PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Wright State vs Akron Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 23 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Projected 84-76
Projected total 160.1
Scheduled
Position#41
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game69.0
Vs
77%
23%
■ WRIG 77%■ AKRO 23%
Pythia win probability
Position#47
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Wright State v Akron
23 Nov 2026
WRIG v AKRO
upcoming
15 Dec 2021
WRIG48
AKRO66
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Wright State host Akron in the NCAA. Pythia makes Wright State the favourite at 77% and projects 84-76, about 160 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Wright State are 4-0 this season (91.2 scored, 69.0 allowed a game), form LWWWW; Akron are 3-0 this season (84.0 scored, 62.7 allowed a game), form WLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wright State win
76.7%fair 1.30
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Akron win
23.3%fair 4.28
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 07:41 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wright StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H05/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A20/03
NCAA
Air Force
#122
W
102-71
102
71
+31
H03/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
W
97-71
97
71
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A11/11
NCAA
Samford
#281
W
90-66
90
66
+24
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-26
43-44
35-53
57-38
37-32
53-29
46-44
57-46
26-29
40-34
43-38
30-44
60-31
42-40
47-28
50-43
36-31
40-37
40-34
50-32
159.6Avg total
86.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.269.0160.2+22.2100%
Season at home (2)99.571.0170.5+28.5100%
Season away (2)83.067.0150.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.373.3159.6+13.090%
Last 5 (5)87.671.6159.2+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.582.5157.0-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.279.0160.2+2.267%
vs Weaker (19)84.272.5156.6+11.789%
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
92-70
92
70
+22
A28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
77-64
77
64
+13
A04/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
94-55
94
55
+39
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H13/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A20/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#280
W
75-61
75
61
+14
A03/11
NCAA
Muskingum
#481
W
112-64
112
64
+48
H10/11
NCAA
Tulane
#219
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-37
45-33
39-33
38-31
47-27
47-28
42-29
31-41
42-28
33-40
30-42
49-34
35-40
36-51
46-29
29-32
62-27
50-37
36-26
29-37
149.5Avg total
81.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.062.7146.7+21.3100%
Season at home (2)88.563.5152.0+25.0100%
Season away (1)75.061.0136.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.368.2149.5+13.190%
Last 5 (5)80.471.0151.4+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)73.076.0149.0-3.00%
vs Weaker (27)83.673.1156.7+10.589%
This opponent (Wright State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145
Over 145
82.5%
Under 145
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 150
Over 150
73.2%
Under 150
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 155
Over 155
62.0%
Under 155
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Wright State total 78.5
Over 78.5
71.4%
Under 78.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wright State total 82.5
Over 82.5
56.7%
Under 82.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wright State total 86.5
Over 86.5
40.9%
Under 86.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron total 63.5
Over 63.5
88.7%
Under 63.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron total 67.5
Over 67.5
79.3%
Under 67.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron total 71.5
Over 71.5
66.3%
Under 71.5
33.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Wright State -3
WRIG -3
69.8%
AKRO +3
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
WRIG
No market prices yet.
AKRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Wright State 0
WRIG 0
76.7%
AKRO 0
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
WRIG
No market prices yet.
AKRO
No market prices yet.
Spread Wright State +3
WRIG +3
83.2%
AKRO -3
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
WRIG
No market prices yet.
AKRO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +10.8+10.82nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +5.5+5.51st half: +10.8+10.82nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
Wright StateAkron
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wright StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#181
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A01/03
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H05/03
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/03
NCAA
Detroit
#184
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H10/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/03
NCAA
Air Force
#122
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H03/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#141
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Toledo
#262
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Samford
#281
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/11
NCAA
74.7Avg total
40.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.035.175.1+4.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.335.776.0+4.665%-
Last 30 away (13)39.634.373.9+5.385%-
Last 10 (10)40.134.674.7+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)45.232.477.6+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.542.080.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.838.075.8-0.256%-
vs Weaker (19)41.233.074.2+8.284%-
This opponent (Akron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kent State
#52
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A28/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/03
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/03
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H12/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H13/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H15/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A20/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#280
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A03/11
NCAA
Muskingum
#481
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H10/11
NCAA
Tulane
#219
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H14/11
NCAA
74.4Avg total
42.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.633.776.2+8.983%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.834.878.6+9.082%-
Last 30 away (13)40.932.273.1+8.885%-
Last 10 (10)42.631.874.4+10.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.874.6+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)36.033.069.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (27)41.934.376.2+7.781%-
This opponent (Wright State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wright State wins
2
Akron wins
DateGameScore
15/12/22Akron v Wright State66-54
16/12/21Wright State v Akron48-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASamford90-66
11/11/26AToledo76-68
07/11/26HFlorida Atlantic97-71
03/11/26HAir Force102-71
20/03/26AVirginia73-82
10/03/26HDetroit66-63
09/03/26HNorthern Kentucky103-90
05/03/26HCleveland State90-61
01/03/26ANorthern Kentucky92-91
26/02/26AIPFW74-70
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTulane65-63
10/11/26HMuskingum112-64
03/11/26ALouisiana Lafayette75-61
20/03/26ATexas Tech71-91
15/03/26HToledo79-76
13/03/26HKent State75-68
12/03/26HBuffalo73-70
06/03/26HNorthern Illinois94-55
04/03/26ACentral Michigan77-64
28/02/26AKent State92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wright State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.299.583.0
Allowed / game69.071.067.0
Point differential+22.2+28.5+16.0
Avg total160.2170.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Akron
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.088.575.0
Allowed / game62.763.561.0
Point differential+21.3+25.0+14.0
Avg total146.7152.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wright State440100%91.269.0+22.2
2 Wisc. Green Bay53260%75.266.8+8.4
3 Youngstown State42250%74.080.5-6.5
4 Cleveland State42250%75.288.0-12.8
5 Wisc. Milwaukee52340%76.077.4-1.4
6 Northern Kentucky52340%74.693.4-18.8
7 IPFW31233%77.774.7+3.0
8 Oakland61517%70.891.8-21.0
9 Robert Morris3030%52.780.3-27.7
10 Detroit3030%53.092.7-39.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.