Worcester Wolves vs Surrey Scorchers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 152-150 (OT)

26-25 24-25 18-20 25-23 59-57

Position#12

Record4-22

FormLLLWL

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game89.0

Worcester Wolves 🏆

Surrey Scorchers

Position#11

Record5-22

FormLWLLL

Points / game86.0

Allowed / game94.6

SLB

Other2018-19

Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Surrey Scorchers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester Wolves United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

London City Royals

66-79

-13

A20/01

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

92-103

103

-11

H01/02

SLB

Manchester Giants

#10

123-124 OT

123

124

-1

A03/02

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

#11

84-79

H15/02

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

91-74

+17

A17/02

SLB

Leicester Riders

80-85

-5

H01/03

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

68-71

-3

H08/03

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

79-92

-13

A17/03

SLB

Manchester Giants

#10

97-78

+19

H22/03

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

93-96

-3

H29/03

SLB

14-14

17-16

17-25

18-24

15-28

29-18

19-25

29-32

21-28

30-26

21-15

27-30

22-12

29-19

13-22

20-26

14-21

27-9

16-19

34-25

19-21

26-30

14-14

21-20

13-30

21-17

18-14

16-10

12-19

33-19

12-32

22-22

19-17

34-15

15-23

29-23

17-24

25-18

24-30

27-24

175.4Avg total

87.3Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	81.4	89.0	170.4	-7.7	15%
Season at home (14)	80.9	85.6	166.4	-4.7	21%
Season away (12)	82.0	93.1	175.1	-11.1	8%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	88.1	175.4	-0.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	84.4	167.8	-1.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	81.4	89.4	170.8	-8.0	12%
vs Similar ◀ (3)	86.7	90.7	177.3	-4.0	33%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Surrey Scorchers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Surrey Scorchers United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Plymouth Raiders

98-112

112

-14

H03/02

SLB

London City Royals

73-94

-21

H10/02

SLB

Worcester Wolves

#12

79-84

-5

A15/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

90-69

+21

H17/02

SLB

London Lions

79-93

-14

A01/03

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

89-108

108

-19

A03/03

SLB

Bristol Flyers

89-83

A09/03

SLB

Bristol Flyers

73-80

-7

A16/03

SLB

Leicester Riders

80-84

-4

H24/03

SLB

London Lions

83-96

-13

H31/03

SLB

27-40

26-30

23-25

22-17

15-26

20-20

17-28

21-20

12-22

19-29

22-13

26-20

28-14

23-18

16-18

23-19

21-21

16-30

22-23

20-19

19-33

20-20

21-28

29-27

26-16

19-26

22-22

22-19

17-21

14-25

22-20

20-14

13-28

20-19

27-18

20-19

21-31

26-24

21-24

15-17

173.6Avg total

83.3Scored

90.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	86.0	94.6	180.6	-8.5	19%
Season at home (14)	86.7	93.3	180.0	-6.6	21%
Season away (13)	85.3	95.9	181.2	-10.6	15%
Last 10 (10)	83.3	90.3	173.6	-7.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	90.2	173.0	-7.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	85.4	95.5	180.8	-10.1	15%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	89.0	85.0	174.0	+4.0	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Worcester WolvesSurrey Scorchers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	23.5	41.4	-5.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	23.3	42.9	-3.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.2	38.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	18.3	24.2	42.5	-5.9	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	23.7	45.0	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	25.2	47.3	-3.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	25.2	45.1	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	25.8	45.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	21.7	24.3	46.0	-2.6	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.9	41.8	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	19.8	42.2	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.1	18.7	45.8	+8.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	19.8	47.6	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.5	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	23.7	25.0	48.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	25.2	46.1	-4.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	24.5	45.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	25.8	46.3	-5.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	24.1	44.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.8	42.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	20.7	25.3	46.0	-4.7	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	25.5	24.0	49.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

London City Royals

31-30

A20/01

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

44-46

-2

H01/02

SLB

Manchester Giants

#10

51-54

-3

A03/02

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

#11

51-31

+20

H15/02

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

41-30

+11

A17/02

SLB

Leicester Riders

45-51

-6

H01/03

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

34-47

-13

H08/03

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

45-38

A17/03

SLB

Manchester Giants

#10

53-32

+21

H22/03

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

42-42

H29/03

SLB

83.8Avg total

43.7Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.3	84.0	-2.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.3	43.3	83.6	-3.0	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	43.2	84.4	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	40.1	83.8	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	42.0	85.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	40.4	43.8	84.2	-3.4	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	43.7	41.0	84.7	+2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Surrey Scorchers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Surrey ScorchersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Plymouth Raiders

53-70

-17

H03/02

SLB

London City Royals

35-46

-11

H10/02

SLB

Worcester Wolves

#12

31-51

-20

A15/02

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

51-32

+19

H17/02

SLB

London Lions

37-51

-14

A01/03

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

39-53

-14

A03/03

SLB

Bristol Flyers

45-42

A09/03

SLB

Bristol Flyers

31-46

-15

A16/03

SLB

Leicester Riders

33-47

-14

H24/03

SLB

London Lions

47-55

-8

H31/03

SLB

89.5Avg total

40.2Scored

49.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	48.9	91.2	-6.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	49.7	93.2	-6.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	48.1	89.1	-7.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	49.3	89.5	-9.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	48.6	87.6	-9.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	42.3	49.7	92.0	-7.3	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	40.5	47.0	87.5	-6.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	22.1	41.2	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	23.1	43.3	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.9	38.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.6	39.2	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.5	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.4	45.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	21.1	22.3	43.4	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	23.5	17.5	41.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	21.3	44.1	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	23.1	42.4	-3.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	23.6	47.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	21.2	22.4	43.6	-1.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	21.7	41.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	24.6	48.5	-0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.4	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	25.0	20.5	45.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	44.4	84.4	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	42.3	82.9	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.5	46.2	85.7	-6.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	45.5	86.7	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.4	82.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)	40.0	44.6	84.6	-4.6	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (3)	39.3	44.3	83.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	45.2	87.9	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	42.9	85.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.2	47.4	90.6	-4.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	41.0	84.1	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	41.6	85.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)	42.9	45.5	88.4	-2.6	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	48.5	38.0	86.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Worcester Wolves wins

Surrey Scorchers wins

Date	Game	Score
15/02/19	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	84-79
21/10/18	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	99-86
29/12/17	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	81-79
26/11/17	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	61-76
15/10/17	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	84-80
25/02/17	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	77-89
05/02/17	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	82-86
27/01/17	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	103-84
06/11/16	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	75-94
21/10/16	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	90-82

Worcester Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/19	H	Newcastle Eagles	93-96
22/03/19	H	Manchester Giants	97-78
17/03/19	A	Glasgow Rocks	79-92
08/03/19	H	Sheffield Sharks	68-71
01/03/19	H	Leicester Riders	80-85
17/02/19	A	Plymouth Raiders	91-74
15/02/19	H	Surrey Scorchers	84-79
03/02/19	A	Manchester Giants	123-124 OT
01/02/19	H	Newcastle Eagles	92-103
20/01/19	A	London City Royals	66-79

Surrey Scorcherslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/19	H	London Lions	83-96
24/03/19	H	Leicester Riders	80-84
16/03/19	A	Bristol Flyers	73-80
09/03/19	A	Bristol Flyers	89-83
03/03/19	A	Plymouth Raiders	89-108
01/03/19	A	London Lions	79-93
17/02/19	H	Sheffield Sharks	90-69
15/02/19	A	Worcester Wolves	79-84
10/02/19	H	London City Royals	73-94
03/02/19	H	Plymouth Raiders	98-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves

SLB 2018-19

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	15%
Home	WLLWL	21%
Away	LLLWL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	15%	21%	8%
Points / game	81.4	80.9	82.0
Allowed / game	89.0	85.6	93.1
Point differential	-7.7	-4.7	-11.1
Avg total	170.4	166.4	175.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	12%	14%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	14% (7)	20% (5)	0% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Surrey Scorchers

SLB 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	19%
Home	LLWLL	21%
Away	LLLWL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	19%	21%	15%
Points / game	86.0	86.7	85.3
Allowed / game	94.6	93.3	95.9
Point differential	-8.5	-6.6	-10.6
Avg total	180.6	180.0	181.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	14%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	20% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	London Lions	25	21	4	84%	86.9	76.3	+10.6
2	Newcastle Eagles	27	19	8	70%	89.0	83.7	+5.4
3	Leicester Riders	26	18	8	69%	79.6	75.9	+3.7
4	London City Royals	25	14	11	56%	83.9	83.9	+0.0
5	Glasgow Rocks	26	14	12	54%	85.0	83.1	+2.0
6	Sheffield Sharks	28	15	13	54%	78.2	78.2	+0.1
7	Cheshire Phoenix	27	13	14	48%	85.5	85.3	+0.3
8	Plymouth Raiders	27	12	15	44%	86.9	87.6	-0.7
9	Manchester Giants	27	12	15	44%	87.4	90.7	-3.3
10	Bristol Flyers	25	11	14	44%	78.0	79.2	-1.2
11	Surrey Scorchers	27	5	22	19%	86.0	94.6	-8.5
12	Worcester Wolves	26	4	22	15%	81.4	89.0	-7.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Worcester Wolves	26	24	18	25	59	152
Surrey Scorchers	25	25	20	23	57	150

← all games of the day

Worcester Wolves vs Surrey Scorchers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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