Worcester Wolves vs Surrey Scorchers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 91-97 (OT)

23-17 15-28 23-21 22-17 8-14

Position#4

Record10-8

FormWWWLW

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game75.6

Worcester Wolves

Surrey Scorchers 🏆

Position#3

Record13-5

FormWWWLL

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game74.7

SLB

Other2012-13

Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Surrey Scorchers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester Wolves United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Glasgow Rocks

79-85

-6

A04/11

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

97-84

+13

H10/11

SLB

London Lions

76-94

-18

A23/11

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

71-68

H24/11

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

65-87

-22

A02/12

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

88-73

+15

H08/12

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

83-70

+13

H22/12

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

#12

90-77

+13

H28/12

SLB Trophy

Leicester Riders

82-89

-7

A05/01

SLB

Durham Wildcats

#11

98-91

A20/01

SLB

12-23

16-13

19-23

32-26

20-14

22-33

25-19

30-18

33-14

13-19

17-27

13-34

9-16

33-18

14-19

15-15

18-10

18-23

19-23

10-31

14-17

29-19

16-23

29-14

18-15

28-16

15-19

22-20

19-17

17-17

20-22

34-21

20-28

17-22

20-13

25-26

20-24

21-24

22-18

35-25

164.7Avg total

82.9Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	81.9	75.6	157.5	+6.3	56%
Season at home (8)	85.9	71.4	157.2	+14.5	88%
Season away (10)	78.7	79.0	157.7	-0.3	30%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	81.8	164.7	+1.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	80.0	168.2	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	79.1	81.8	160.9	-2.7	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	83.5	74.1	157.6	+9.4	67%

This opponent (Surrey Scorchers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Surrey Scorchers United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mersey Tigers

#12

74-54

+20

A23/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

83-71

+12

H01/12

SLB

Durham Wildcats

#11

91-74

+17

A09/12

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

80-89

-9

A14/12

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

84-82

H23/12

SLB

London Lions

96-73

+23

H01/01

SLB

Durham Wildcats

#11

84-76

H05/01

SLB

Reading

#13

86-68

+18

A06/01

SLB Trophy

Manchester Giants

68-85

-17

A18/01

SLB

Leicester Riders

58-88

-30

A20/01

SLB

24-21

18-9

18-17

14-7

23-12

17-24

24-18

19-17

14-21

24-21

28-16

25-16

21-26

18-19

21-19

20-25

27-23

17-26

18-16

22-17

21-17

24-19

27-13

24-24

20-19

17-16

27-20

20-21

36-20

21-19

18-16

11-13

16-25

20-17

14-20

18-23

15-20

18-21

15-23

10-24

156.4Avg total

80.4Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	82.3	74.7	157.1	+7.6	72%
Season at home (10)	84.4	71.3	155.7	+13.1	90%
Season away (8)	79.8	79.0	158.8	+0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	76.0	156.4	+4.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	78.0	156.4	+0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	75.0	81.7	156.7	-6.7	40%
vs Similar (7)	82.0	76.0	158.0	+6.0	71%
vs Weaker (11)	86.3	73.4	159.6	+12.9	64%

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Worcester WolvesSurrey Scorchers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.1	19.2	38.4	-0.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.4	15.9	35.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	16.6	22.5	39.1	-5.9	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.8	16.7	37.4	+4.1	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	20.3	40.6	-0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	19.1	38.9	+0.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.5	22.3	40.8	-3.8	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	39%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.2	42%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.6	42.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.0	31%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.4	20.4	39.9	-1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	60%	-

Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Glasgow Rocks

28-36

-8

A04/11

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

#10

42-47

-5

H10/11

SLB

London Lions

46-33

+13

A23/11

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

42-34

H24/11

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

36-33

A02/12

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

43-36

H08/12

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

46-31

+15

H22/12

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

#12

36-34

H28/12

SLB Trophy

Leicester Riders

37-50

-13

A05/01

SLB

Durham Wildcats

#11

41-48

-7

A20/01

SLB

77.9Avg total

39.7Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.1	39.2	79.3	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.9	36.2	78.2	+5.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	41.4	80.2	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	38.2	77.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	39.8	80.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	38.4	41.8	80.2	-3.4	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.6	36.5	78.1	+5.1	50%	-

This opponent (Surrey Scorchers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Surrey ScorchersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mersey Tigers

#12

42-30

+12

A23/11

SLB

Manchester Giants

40-36

H01/12

SLB

Durham Wildcats

#11

38-42

-4

A09/12

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

39-45

-6

A14/12

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

44-49

-5

H23/12

SLB

London Lions

45-36

H01/01

SLB

Durham Wildcats

#11

37-35

H05/01

SLB

Reading

#13

57-39

+18

A06/01

SLB Trophy

Manchester Giants

36-42

-6

A18/01

SLB

Leicester Riders

33-41

-8

A20/01

SLB

80.6Avg total

41.1Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.8	39.9	79.7	-0.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	37.8	76.9	+1.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	41.8	82.3	-1.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	39.5	80.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	38.6	80.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	37.0	42.2	79.2	-5.2	30%	-
vs Similar (7)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	40.4	39.1	79.5	+1.3	50%	-

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.1	18.5	37.7	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	17.5	37.7	+2.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.3	37.7	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	66%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	18.2	40.3	+3.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.9	38.9	+1.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.1	19.8	38.9	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.7	18.6	39.3	+2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.1	18.4	41.5	+4.7	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.4	17.5	40.9	+5.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	21.7	44.2	+0.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	23.0	47.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.0	21.2	50.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.8	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	18.4	38.9	+2.0	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	21.0	37.6	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	60%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.6	18.4	41.0	+4.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	42.1	38.4	80.5	+3.6	68%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.6	35.0	78.6	+8.6	83%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	41.0	81.9	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	43.6	86.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	40.2	87.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	40.7	40.0	80.7	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.9	36.8	78.6	+5.1	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.4	37.0	78.4	+4.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.1	36.1	80.2	+7.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	37.9	76.8	+1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	36.5	75.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	39.4	76.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	38.0	39.5	77.5	-1.5	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	43.3	37.0	80.3	+6.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.9	37.1	81.0	+6.8	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Worcester Wolves wins

Surrey Scorchers wins

Date	Game	Score
07/10/12	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	71-69
07/04/12	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	85-77
04/03/12	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	78-98
04/12/11	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	93-98
29/10/11	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	88-77
23/02/11	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	102-83
22/01/11	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	87-75
04/12/10	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	111-95

Worcester Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/13	A	Durham Wildcats	98-91
05/01/13	A	Leicester Riders	82-89
28/12/12	H	Plymouth Raiders	90-77
22/12/12	H	Glasgow Rocks	83-70
08/12/12	H	Newcastle Eagles	88-73
02/12/12	A	Plymouth Raiders	65-87
24/11/12	H	Sheffield Sharks	71-68
23/11/12	A	London Lions	76-94
10/11/12	H	Cheshire Phoenix	97-84
04/11/12	A	Glasgow Rocks	79-85

Surrey Scorcherslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/13	A	Leicester Riders	58-88
18/01/13	A	Manchester Giants	68-85
06/01/13	A	Reading	86-68
05/01/13	H	Durham Wildcats	84-76
01/01/13	H	London Lions	96-73
23/12/12	H	Sheffield Sharks	84-82
14/12/12	A	Newcastle Eagles	80-89
09/12/12	A	Durham Wildcats	91-74
01/12/12	H	Manchester Giants	83-71
23/11/12	A	Mersey Tigers	74-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves

SLB 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	56%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LLLLW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	56%	88%	30%
Points / game	81.9	85.9	78.7
Allowed / game	75.6	71.4	79.0
Point differential	+6.3	+14.5	-0.3
Avg total	157.5	157.2	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	75%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Surrey Scorchers

SLB 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	72%
Home	LWWWW	90%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	72%	90%	50%
Points / game	82.3	84.4	79.8
Allowed / game	74.7	71.3	79.0
Point differential	+7.6	+13.1	+0.8
Avg total	157.1	155.7	158.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	40%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Newcastle Eagles	17	15	2	88%	88.2	75.8	+12.4
2	Leicester Riders	17	15	2	88%	81.1	70.0	+11.1
3	Surrey Scorchers	18	13	5	72%	82.3	74.7	+7.6
4	Plymouth Raiders	17	12	5	71%	94.9	82.5	+12.4
5	Glasgow Rocks	19	11	8	58%	83.5	81.4	+2.2
6	Worcester Wolves	18	10	8	56%	81.9	75.6	+6.3
7	Cheshire Phoenix	19	8	11	42%	81.8	84.6	-2.8
8	Sheffield Sharks	19	7	12	37%	77.9	78.6	-0.7
9	London Lions	20	7	13	35%	84.0	86.2	-2.3
10	Manchester Giants	21	7	14	33%	82.1	84.4	-2.3
11	Durham Wildcats	18	5	13	28%	77.9	88.7	-10.8
12	Mersey Tigers	17	0	17	0%	60.7	92.7	-32.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Worcester Wolves	23	15	23	22	8	91
Surrey Scorchers	17	28	21	17	14	97

← all games of the day

Worcester Wolves vs Surrey Scorchers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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