| 13 |  Koblenz | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 83.1 | 86.5 | -3.4 |
| 14 |  OrangeAcademy | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.9 | 86.2 | -5.4 |
| 15 |  PS Karlsruhe | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 76.9 | 84.2 | -7.4 |
| 16 |  Bochum | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 79.5 | 85.4 | -5.9 |
| 17 |  ETB Miners | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 86.4 | 93.0 | -6.6 |
| 18 |  Bayreuth | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 89.1 | 98.4 | -9.2 |
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