Worcester Wolves vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 88-85 (OT)

28-15 17-18 13-18 12-19 18-15

Position#4

Record6-4

FormWLWLW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game78.1

Worcester Wolves 🏆

Bristol Flyers

Position#8

Record4-5

FormWWWLL

Points / game79.6

Allowed / game82.9

SLB

Other2019-20

Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bristol Flyers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester Wolves United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

93-75

+18

H06/12

SLB

Bristol Flyers

66-81

-15

A14/12

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

69-76

-7

H20/12

SLB

London Lions

80-78

H27/12

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

79-76

A29/12

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

79-65

+14

H10/01

SLB

Leicester Riders

87-91

-4

A17/01

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

77-72

H31/01

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

69-76

-7

A07/02

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

#11

116-91

116

+25

H14/02

SLB

19-9

28-15

27-25

19-26

23-24

20-21

12-11

11-25

15-21

23-16

16-16

15-23

20-20

18-20

17-22

25-16

16-20

19-16

25-24

25-14

17-15

18-14

19-22

15-31

26-22

21-17

25-21

17-19

22-25

23-16

15-12

14-23

14-18

16-21

25-14

22-20

32-26

34-21

28-24

159.6Avg total

81.5Scored

78.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	81.5	78.1	159.6	+3.4	60%
Season at home (6)	85.7	76.2	161.8	+9.5	83%
Season away (4)	75.2	81.0	156.2	-5.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	78.1	159.6	+3.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	79.0	164.6	+6.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	82.8	92.0	174.8	-9.2	20%
vs Similar (5)	95.8	91.4	187.2	+4.4	80%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	84.6	79.8	164.4	+4.8	60%

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bristol Flyers United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

#11

76-90

-14

A28/04

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

71-85

-14

H06/12

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

87-93

-6

A07/12

SLB

Worcester Wolves

81-66

+15

H14/12

SLB

London Lions

88-99

-11

A18/12

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

#11

75-69

A28/12

SLB

London City Royals

#10

95-71

+24

H17/01

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

98-94 OT

H01/02

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

55-94

-39

A07/02

SLB

London Lions

66-75

-9

H14/02

SLB

22-22

26-21

14-19

14-28

16-28

20-12

12-27

23-18

21-20

28-18

15-25

23-30

24-23

21-20

11-12

25-11

30-24

25-24

22-20

11-31

25-13

17-20

17-22

16-14

21-18

19-26

30-18

25-9

22-15

22-24

12-20

19-16

11-27

15-24

15-19

14-24

21-27

21-15

13-21

11-12

162.8Avg total

79.2Scored

83.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	79.6	82.9	162.4	-3.3	44%
Season at home (5)	82.2	78.2	160.4	+4.0	60%
Season away (4)	76.2	88.8	165.0	-12.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	83.6	162.8	-4.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	80.6	158.4	-2.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	73.7	82.4	156.1	-8.8	22%
vs Similar (14)	81.1	83.7	164.8	-2.6	36%
vs Weaker (7)	84.0	81.9	165.9	+2.1	57%

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Worcester WolvesBristol Flyers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	22.3	40.4	-4.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	20.7	39.2	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	24.1	41.8	-6.4	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.3	23.6	40.9	-6.2	10%	-
vs Similar (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.8	39.3	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.8	38.5	-1.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.9	19.4	38.3	-0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	21.3	44.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.6	20.5	45.1	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	22.1	43.1	-1.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.2	43.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	22.8	21.8	44.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.2	41.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.1	41.1	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	21.1	41.2	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.0	22.9	42.9	-2.9	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.3	18.4	38.6	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (7)	23.6	20.3	43.9	+3.3	57%	-

Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

47-24

+23

H06/12

SLB

Bristol Flyers

43-45

-2

A14/12

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

38-37

H20/12

SLB

London Lions

38-40

-2

H27/12

SLB

Manchester Giants

#12

35-36

-1

A29/12

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

42-29

+13

H10/01

SLB

Leicester Riders

41-53

-12

A17/01

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

39-44

-5

H31/01

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

28-41

-13

A07/02

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

#11

54-46

H14/02

SLB

80.0Avg total

40.5Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	43.5	84.6	-2.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.1	41.2	84.3	+1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	46.2	84.9	-7.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	39.5	80.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	42.6	83.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	40.0	45.4	85.4	-5.3	35%	-
vs Similar (5)	44.6	41.4	86.0	+3.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	41.4	38.4	79.8	+3.0	40%	-

This opponent (Bristol Flyers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bristol FlyersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Surrey Scorchers

#11

48-43

A28/04

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

36-40

-4

H06/12

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

49-38

+11

A07/12

SLB

Worcester Wolves

45-43

H14/12

SLB

London Lions

55-48

A18/12

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

#11

42-33

A28/12

SLB

London City Royals

#10

40-44

-4

H17/01

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

44-39

H01/02

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

26-51

-25

A07/02

SLB

London Lions

42-42

H14/02

SLB

84.8Avg total

42.7Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	39.9	80.5	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	38.9	81.4	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	40.8	79.7	-1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	42.1	84.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	41.8	80.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.0	44.1	83.1	-5.1	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.2	37.7	76.9	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (7)	45.1	39.0	84.1	+6.1	71%	-

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.5	41.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	23.2	42.9	-3.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.8	23.1	42.9	-3.3	25%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-1.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.5	21.4	38.9	-3.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	20.3	36.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.7	18.8	34.4	-3.1	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.0	22.1	41.1	-3.1	14%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	23.0	44.1	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	21.7	22.3	44.0	-0.6	45%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	17.1	35.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	23.4	43.6	-3.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	56%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.7	20.9	40.6	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.9	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	43.6	85.0	-2.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.0	41.3	83.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.8	46.2	87.0	-5.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	38.6	79.6	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	36.4	81.2	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	41.5	45.4	86.9	-3.9	40%	-
vs Similar (5)	39.4	38.6	78.0	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	43.2	41.4	84.6	+1.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	40.6	77.2	-3.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.5	35.6	71.1	-0.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.6	44.9	82.5	-7.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	39.6	73.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	35.0	69.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.7	38.3	73.0	-3.7	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.8	40.9	77.6	-4.1	14%	-
vs Weaker (7)	38.9	42.9	81.7	-4.0	14%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Worcester Wolves wins

Bristol Flyers wins

Date	Game	Score
14/12/19	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	81-66
19/04/19	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	88-92
24/11/18	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	82-79
05/10/18	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	77-80
21/04/18	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	80-78
17/02/18	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	82-74
12/01/18	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	91-76
14/01/17	Bristol Flyers v Worcester Wolves	81-73
16/12/16	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	74-81
02/12/16	Worcester Wolves v Bristol Flyers	88-56

Worcester Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/20	H	Plymouth Raiders	116-91
07/02/20	A	Sheffield Sharks	69-76
31/01/20	H	Newcastle Eagles	77-72
17/01/20	A	Leicester Riders	87-91
10/01/20	H	Cheshire Phoenix	79-65
29/12/19	A	Manchester Giants	79-76
27/12/19	H	London Lions	80-78
20/12/19	H	Glasgow Rocks	69-76
14/12/19	A	Bristol Flyers	66-81
06/12/19	H	Surrey Scorchers	93-75

Bristol Flyerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/02/20	H	London Lions	66-75
07/02/20	A	Glasgow Rocks	55-94
01/02/20	H	Cheshire Phoenix	98-94 OT
17/01/20	H	London City Royals	95-71
28/12/19	A	Plymouth Raiders	75-69
18/12/19	A	London Lions	88-99
14/12/19	H	Worcester Wolves	81-66
07/12/19	A	Surrey Scorchers	87-93
06/12/19	H	Sheffield Sharks	71-85
28/04/19	A	Surrey Scorchers	76-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves

SLB 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	60%
Home	LWWWW	83%
Away	LWLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	60%	83%	25%
Points / game	81.5	85.7	75.2
Allowed / game	78.1	76.2	81.0
Point differential	+3.4	+9.5	-5.8
Avg total	159.6	161.8	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bristol Flyers

SLB 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	44%
Home	LWWWL	60%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	44%	60%	25%
Points / game	79.6	82.2	76.2
Allowed / game	82.9	78.2	88.8
Point differential	-3.3	+4.0	-12.5
Avg total	162.4	160.4	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	11%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Glasgow Rocks	13	10	3	77%	79.2	65.4	+13.8
2	London Lions	13	10	3	77%	91.5	83.2	+8.3
3	Leicester Riders	8	6	2	75%	90.2	80.1	+10.1
4	Worcester Wolves	10	6	4	60%	81.5	78.1	+3.4
5	Newcastle Eagles	10	6	4	60%	91.1	87.9	+3.2
6	Sheffield Sharks	9	5	4	56%	83.4	82.0	+1.4
7	Cheshire Phoenix	11	5	6	45%	82.1	81.6	+0.5
8	Bristol Flyers	9	4	5	44%	79.6	82.9	-3.3
9	Surrey Scorchers	12	4	8	33%	88.7	96.2	-7.5
10	London City Royals	4	1	3	25%	64.5	77.2	-12.8
11	Plymouth Raiders	11	2	9	18%	85.1	93.6	-8.5
12	Manchester Giants	8	0	8	0%	74.0	97.4	-23.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Worcester Wolves	28	17	13	12	18	88
Bristol Flyers	15	18	18	19	15	85

← all games of the day

Worcester Wolves vs Bristol Flyers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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