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Wright State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 74-49
39-21 35-28
Position#160
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#240
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game64.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wright State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wright StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#173
L
75-77
75
77
-2
A19/02
NCAA
Oakland
#270
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A24/02
NCAA
Detroit
#262
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H01/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
77-105
77
105
-28
A11/11
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H15/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H20/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-37
43-40
32-30
36-45
35-27
47-44
35-27
42-30
27-45
43-42
42-45
35-60
40-41
37-37
49-54
31-35
45-34
46-51
48-38
28-47
158.2Avg total
77.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.288.4168.6-8.220%
Season at home (3)81.382.7164.0-1.333%
Season away (2)78.597.0175.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)77.380.9158.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)80.288.4168.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)77.781.7159.4-3.933%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.069.8150.8+11.264%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A23/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A02/03
NCAA
Lourdes
#415
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
40-36
26-37
38-43
32-42
19-40
31-28
41-25
28-44
34-31
38-29
37-27
34-46
37-34
34-24
35-37
32-24
29-28
30-37
42-37
136.1Avg total
67.2Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.664.6134.2+5.060%
Season at home (3)68.356.3124.7+12.0100%
Season away (2)71.577.0148.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)67.268.9136.1-1.740%
Last 5 (5)69.664.6134.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.074.9142.9-6.925%
vs Similar (10)65.566.0131.5-0.540%
vs Weaker (3)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: +1.4+1.4
Wright StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wright StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IPFW
#173
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Oakland
#270
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A24/02
NCAA
Detroit
#262
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A25/02
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#370
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A03/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A17/11
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H22/11
NCAA
76.3Avg total
38.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.335.073.3+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.735.076.7+6.764%-
Last 30 away (16)35.335.070.3+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.876.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.842.487.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)36.236.672.8-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.233.573.7+6.673%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#182
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A23/02
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H26/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A02/03
NCAA
Lourdes
#415
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H07/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A12/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A21/11
NCAA
67.1Avg total
32.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.434.766.2-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.631.863.4-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)31.338.169.4-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)32.035.167.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.632.065.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.837.368.1-6.619%-
vs Similar (10)30.732.262.9-1.540%-
vs Weaker (3)35.331.366.7+4.0100%-
This opponent (Wright State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wright State wins
0
Illinois State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HHofstra76-85
20/11/23HLouisiana Lafayette91-85
17/11/23AIndiana80-89
15/11/23HToledo77-78
11/11/23AColorado State77-105
03/03/23AWisc. Milwaukee70-87
01/03/23HWisc. Green Bay77-57
25/02/23ADetroit82-71
24/02/23AOakland68-75
19/02/23AIPFW75-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23AHigh Point72-74
20/11/23HLong Beach State61-52
16/11/23HEastern Illinois69-61
12/11/23ASt. Louis Billikens71-80
07/11/23HLourdes75-56
02/03/23ANorthern Iowa62-75
26/02/23HEvansville72-53
23/02/23ADrake51-82
18/02/23AIndiana State64-80
16/02/23HMurray State75-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wright State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game80.281.378.5
Allowed / game88.482.797.0
Point differential-8.2-1.3-18.5
Avg total168.6164.0175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game69.668.371.5
Allowed / game64.656.377.0
Point differential+5.0+12.0-5.5
Avg total134.2124.7148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Horizon League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 IPFW550100%93.664.0+29.6
2 Cleveland State53260%78.865.6+13.2
3 Youngstown State53260%75.472.0+3.4
4 Oakland63350%72.771.7+1.0
5 Wisc. Milwaukee63350%75.376.3-1.0
6 Wisc. Green Bay52340%59.466.4-7.0
7 IUPUI62433%64.574.8-10.3
8 Robert Morris41325%64.869.2-4.5
9 Northern Kentucky41325%68.876.8-8.0
10 Wright State51420%80.288.4-8.2
11 Detroit5050%62.880.8-18.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Evansville440100%84.554.2+30.2
2 Bradley440100%77.869.2+8.5
3 Drake54180%80.873.0+7.8
4 Southern Illinois43175%81.565.5+16.0
5 Indiana State43175%92.276.8+15.5
6 Illinois (Chi.)43175%78.863.8+15.0
7 Illinois State53260%69.664.6+5.0
8 Valparaiso53260%71.467.8+3.6
9 Belmont42250%81.586.2-4.8
10 Murray State52340%77.673.2+4.4
11 Northern Iowa41325%75.274.5+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wright State393574
Illinois State212849
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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