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Drake vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 82-51
42-32 40-19
Position#24
Record23-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game65.0
Drake 🏆
USA
vs
Position#303
Record10-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Drake v Illinois State
29 Dec 2025
DRAK56
ILLI73
15 Jan 2025
DRAK66
ILLI62
02 Jan 2024
DRAK88
ILLI71
22 Feb 2023
DRAK82
ILLI51
12 Jan 2022
DRAK86
ILLI75
01 Feb 2021
DRAK95
ILLI60
31 Jan 2021
DRAK78
ILLI76
05 Mar 2020
DRAK75
ILLI65
16 Jan 2020
DRAK84
ILLI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Drake winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DrakeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#177
L
62-65 OT
62
65
-3
H19/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
97-61
97
61
+36
A21/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
H02/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
92-68
92
68
+24
A08/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
82-59
82
59
+23
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H19/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-21
22-35
55-34
42-27
44-26
26-42
39-26
40-35
28-33
36-31
31-35
35-31
55-39
37-29
45-22
37-37
41-31
41-43
42-23
28-33
148.2Avg total
80.7Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.965.0140.9+11.079%
Season at home (16)78.862.6141.4+16.294%
Season away (13)72.467.8140.2+4.562%
Last 10 (10)80.767.5148.2+13.290%
Last 5 (5)82.267.8150.0+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)76.068.8144.8+7.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)75.964.6140.5+11.280%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A19/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
51-71
51
71
-20
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
68-62 OT
68
62
+6
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A04/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
33-32
24-33
27-38
40-36
29-33
36-33
36-33
33-22
21-32
33-44
42-46
21-41
40-38
38-42
38-39
35-40
40-36
26-37
38-43
142.9Avg total
68.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)67.070.5137.5-3.634%
Season at home (14)70.170.3140.4-0.150%
Season away (15)64.070.7134.7-6.720%
Last 10 (10)68.074.9142.9-6.920%
Last 5 (5)70.281.2151.4-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.873.9142.7-5.228%
vs Similar (10)61.365.0126.3-3.730%
vs Weaker (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.4+12.41st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -2.6-2.6
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +12.4+12.41st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: -2.6-2.6
DrakeIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DrakeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#177
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H19/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A21/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H02/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A08/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H11/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A16/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H19/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
41.4Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.328.966.2+8.470%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.025.863.8+12.276%-
Last 30 away (13)36.433.069.4+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)41.429.070.4+12.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.830.072.8+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)40.827.668.4+13.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)36.629.265.8+7.468%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H09/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/02
NCAA
67.7Avg total
31.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.634.565.1-3.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.433.965.4-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)29.934.964.9-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)31.636.167.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.640.871.4-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.636.468.0-4.822%-
vs Similar (10)27.531.358.8-3.830%-
vs Weaker (2)37.533.070.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Drake) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Drake wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
27/01/22Illinois State v Drake88-89 OT
13/01/22Drake v Illinois State86-75
02/02/21Drake v Illinois State95-60
31/01/21Drake v Illinois State78-76 OT
06/03/20Drake v Illinois State75-65
22/02/20Illinois State v Drake57-53
17/01/20Drake v Illinois State84-74
Drakelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/23HBelmont70-56
16/02/23ANorthern Iowa82-74
11/02/23HSouthern Illinois82-59
08/02/23AMurray State92-68
05/02/23AValparaiso85-82 OT
02/02/23HNorthern Iowa88-81 OT
29/01/23ABelmont79-61
25/01/23HIndiana State70-68
21/01/23AEvansville97-61
19/01/23HMissouri State62-65 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23AIndiana State64-80
16/02/23HMurray State75-76
12/02/23AValparaiso76-81
09/02/23HBradley61-79
04/02/23ABelmont75-90
02/02/23HIllinois (Chi.)68-62 OT
29/01/23HSouthern Illinois72-66
26/01/23ABradley75-79 OT
22/01/23HValparaiso51-71
19/01/23ANorthern Iowa63-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Drake
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW94%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %79%94%62%
Points / game75.978.872.4
Allowed / game65.062.667.8
Point differential+11.0+16.2+4.5
Avg total140.9141.4140.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %14%12%15%
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL34%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %34%50%20%
Points / game67.070.164.0
Allowed / game70.570.370.7
Point differential-3.6-0.1-6.7
Avg total137.5140.4134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %14%14%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2923679%75.965.0+11.0
2 Bradley3022873%71.561.3+10.1
3 Southern Illinois2920969%65.861.4+4.4
4 Indiana State30201067%79.269.0+10.2
5 Belmont30201067%75.871.0+4.8
6 Murray State29151452%70.272.6-2.3
7 Northern Iowa28131546%70.269.1+1.1
8 Illinois (Chi.)29111838%67.171.5-4.4
9 Valparaiso30111937%69.373.3-4.0
10 Illinois State29101934%67.070.5-3.6
11 Evansville2952417%62.475.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Drake424082
Illinois State321951
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