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Indiana State vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-64
37-26 43-38
Position#84
Record19-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game68.5
vs
Position#303
Record10-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Indiana State v Illinois State
14 Jan 2026
INDI94
ILLI89
15 Feb 2025
INDI85
ILLI76
13 Feb 2024
INDI67
ILLI80
18 Feb 2023
INDI80
ILLI64
12 Feb 2022
INDI60
ILLI57
11 Jan 2020
INDI65
ILLI52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#177
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H19/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
83-65
83
65
+18
A02/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
99-56
99
56
+43
H04/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
80-62
80
62
+18
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-35
31-29
39-34
28-44
36-36
37-46
26-44
42-26
39-39
40-32
37-36
46-29
40-28
59-28
46-39
38-23
44-29
36-33
43-21
36-39
144.4Avg total
77.4Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.968.5147.4+10.468%
Season at home (16)80.467.8148.2+12.675%
Season away (12)76.869.3146.2+7.558%
Last 10 (10)77.467.0144.4+10.460%
Last 5 (5)85.061.0146.0+24.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)65.873.0138.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)80.067.8147.8+12.172%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A15/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A19/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
51-71
51
71
-20
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
68-62 OT
68
62
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A04/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-32
22-37
30-33
33-32
24-33
27-38
40-36
29-33
36-33
36-33
33-22
21-32
33-44
42-46
21-41
40-38
38-42
38-39
35-40
40-36
141.1Avg total
67.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)67.170.2137.2-3.136%
Season at home (14)70.170.3140.4-0.150%
Season away (14)64.070.1134.1-6.121%
Last 10 (10)67.373.8141.1-6.520%
Last 5 (5)71.077.6148.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.173.6142.6-4.529%
vs Similar (11)61.063.9124.9-2.936%
vs Weaker (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: -3.1-3.12nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: -3.6-3.6
Indiana StateIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#177
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H19/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A25/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H04/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A11/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A16/02
NCAA
72.2Avg total
38.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.231.770.9+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.131.171.2+9.088%-
Last 30 away (14)38.132.470.5+5.657%-
Last 10 (10)38.134.172.2+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.030.672.6+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)34.235.870.0-1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.230.971.1+9.276%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
32.5Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.534.264.7-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.933.564.4-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)30.234.865.0-4.627%-
Last 10 (10)32.535.668.1-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.869.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)31.936.468.3-4.424%-
vs Similar (11)27.131.058.1-3.927%-
vs Weaker (2)37.533.070.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Indiana State wins
3
Illinois State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23AIllinois (Chi.)79-60
11/02/23ANorthern Iowa80-62
09/02/23HValparaiso84-62
04/02/23HMurray State99-56
02/02/23AEvansville83-65
28/01/23HNorthern Iowa79-71
25/01/23ADrake68-70
21/01/23AMurray State73-82
19/01/23HBradley67-78
15/01/23AMissouri State62-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HMurray State75-76
12/02/23AValparaiso76-81
09/02/23HBradley61-79
04/02/23ABelmont75-90
02/02/23HIllinois (Chi.)68-62 OT
29/01/23HSouthern Illinois72-66
26/01/23ABradley75-79 OT
22/01/23HValparaiso51-71
19/01/23ANorthern Iowa63-65
15/01/23ASouthern Illinois57-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLLWWW75%
AwayLLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %68%75%58%
Points / game78.980.476.8
Allowed / game68.567.869.3
Point differential+10.4+12.6+7.5
Avg total147.4148.2146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%50%21%
Points / game67.170.164.0
Allowed / game70.270.370.1
Point differential-3.1-0.1-6.1
Avg total137.2140.4134.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2822679%76.165.3+10.9
2 Bradley2820871%72.161.6+10.4
3 Southern Illinois2820871%66.561.9+4.6
4 Indiana State2819968%78.968.5+10.4
5 Belmont2819968%76.070.4+5.6
6 Murray State27141352%70.172.7-2.6
7 Northern Iowa27121544%70.269.2+1.0
8 Valparaiso28111739%69.373.2-3.9
9 Illinois State28101836%67.170.2-3.1
10 Illinois (Chi.)28101836%66.871.5-4.6
11 Evansville2852318%62.675.3-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State374380
Illinois State263864
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