Worcester Wolves vs Surrey Scorchers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Oct 2014

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 82-68

17-20 23-17 19-17 23-14

Position#3

Record2-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game84.0

Allowed / game80.3

Worcester Wolves 🏆

Surrey Scorchers

Position#13

Record1-2

FormLLLWL

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game86.3

SLBRound 4

Other2014-15

Meetings · Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Worcester Wolves winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Surrey Scorchers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Worcester Wolves United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Glasgow Rocks

#10

84-79

H18/04

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

#11

103-77

103

+26

A19/04

SLB

London Lions

92-78

+14

A25/04

SLB

London Lions

86-88

-2

H27/04

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

79-59

+20

A02/05

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

67-60

H04/05

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

90-78

+12

A11/05

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

86-81

A26/09

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

83-67

+16

H03/10

SLB

Manchester Giants

83-93

-10

A05/10

SLB

29-24

22-12

17-20

16-23

19-21

33-15

28-20

23-21

35-14

14-25

26-27

17-12

25-19

21-19

19-27

21-23

26-16

17-18

17-10

19-15

15-20

16-19

14-14

22-7

29-15

19-27

24-10

18-26

25-24

23-25

14-13

24-19

23-13

22-25

21-14

17-15

28-16

23-34

14-23

18-20

161.3Avg total

85.3Scored

76.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	84.0	80.3	164.3	+3.7	67%
Season at home (1)	83.0	67.0	150.0	+16.0	100%
Season away (2)	84.5	87.0	171.5	-2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.3	76.0	161.3	+9.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	75.8	157.6	+6.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	86.0	81.0	167.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar (6)	84.0	76.0	160.0	+8.0	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	88.3	76.0	164.4	+12.3	82%

This opponent (Surrey Scorchers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Surrey Scorchers United Kingdom

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manchester Giants

90-100

100

-10

H30/03

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

#10

76-91

-15

H06/04

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

76-87

-11

A11/04

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

58-106

106

-48

H13/04

SLB

Worcester Wolves

77-103

103

-26

H19/04

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

#10

81-94

-13

A20/04

SLB

London Lions

73-89

-16

H26/09

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

#10

74-94

-20

A28/09

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

97-76

+21

H04/10

SLB

Leicester Riders

80-98

-18

A11/10

SLB Cup

20-20

18-28

22-28

30-24

18-24

20-21

14-19

24-27

26-17

11-25

22-15

17-30

13-21

11-34

10-32

24-19

21-19

15-33

20-28

21-23

25-27

19-17

23-20

14-30

19-18

19-30

16-22

19-19

13-22

20-26

23-23

18-23

21-20

25-19

26-17

25-20

–

172.0Avg total

78.2Scored

93.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	81.3	86.3	167.7	-5.0	33%
Season at home (2)	85.0	82.5	167.5	+2.5	50%
Season away (1)	74.0	94.0	168.0	-20.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	93.8	172.0	-15.6	10%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	90.2	171.2	-9.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	73.2	93.6	166.7	-20.4	8%
vs Similar (3)	93.0	83.7	176.7	+9.3	100%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Worcester WolvesSurrey Scorchers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	18.7	41.6	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.7	17.6	42.2	+7.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	18.2	43.6	+7.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	17.6	41.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	24.0	49.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.8	19.7	43.5	+4.2	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.5	55%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	21.0	39.9	-2.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	22.0	40.2	-3.8	27%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	20.9	40.4	-1.3	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.9	22.0	39.9	-4.1	24%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.7	15.0	39.7	+9.7	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.1	42.2	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	21.3	43.4	+0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	26.0	46.6	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	25.0	48.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.1	24.5	41.6	-7.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	23.6	41.8	-5.5	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	25.3	41.4	-9.3	13%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.6	25.9	43.4	-8.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	25.0	44.6	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	16.9	25.0	41.9	-8.2	16%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.7	22.7	39.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Worcester WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Glasgow Rocks

#10

51-36

+15

H18/04

SLB

Surrey Scorchers

#11

52-36

+16

A19/04

SLB

London Lions

49-39

+10

A25/04

SLB

London Lions

46-38

H27/04

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

43-34

A02/05

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

31-39

-8

H04/05

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

48-42

A11/05

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

48-49

-1

A26/09

SLB

Cheshire Phoenix

45-38

H03/10

SLB

Manchester Giants

51-50

A05/10

SLB

86.5Avg total

46.4Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	38.8	83.8	+6.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.0	38.7	81.7	+4.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.8	38.9	85.7	+7.9	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	40.1	86.5	+6.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	43.6	88.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	49.0	97.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	42.7	40.2	82.8	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	45.5	37.5	82.9	+8.0	82%	-

This opponent (Surrey Scorchers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Surrey ScorchersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Manchester Giants

38-48

-10

H30/03

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

#10

38-45

-7

H06/04

SLB

Sheffield Sharks

37-42

-5

A11/04

SLB

Newcastle Eagles

24-55

-31

H13/04

SLB

Worcester Wolves

36-52

-16

H19/04

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

#10

44-44

A20/04

SLB

London Lions

38-48

-10

H26/09

SLB

Plymouth Raiders

#10

33-48

-15

A28/09

SLB

Glasgow Rocks

46-39

H04/10

SLB

83.9Avg total

37.1Scored

46.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.6	46.0	81.6	-10.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.0	44.6	81.6	-7.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	47.3	81.6	-13.1	13%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.1	46.8	83.9	-9.7	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	46.2	85.6	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	34.8	47.0	81.8	-12.3	8%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.3	37.7	79.0	+3.7	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Worcester Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.7	38.2	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	14.8	32.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	13.0	27.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	14.7	34.0	+4.7	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.1	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.4	31%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	22.9	42.0	-3.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	23.4	41.9	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	22.7	42.2	-3.1	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.0	43.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	17.6	23.6	41.2	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (3)	28.3	21.3	49.7	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.5	40.8	+1.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	18.9	41.1	+3.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.1	37.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	22.7	43.3	-2.1	34%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.5	23.3	45.8	-0.8	36%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.3	23.9	45.2	-2.6	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	20.4	22.3	42.7	-1.8	36%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.3	24.7	48.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	37.1	79.0	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	37.3	77.5	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.2	37.0	80.2	+6.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	35.9	74.8	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	32.2	69.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	32.0	70.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.3	35.8	77.2	+5.5	83%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	42.5	38.4	80.8	+4.1	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.4	45.9	85.3	-6.5	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	46.2	87.8	-4.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	45.6	82.9	-8.3	13%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.9	46.6	87.4	-5.7	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	45.0	86.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)	38.0	45.9	84.0	-7.9	12%	-
vs Similar (3)	51.7	46.0	97.7	+5.7	100%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Worcester Wolves wins

Surrey Scorchers wins

Date	Game	Score
19/04/14	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	77-103
13/12/13	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	101-79
28/09/13	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	60-117
14/04/13	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	76-70
13/04/13	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	81-78
22/02/13	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	99-81
25/01/13	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	91-97 OT
07/10/12	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	71-69
07/04/12	Worcester Wolves v Surrey Scorchers	85-77
04/03/12	Surrey Scorchers v Worcester Wolves	78-98

Worcester Wolveslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/10/14	A	Manchester Giants	83-93
03/10/14	H	Cheshire Phoenix	83-67
26/09/14	A	Newcastle Eagles	86-81
11/05/14	A	Newcastle Eagles	90-78
04/05/14	H	Sheffield Sharks	67-60
02/05/14	A	Sheffield Sharks	79-59
27/04/14	H	London Lions	86-88
25/04/14	A	London Lions	92-78
19/04/14	A	Surrey Scorchers	103-77
18/04/14	H	Glasgow Rocks	84-79

Surrey Scorcherslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/14	A	Leicester Riders	80-98
04/10/14	H	Glasgow Rocks	97-76
28/09/14	A	Plymouth Raiders	74-94
26/09/14	H	London Lions	73-89
20/04/14	A	Glasgow Rocks	81-94
19/04/14	H	Worcester Wolves	77-103
13/04/14	H	Newcastle Eagles	58-106
11/04/14	A	Sheffield Sharks	76-87
06/04/14	H	Glasgow Rocks	76-91
30/03/14	H	Manchester Giants	90-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Worcester Wolves

SLB 2014-15

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWL	67%
Home	W	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	84.0	83.0	84.5
Allowed / game	80.3	67.0	87.0
Point differential	+3.7	+16.0	-2.5
Avg total	164.3	150.0	171.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Surrey Scorchers

SLB 2014-15

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLW	33%
Home	LW	50%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	33%	50%	0%
Points / game	81.3	85.0	74.0
Allowed / game	86.3	82.5	94.0
Point differential	-5.0	+2.5	-20.0
Avg total	167.7	167.5	168.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leicester Riders	3	3	0	100%	89.3	77.3	+12.0
2	London Lions	2	2	0	100%	82.5	70.5	+12.0
3	Bristol Flyers	4	3	1	75%	73.5	66.8	+6.8
4	Newcastle Eagles	3	2	1	67%	91.7	81.0	+10.7
5	Worcester Wolves	3	2	1	67%	84.0	80.3	+3.7
6	Sheffield Sharks	4	2	2	50%	79.5	74.0	+5.5
7	Manchester Giants	4	2	2	50%	81.0	85.2	-4.2
8	Cheshire Phoenix	3	1	2	33%	64.0	65.3	-1.3
9	Durham Wildcats	3	1	2	33%	74.3	76.0	-1.7
10	Surrey Scorchers	3	1	2	33%	81.3	86.3	-5.0
11	Glasgow Rocks	3	1	2	33%	71.7	77.7	-6.0
12	Plymouth Raiders	4	1	3	25%	74.0	79.2	-5.2
13	Leeds Force	3	0	3	0%	50.3	74.3	-24.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Worcester Wolves	17	23	19	23	82
Surrey Scorchers	20	17	17	14	68

← all games of the day

Worcester Wolves vs Surrey Scorchers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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