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Xavier vs Marquette Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 96-88
51-35 45-53
Position#248
Record12-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.1
Xavier 🏆
USA
vs
Position#290
Record9-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Xavier v Marquette
23 Jan 2027
XAVI v MARQ
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
XAVI96
MARQ88
13 Mar 2025
XAVI87
MARQ89
21 Dec 2024
XAVI70
MARQ72
09 Mar 2024
XAVI80
MARQ86
15 Jan 2023
XAVI80
MARQ76
18 Dec 2021
XAVI80
MARQ71
20 Dec 2020
XAVI91
MARQ88
29 Jan 2020
XAVI82
MARQ84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Xavier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Marquette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A03/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
65-66
65
66
-1
A08/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
97-84
97
84
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
60-92
60
92
-32
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
A09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-40
40-46
27-37
38-29
44-35
53-49
44-36
45-39
39-42
54-52
49-37
34-51
41-30
27-56
30-35
38-31
22-50
38-42
42-42
36-36
160.6Avg total
78.2Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.078.1155.1-1.150%
Season at home (16)78.875.4154.2+3.469%
Season away (8)73.483.6157.0-10.212%
Last 10 (10)78.282.4160.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)72.283.8156.0-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.479.6154.0-5.238%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.677.3156.9+2.357%
vs Weaker (3)87.773.3161.0+14.3100%
This opponent (Marquette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H08/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H10/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A13/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A17/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
105-104 OT
105
104
+1
H19/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H28/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
29-38
38-44
35-32
34-40
34-52
44-36
31-44
54-44
40-50
36-41
40-46
52-23
34-39
41-33
23-36
32-28
38-27
32-36
42-41
152.4Avg total
75.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.577.0152.4-1.536%
Season at home (15)79.972.5152.3+7.460%
Season away (10)68.983.7152.6-14.80%
Last 10 (10)75.776.7152.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)74.070.0144.0+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.281.4151.6-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.873.5152.2+5.262%
vs Weaker (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -5.9-5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -2.8-2.82nd half: -5.9-5.9
XavierMarquette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#213
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A08/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/02
NCAA
75.9Avg total
37.5Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.374.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.735.072.7+2.768%-
Last 30 away (11)35.541.276.6-5.718%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.475.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.875.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.537.873.3-2.446%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.237.274.4+0.043%-
vs Weaker (3)41.335.076.3+6.3100%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H10/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A17/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H19/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
52-23
52
23
+29
H28/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A11/02
NCAA
75.2Avg total
40.0Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.536.573.0-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.133.972.0+4.153%-
Last 30 away (13)34.539.974.4-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.275.2+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.270.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.239.173.3-4.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.034.172.1+3.962%-
vs Weaker (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Xavier wins
8
Marquette wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Marquette v Xavier66-65
13/03/25Xavier v Marquette87-89
18/01/25Marquette v Xavier57-59
21/12/24Xavier v Marquette70-72
09/03/24Xavier v Marquette80-86
25/02/24Marquette v Xavier88-64
11/03/23Marquette v Xavier65-51
16/02/23Marquette v Xavier69-68
15/01/23Xavier v Marquette80-76
23/01/22Marquette v Xavier75-64
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)82-87 OT
04/02/26AUconn60-92
31/01/26HDePaul68-66
29/01/26ASeton Hall68-86
24/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)83-88
22/01/26ACreighton93-94
14/01/26HButler89-75
10/01/26HProvidence97-84
08/01/26AMarquette65-66
03/01/26ADePaul77-86
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/26AVillanova74-77
07/02/26HButler70-55
31/01/26ASeton Hall64-69
28/01/26HCreighton86-62
24/01/26AButler76-87
19/01/26HProvidence105-104 OT
17/01/26ADePaul75-80
13/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)68-92
10/01/26HVillanova73-76
08/01/26HXavier66-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Xavier
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeLWWLW69%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %50%69%12%
Points / game77.078.873.4
Allowed / game78.175.483.6
Point differential-1.1+3.4-10.2
Avg total155.1154.2157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%12%
Marquette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL36%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %36%60%0%
Points / game75.579.968.9
Allowed / game77.072.583.7
Point differential-1.5+7.4-14.8
Avg total152.4152.3152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2523292%79.364.8+14.5
2 Villanova2520580%77.869.1+8.6
3 St. John's (N.Y.)2720774%82.073.2+8.8
4 Seton Hall2517868%72.065.4+6.7
5 Georgetown24131154%75.373.0+2.3
6 Butler25131252%80.777.4+3.3
7 DePaul25131252%71.770.2+1.5
8 Creighton26131350%76.075.2+0.9
9 Xavier24121250%77.078.1-1.1
10 Providence26111542%87.485.4+2.0
11 Marquette2591636%75.577.0-1.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Xavier514596
Marquette355388
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