Worcester Wolves vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 74-81

17-17 18-18 31-28 8-18

Position#4

Record5-8

FormLLLWW

Points / game80.8

Allowed / game83.6

Worcester Wolves

Bristol Flyers 🏆

Position#7

Record2-11

FormLLLLW

Points / game68.6

Allowed / game81.4

SLB

Other2016-17

Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bristol Flyers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester Wolves United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

90-82

H21/10

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

79-102

102

-23

A23/10

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

67-87

-20

H28/10

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

91-84

A30/10

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

75-94

-19

H06/11

SLB Cup

Glasgow Rocks

77-82

-5

A13/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

88-89

-1

H18/11

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

81-94

-13

A20/11

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

91-77

+14

A25/11

SLB

Bristol Flyers

88-56

+32

H02/12

SLB

16-20

22-21

21-13

31-28

32-30

17-25

14-25

16-22

12-21

18-14

12-29

25-23

31-16

25-21

22-27

13-20

–

18-12

23-27

20-24

16-19

22-24

19-17

19-23

28-25

17-20

28-24

16-22

20-28

27-19

24-20

20-19

30-12

24-14

19-16

15-14

167.4Avg total

82.7Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.8	83.6	164.5	-2.8	38%
Season at home (7)	80.9	81.6	162.4	-0.7	43%
Season away (6)	80.8	86.0	166.8	-5.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	84.7	167.4	-2.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	79.6	164.6	+5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	70.5	78.5	149.0	-8.0	0%
vs Similar (13)	75.6	85.5	161.1	-9.8	15%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	86.0	81.8	167.8	+4.2	75%

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bristol Flyers United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leicester Riders

70-80

-10

H21/10

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

61-84

-23

A23/10

SLB

Leicester Riders

60-85

-25

H05/11

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

62-81

-19

A11/11

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

67-73

-6

H18/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

80-82 OT

-2

A20/11

SLB

Leicester Riders

65-79

-14

A25/11

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

67-102

102

-35

H26/11

SLB

Worcester Wolves

56-88

-32

A02/12

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

96-79

+17

H09/12

SLB

15-20

22-15

14-30

19-15

19-25

16-16

11-18

15-25

11-23

17-16

18-27

14-19

15-16

15-22

18-29

14-14

20-14

10-17

13-18

24-24

12-16

14-19

23-24

23-13

20-9

12-21

25-18

8-31

29-33

12-21

17-23

9-25

12-30

14-24

16-19

14-15

27-20

22-22

29-16

18-21

151.7Avg total

68.4Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	68.6	81.4	150.0	-12.8	15%
Season at home (7)	71.7	79.7	151.4	-8.0	29%
Season away (6)	65.0	83.3	148.3	-18.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	68.4	83.3	151.7	-14.9	10%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	86.0	158.8	-13.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	66.5	82.7	149.2	-16.2	15%
vs Similar (7)	72.4	73.1	145.6	-0.7	29%
vs Weaker (2)	88.0	80.5	168.5	+7.5	50%

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Worcester WolvesBristol Flyers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	21.9	43.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.8	19.3	42.1	+3.4	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.4	40.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	23.8	40.5	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.5	21.9	43.5	-0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.9	38.1	-3.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.4	22.6	38.9	-6.2	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.6	16.6	36.1	+3.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	18.0	37.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.8	42.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.2	20.3	42.6	+1.9	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	17.5	41.2	+6.2	75%	-
vs Similar (13)	18.9	22.7	41.6	-3.8	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.9	20.3	41.2	+0.6	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	20.1	36.5	-3.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	20.6	36.9	-4.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.4	19.3	34.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	21.4	36.2	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.9	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.9	18.4	34.3	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	20.5	38.5	-2.5	0%	-

Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

38-41

-3

H21/10

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

49-55

-6

A23/10

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

30-35

-5

H28/10

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

56-37

+19

A30/10

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

41-39

A13/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

41-41

H18/11

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

45-44

A20/11

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

51-39

+12

A25/11

SLB

Bristol Flyers

54-26

+28

H02/12

SLB

84.7Avg total

45.0Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.9	42.1	84.0	-0.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	41.4	82.4	-0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	42.7	85.5	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (9)	45.0	39.7	84.7	+5.3	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	37.8	84.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.5	41.2	81.8	-0.8	75%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.5	44.6	85.1	-4.2	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	43.9	39.6	83.5	+4.3	50%	-

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Leicester Riders

37-35

H21/10

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

35-41

-6

A23/10

SLB

Leicester Riders

28-39

-11

H05/11

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

30-38

-8

A11/11

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

30-31

-1

H18/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

26-35

-9

A20/11

SLB

Leicester Riders

32-30

A25/11

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

41-54

-13

H26/11

SLB

Worcester Wolves

26-54

-28

A02/12

SLB

Leeds Force

#11

49-42

H09/12

SLB

73.3Avg total

33.4Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.6	41.0	74.6	-7.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.4	40.0	74.4	-5.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.7	42.1	74.9	-9.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.4	39.9	73.3	-6.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	43.0	77.8	-8.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	33.1	43.1	76.2	-10.0	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.4	35.0	70.4	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.3	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	17.2	32.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.3	20.3	39.6	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	42%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	19.2	38.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	22.2	40.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.7	17.4	36.1	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	20.6	36.3	-4.9	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.8	20.0	34.8	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	15.8	20.5	36.4	-4.7	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.5	20.4	41.9	+1.1	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	19.6	35.8	-3.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.6	20.1	34.6	-5.5	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	20.2	36.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	21.0	35.4	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.6	20.1	35.7	-4.5	15%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.1	19.1	36.3	-2.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.7	40.4	77.0	-3.7	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	39.8	79.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.1	40.9	75.1	-6.8	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	38.6	44.0	82.6	-5.4	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	41.8	80.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	30.0	37.2	67.2	-7.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	35.2	40.8	76.0	-5.7	23%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	40.5	40.9	81.4	-0.4	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	38.5	73.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	38.4	75.6	-1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.1	38.6	71.7	-5.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	42.4	76.6	-8.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	41.0	77.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	33.4	39.5	72.9	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.9	36.6	72.4	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.5	37.0	83.5	+9.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Worcester Wolves wins

Bristol Flyers wins

Date	Game	Score
02/12/16	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	88-56
09/04/16	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	77-82
09/01/16	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	76-83 OT
28/11/15	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	70-83
25/09/15	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	78-76
06/02/15	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	74-48
17/01/15	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	68-69
28/11/14	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	79-65
31/10/14	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	82-90

Worcester Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/12/16	H	Bristol Flyers	88-56
25/11/16	A	Leeds Force	91-77
20/11/16	A	Plymouth Raiders	81-94
18/11/16	H	Manchester Giants	88-89
13/11/16	A	Glasgow Rocks	77-82
06/11/16	H	Surrey Scorchers	75-94
30/10/16	A	Manchester Giants	91-84
28/10/16	H	Newcastle Eagles	67-87
23/10/16	A	Cheshire Phoenix	79-102
21/10/16	H	Surrey Scorchers	90-82

Bristol Flyerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/16	H	Leeds Force	96-79
02/12/16	A	Worcester Wolves	56-88
26/11/16	H	Newcastle Eagles	67-102
25/11/16	A	Leicester Riders	65-79
20/11/16	A	Manchester Giants	80-82 OT
18/11/16	H	Surrey Scorchers	67-73
11/11/16	A	Newcastle Eagles	62-81
05/11/16	H	Leicester Riders	60-85
23/10/16	A	Glasgow Rocks	61-84
21/10/16	H	Leicester Riders	70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves

SLB 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	38%
Home	LWLLW	43%
Away	LWLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	38%	43%	33%
Points / game	80.8	80.9	80.8
Allowed / game	83.6	81.6	86.0
Point differential	-2.8	-0.7	-5.2
Avg total	164.5	162.4	166.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	14%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

Bristol Flyers

SLB 2016-17

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	15%
Home	LLLLW	29%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	15%	29%	0%
Points / game	68.6	71.7	65.0
Allowed / game	81.4	79.7	83.3
Point differential	-12.8	-8.0	-18.3
Avg total	150.0	151.4	148.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	14%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	50% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Newcastle Eagles	15	13	2	87%	92.9	77.6	+15.3
2	Leicester Riders	12	10	2	83%	86.8	70.2	+16.7
3	Glasgow Rocks	11	9	2	82%	83.4	71.6	+11.7
4	London Lions	10	8	2	80%	87.4	74.7	+12.7
5	Plymouth Raiders	12	7	5	58%	91.5	82.6	+8.9
6	Sheffield Sharks	13	7	6	54%	74.2	79.4	-5.2
7	Worcester Wolves	13	5	8	38%	80.8	83.6	-2.8
8	Surrey Scorchers	16	5	11	31%	74.1	82.2	-8.1
9	Cheshire Phoenix	11	3	8	27%	83.9	87.4	-3.5
10	Leeds Force	12	3	9	25%	73.8	86.5	-12.8
11	Manchester Giants	12	3	9	25%	76.2	93.1	-16.8
12	Bristol Flyers	13	2	11	15%	68.6	81.4	-12.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Worcester Wolves	17	18	31	8	74
Bristol Flyers	17	18	28	18	81

← all games of the day

Worcester Wolves vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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