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Illinois State vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-53
31-28 41-25
Position#303
Record10-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#365
Record5-25
FormWLLLL
Points / game62.9
Allowed / game75.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Illinois State v Evansville
01 Jan 2026
ILLI73
EVAN47
02 Mar 2025
ILLI62
EVAN53
07 Mar 2024
ILLI53
EVAN59
18 Feb 2024
ILLI86
EVAN79
26 Feb 2023
ILLI72
EVAN53
21 Jan 2022
ILLI94
EVAN56
29 Jan 2020
ILLI77
EVAN66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
L
51-71
51
71
-20
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
68-62 OT
68
62
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A04/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
51-82
51
82
-31
A23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-33
27-38
40-36
29-33
36-33
36-33
33-22
21-32
33-44
42-46
21-41
40-38
38-42
38-39
35-40
40-36
26-37
38-43
32-42
19-40
143.4Avg total
66.8Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)66.470.9137.3-4.533%
Season at home (14)70.170.3140.4-0.150%
Season away (16)63.271.4134.6-8.219%
Last 10 (10)66.876.6143.4-9.820%
Last 5 (5)65.479.6145.0-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)68.074.2142.2-6.228%
vs Similar (10)61.365.0126.3-3.730%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
L
61-97
61
97
-36
H21/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H26/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
65-83
65
83
-18
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H12/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-55
27-42
32-36
32-37
28-43
41-38
36-37
29-46
30-29
31-41
43-26
28-33
27-30
33-36
28-46
35-49
24-27
34-47
32-40
44-42
142.8Avg total
64.8Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)62.975.5138.3-12.617%
Season at home (16)64.071.9135.9-7.925%
Season away (14)61.679.5141.1-17.97%
Last 10 (10)64.878.0142.8-13.210%
Last 5 (5)65.675.2140.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)62.975.5138.3-12.617%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: -7.7-7.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.2-5.21st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -4.8-4.82nd half: -7.7-7.7
Illinois StateEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#306
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A23/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
31.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.734.565.2-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.433.965.4-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)30.135.165.1-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)31.837.068.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)30.440.470.8-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.736.568.2-4.822%-
vs Similar (10)27.531.358.8-3.830%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.533.070.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#24
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H21/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H26/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A04/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H12/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A16/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H23/02
NCAA
68.3Avg total
31.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.036.465.4-7.420%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.936.266.1-6.312%-
Last 30 away (14)27.936.664.6-8.729%-
Last 10 (10)31.436.968.3-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)30.833.864.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)29.036.465.4-7.420%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illinois State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Illinois State wins
2
Evansville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23ADrake51-82
18/02/23AIndiana State64-80
16/02/23HMurray State75-76
12/02/23AValparaiso76-81
09/02/23HBradley61-79
04/02/23ABelmont75-90
02/02/23HIllinois (Chi.)68-62 OT
29/01/23HSouthern Illinois72-66
26/01/23ABradley75-79 OT
22/01/23HValparaiso51-71
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23HIllinois (Chi.)76-82
18/02/23AMurray State58-74
16/02/23ABelmont63-95
12/02/23HMissouri State60-66
09/02/23HNorthern Iowa71-59
04/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)61-70
02/02/23HIndiana State65-83
29/01/23AValparaiso69-81
26/01/23HBelmont64-73
21/01/23HDrake61-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %33%50%19%
Points / game66.470.163.2
Allowed / game70.970.371.4
Point differential-4.5-0.1-8.2
Avg total137.3140.4134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %13%14%12%
Evansville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %17%25%7%
Points / game62.964.061.6
Allowed / game75.571.979.5
Point differential-12.6-7.9-17.9
Avg total138.3135.9141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake3024680%76.164.5+11.6
2 Bradley3022873%71.561.3+10.1
3 Southern Illinois3122971%66.561.6+4.9
4 Belmont31211068%76.071.1+4.9
5 Indiana State31201165%78.768.9+9.8
6 Murray State29151452%70.272.6-2.3
7 Northern Iowa30131743%70.170.1-0.0
8 Illinois (Chi.)31121939%67.571.5-4.1
9 Valparaiso30111937%69.373.3-4.0
10 Illinois State30102033%66.470.9-4.5
11 Evansville3052517%62.975.5-12.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois State314172
Evansville282553
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