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Wurzburg vs Jena Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#18
Record2-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game88.6
GermanyBBLRound 14· Tectake Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Wurzburg v Jena
29 Dec 2026
WUR v JEN
upcoming
31 Oct 2025
WUR97
JEN92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jena win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
65-73
65
73
-8
46avg 72
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 72
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 72
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 72
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 72
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 72
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 72
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
23-18
19-15
6-18
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
164.4Avg total
83.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.482.1163.6-0.757%
Season at home (4)80.583.8164.2-3.250%
Season away (3)82.780.0162.7+2.767%
Last 10 (10)83.680.8164.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)90.276.6166.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar (14)82.276.4158.6+5.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.476.6159.0+5.764%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#18
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
69avg 70
H07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
65-83
65
83
-18
52avg 70
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
62-77
62
77
-15
56avg 70
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
85-98
85
98
-13
81avg 70
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 70
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 70
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#6
L
68-115
68
115
-47
52avg 70
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
66avg 70
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
74avg 70
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#17
L
87-91
87
91
-4
no box
H09/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
5-22
25-21
17-16
22-10
23-14
8-24
25-23
9-22
13-18
14-22
21-18
14-19
25-31
24-23
24-15
12-29
18-11
18-21
26-28
17-11
21-19
19-19
22-16
20-22
11-28
22-26
16-32
19-29
29-22
24-28
8-14
21-29
30-26
13-21
23-22
12-19
18-32
28-21
22-22
19-16
164.0Avg total
76.9Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.988.6166.5-10.825%
Season at home (4)82.582.8165.2-0.250%
Season away (4)73.294.5167.8-21.20%
Last 10 (10)76.987.1164.0-10.230%
Last 5 (5)79.492.6172.0-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)78.988.5167.4-9.529%
vs Similar (6)82.287.5169.7-5.350%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -4.1-4.1
WurzburgJena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#25
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.1Avg total
44.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.179.1+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.739.582.2+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)38.636.374.9+2.346%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.884.1+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.438.885.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar (14)41.436.878.2+4.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.438.680.0+2.755%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#18
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/09
BBL
Trier
#2
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/09
BBL
Vechta
#13
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H01/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/10
BBL
Bonn
#6
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A09/10
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H30/10
BBL
Bamberg
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
BBL
Hamburg
#17
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H09/11
BBL
83.7Avg total
38.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.046.087.0-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.644.686.1-3.056%-
Last 30 away (14)40.447.788.1-7.414%-
Last 10 (10)38.844.983.7-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.048.491.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)41.346.587.8-5.233%-
vs Similar (6)39.844.284.0-4.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
55.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
33.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
73.4%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.9
32.8%
33.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
73.4%11.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WLWWWWWLLL
Jena
LLLLWWLLLW
#7
League position
#18
+4.1
Net rating
-12.9
92.6
Offensive rating
85.5
88.5
Defensive rating
98.4
49.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.2%
Turnover %
19.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.1%
3-point %
32.8%
54.9%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 85.5Defence88.5 · 98.4Shooting49.0% · 51.1%3-point %33.1% · 32.8%Ball care14.2% · 19.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Jena
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wurzburg wins
0
Jena wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Jena v Wurzburg69-87
31/10/25Wurzburg v Jena97-92 OT
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
07/10/26AAEK Larnaca65-73
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HHamburg87-91
01/11/26ABamberg78-88
30/10/26HFrankfurt82-93
09/10/26ABonn68-115
04/10/26HChemnitz82-76
01/10/26HVechta79-71
27/09/26ATrier85-98
25/09/26ASyntainics MBC62-77
10/05/26AAlba Berlin65-83
07/05/26HHeidelberg81-79 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game81.480.582.7
Allowed / game82.183.880.0
Point differential-0.7-3.2+2.7
Avg total163.6164.2162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jena
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.982.573.2
Allowed / game88.682.894.5
Point differential-10.8-0.2-21.2
Avg total166.5165.2167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
5 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
6 Bonn85362%88.082.5+5.5
7 Wurzburg74357%81.482.1-0.7
8 Bamberg84450%86.985.8+1.1
9 Ludwigsburg84450%85.286.0-0.8
10 Alba Berlin84450%86.287.8-1.5
11 Oldenburg84450%74.482.0-7.6
12 Ulm83538%82.586.4-3.9
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
16 Phoenix Hagen82625%84.091.9-7.9
17 Hamburg82625%82.491.6-9.2
18 Jena82625%77.988.6-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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